Pages: [1] :: one page |
|
Author |
Thread Statistics | Show CCP posts - 0 post(s) |
Logan Decker
Platinium Rats
0
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 00:07:00 -
[1] - Quote
OK, so I got a little Asbergers on this. I was just trying to figure out which teams had already made the finals and which ones didn't have a chance. It turns out it's a little complex. Here is an overview of all 32 teams and how much they have to do to make advance to the finals. Please let me know if I made any errors or omissions.
Alliances that have clinched a spot in the finals: HUN Reloaded Agony Empire The G0dfathers Mildly Intoxicated Test Alliance Please Ignore FEARLESS. Exodus. Heretic Nation DarkSide. Raiden. Red vs Blue
Alliances that can clinch a spot in the finals with a win on Saturday, but may still advance with a loss: Nulli Secunda Capital Punishment. Rote Kapelle
Alliances that can't clinch a spot in the finals with a win on Saturday, but don't necessarily need a win to advance: Black Legion. (26.5 point lead over Nulli Secunda) Verge of Collapse (18 point lead over Capital Punishment.) Pandemic Legion (39 point lead over Rote Kapelle)
Alliances that can clinch a spot in the finals with a win on Saturday, But will be eliminated if they lose: Shadow Cartel Suddenly Spaceships. Gypsy Band PERCUSSIVE PIZZA TIME DIPLOMACY
Alliances that must win on Saturday for a chance to be in the finals: Goonswarm Federation (needs Verge of Collapse to lose and must score 96 points more than VoC, also must score 78 more points than Capital Punishment.)
Alliances that must win on Saturday for a chance to be in the finals, and the alliance must take a handicapped team: Choke Point (only if Black Legion. gets shut out and they only bring a 89 point team and lose < 27 points to Nulli Secunda) Kill It With Fire (only if Pandemic Legion gets shut out and they only bring a 69 point team and lose <40 points to Rote Kapelle)
Alliances that don't have a chance at the finals: Fatal Ascension Dark Taboo Alpha Volley Union Northern Coalition. Dead Terrorists The Gorgon Empire BricK sQuAD. Ev0ke |
Logan Decker
Platinium Rats
1
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 01:50:00 -
[2] - Quote
Analysis: Four of the eight groups are clinched already. Of the remaining four, Group G is a straight up do-or-die match for all four teams. Those should be some great fights.
Groups A, D, and H are where things get really interesting. With one team at 2-0, two at 1-1, and one at 0-2, it may seem like a simple fight between the two teams a 1-1 record. However, they're not fighting each other next round, and it's still possible that upsets can happen.
For instance, the teams with a 2-0 record could still get knocked out if they lose and both the 1-1 teams win. This would cause a 3-way tie in the group, with three teams with 2-1 records and one finishing 0-3. The tie would then be decided by points, so if both 1-1 teams outscore the 2-0 team, the 2-0 team could go home. Here's the teams I'm talking about, followed by how many points lead they have over the two 1-1 teams in their group.
HUN Reloaded (111, 137.5) FEARLESS. (107, 125) Red vs Blue (50.5, 89.5)
Note that for HUN Reloaded to get knocked out, not only would they have to get shut out by Black Legion., but Nulli Secunda would have to bring a handicapped team to get the 138 points they would need to beat HUN.
On the other end of the spectrum, it's possible that the three teams who are 0-2 could still make it to the finals. To do so, they would need both the 1-1 teams to lose, creating a three-way tie at 1-2. They would then also need enough points to beat both the 1-1 teams. Note that in this scenario, the teams who are 2-0 now would advance with a 3-0 record. The relevant 0-2 teams and their point deficiencies to the other 1-1 teams are as follows.
Choke Point (135, 108.5) Goonswarm Federation (95, 77) Kill It With Fire (155, 116)
Long odds on KIWF advancing, but it's still within the realm of possibility.
The 1-1 teams can advance with a win if the other 1-1 team in their group loses. But if both 1-1 teams in the same group win or both lose, then it will come down to points. This is a little crazy as it's possible that a 1-1 team that had beaten the other 1-1 team when they battled could still get knocked out by that team on points.
TL;DR - It ain't over til it's over. |
ry ry
Doctrine. FEARLESS.
127
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 08:47:00 -
[3] - Quote
i am so confused right now. Become FEARLESS. |
Proxay
Stimulus Rote Kapelle
8
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 09:12:00 -
[4] - Quote
ry ry wrote: i am so confused right now. Essentially you're fine as long as Snake isn't flying a vindicator next saturday. Loading signature... |
Flistir
Doctrine. FEARLESS.
21
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 09:40:00 -
[5] - Quote
Proxay wrote:ry ry wrote: i am so confused right now. Essentially you're fine as long as Snake isn't flying a vindicator next saturday.
Our Beloved Leader; Space Commander Larkonis has in a fit of drunken Kim Jong-Il roleplay put Snake is on gang-link duty for a as of yet, undetermined lenght of time. We expect him to be allowed back into a civilian electron blaster velator sometime in February 2017.
All hail Larkonis the Merciful of House Trassler; King of the Andals, the Rhoynar and the First Men. Lord of the Seven Kingdoms. Protector of the Realm. |
claire xxx
Stimulus Rote Kapelle
37
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 10:28:00 -
[6] - Quote
Flistir wrote:
Our Beloved Leader; Space Commander Larkonis has in a fit of drunken Kim Jong-Il roleplay put Snake is on gang-link duty for a as of yet, undetermined length of time. We expect him to be allowed back into a civilian electron blaster Velator sometime in February 2017.
EDIT; That said, good post OP.
Was sipping coffee. Now it's all over my screen.
|
Capqu
Love Squad Confederation of xXPIZZAXx
5
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 10:36:00 -
[7] - Quote
has it been confirmed that points is more important than having beaten the person you tie with? obviously this doesnt matter in a 3 way tie, since each team will have beaten 1 other team, but in a 2 way tie, is points or the winner of the related battle more important? |
Kyoso Oni
Sigma-Six Symptom Inc.
2
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 13:11:00 -
[8] - Quote
ry ry wrote: i am so confused right now.
|
Tranquil Hegemony
Blue Republic RvB - BLUE Republic
0
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 14:41:00 -
[9] - Quote
What if teams draw the next match?...(yeah I'm dim) |
Professor Clio
Blue Republic RvB - BLUE Republic
25
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 15:17:00 -
[10] - Quote
For all intents and purposes a draw is like a loss for most of these teams. |
|
Logan Decker
Platinium Rats
6
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 18:11:00 -
[11] - Quote
Capqu wrote:has it been confirmed that points is more important than having beaten the person you tie with? obviously this doesnt matter in a 3 way tie, since each team will have beaten 1 other team, but in a 2 way tie, is points or the winner of the related battle more important?
There was a Dev post here verifying that the first criteria is W/L/T, second criteria is points. One of the tournament announcers had erroneously explained that in case of a tie, the team who had beaten the other team would move forward.
|
David Godfrey
V0LTA Verge of Collapse
0
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 18:36:00 -
[12] - Quote
Nice one that's some in depth stuff right there. [img]http://i47.photobucket.com/albums/f183/jdenism/nyx1.jpg[/img] |
wallenbergaren
University of Caille Gallente Federation
46
|
Posted - 2012.07.18 18:50:00 -
[13] - Quote
Why on earth did you name your character after a games journalist? |
Logan Decker
Platinium Rats
6
|
Posted - 2012.07.19 10:02:00 -
[14] - Quote
wallenbergaren wrote:Why on earth did you name your character after a games journalist?
That is so crazy weird. I had no idea.
The name came from Logan's Run and Matthew Decker from ST. |
Jude Lloyd
Heretic Army Heretic Nation
358
|
Posted - 2012.07.20 02:20:00 -
[15] - Quote
\o/
Heretic Nation is excited to move forward into ATX finals! Heretic Army Warlord and Diplomat Host of Frigfest http://judelloyd.blog.com/ http://kbarmy.heretic-army.biz/
|
Bacchanalian
Stimulus Rote Kapelle
69
|
Posted - 2012.07.20 03:56:00 -
[16] - Quote
Excellent run-down, thanks. |
Dradius Calvantia
Stimulus Rote Kapelle
287
|
Posted - 2012.07.20 08:23:00 -
[17] - Quote
Bacchanalian wrote:Excellent run-down, thanks.
This is not a shiptoast.
Try it again....
|
|
|
|
Pages: [1] :: one page |
First page | Previous page | Next page | Last page |