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Author |
Thread Statistics | Show CCP posts - 1 post(s) |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
3991
|
Posted - 2013.04.04 14:28:00 -
[271] - Quote
Tubrav Sadarts wrote:Yeah, I checked evemarketeer.com before, and it's a pity the site is down... it would have wonderful data for plenty of items. If you could upload the minerals/isotopes/plex CSV files that would be excellent and most appreciated :) Regarding those CSV files, how do you keep them updated with daily data with the tool on your website without wiping any pre-1-year data?
Sadly as of now the history has to be manually merged with the last year data dump. I am to develop a software to merge these things in automatic and then I will give it away to everyone in MD.
In the mean time, since I am going to move home next week, if you really can't wait, I may find the time to manually create you 1-2 dumps and make them downloadable, but nothing more. I am too busy preparing the leave.
OllieNorth wrote:Hey VV, good to see you back at it doing your thing again. I talk daily with one of my co-workers using the stuff I learned in these threads.
Thank you. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Tubrav Sadarts
Viscous Logistics
6
|
Posted - 2013.04.04 18:14:00 -
[272] - Quote
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:Tubrav Sadarts wrote:Yeah, I checked evemarketeer.com before, and it's a pity the site is down... it would have wonderful data for plenty of items. If you could upload the minerals/isotopes/plex CSV files that would be excellent and most appreciated :) Regarding those CSV files, how do you keep them updated with daily data with the tool on your website without wiping any pre-1-year data?
Sadly as of now the history has to be manually merged with the last year data dump. I am to develop a software to merge these things in automatic and then I will give it away to everyone in MD. In the mean time, since I am going to move home next week, if you really can't wait, I may find the time to manually create you 1-2 dumps and make them downloadable, but nothing more. I am too busy preparing the leave. OllieNorth wrote:Hey VV, good to see you back at it doing your thing again. I talk daily with one of my co-workers using the stuff I learned in these threads. Thank you.
Whatever you can manage now in terms of data dumps is fine; RL first of course... if you don't have the time before your move, don't worry about it :) My Idea for improving T2 Invention! |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
3991
|
Posted - 2013.04.04 21:09:00 -
[273] - Quote
Tubrav Sadarts wrote: Whatever you can manage now in terms of data dumps is fine; RL first of course... if you don't have the time before your move, don't worry about it :)
Well, please tell me 2 markets off those I have records of, send me an eve-mail if you wish to keep it confidential. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4133
|
Posted - 2013.05.28 08:42:00 -
[274] - Quote
Aren't markets some magnificent testaments to mass human behavior?
From 15 March, 2013:
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:PLEX: watch out for the current double bottom. If price will close above it and puts a bullish price action, it will be a buying opportunity. Be very careful to triple check the retracement + price action, we are in a very powerful downtrend and skipping / ignoring those safety checks WILL hurt your wallet!
From March 26, 2013:
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:As anticipated some days ago, PLEX is close to a very important confluence. While not really rare, those events often provide some of the best and safest opportunities to enter a trade. In the specific case, we are at the apex of a triangle, in confluence with a BRN 500M. Triangles tend to kick and push prices up or down with a good momentum, in confluence with something else they improve even further.
And what happened? Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4236
|
Posted - 2013.07.21 15:32:00 -
[275] - Quote
I am (very slowly) preparing an article for my website.
In the mean time, I have not stopped analyzing stuff, right some minutes ago I have posted a RL analysis that includes yet another example of the influence that BRNs have on the market.
Here is a picture that shows the price reaction when it hits the yellow levels (BRNs), the small arrows show the "hit points".
It's part of a whole market analysis, sadly it's in Italian and I have no time to translate it. So all I can do is to provide a terrible Google Translate version of it.
Here are the 3 charts that the translation won't let you see:
Monthly chart Weekly chart Daily chart Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4237
|
Posted - 2013.07.24 00:30:00 -
[276] - Quote
For those who'd like a reasoned, small steps introduction to price action analysis beginning from the most important concepts of support and resistance, you may go read some pages from this thread. The OP does a nice job at talking easy and with examples.
Another notable post in the thread summarizes the analyst boundaries quite well:
belekas wrote: I just try to follow the smartmoney path by reading a chart. We are traders not fortunetellers.
Both sentences are important: while a market does not need "smart money" or "strong hands", they often are there and they provide opportunities to jump on their wagon. In EvE the typical smart money are big traders / alliances like Corestwo's. Even if they don't want, they always leave down breadcrumbs to follow. Because markets don't lie.
The second is the natural reply to the "voodoo" claims. A famous motto says: "trade what you see, not what you think"
This third link leads to a website with lots of resources. It also gives paid membership options which I don't "sponsor" at all, I only happen to have learned some stuff (including that sentence) from that guy when he still posted on Forex Factory. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Merii Kha'sen
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
2
|
Posted - 2013.08.02 04:59:00 -
[277] - Quote
Does your EVE market dumper OHLC program still work? I tried to get it working so I could get some better data and I was not able to - some weird Python error that means that a List is Nothing.
I tried every folder in my cache from the actual CachedMethodCalls folder on up, so it wasn't a bad path.
Alternatively, do you have a better way of getting OHLC data now? |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4241
|
Posted - 2013.08.02 06:58:00 -
[278] - Quote
Merii Kha'sen wrote:Does your EVE market dumper OHLC program still work? I tried to get it working so I could get some better data and I was not able to - some weird Python error that means that a List is Nothing.
I tried every folder in my cache from the actual CachedMethodCalls folder on up, so it wasn't a bad path.
Alternatively, do you have a better way of getting OHLC data now?
I have run the program right now and it worked like usual.
I need much more details to see why it does not work for you. A first candidate for issues is not having browsed (in game) the many market histories which are specified in the .ini file by default. I always use my website IGB special page to make sure I populate all the required cache.
A second candidate is a corrupted cache. Some times EvE crashes and ruins some cache files and then apps like this get in trouble.
If you are not in this case you should post every detail you can about your configuration and error messages. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Merii Kha'sen
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
2
|
Posted - 2013.08.04 05:57:00 -
[279] - Quote
Interesting.
I've cleared cache, so it's not a corrupted cache.
Here's the error I get:
Quote:Reading configuration file...
Deleting old records...
Traceback (most recent call last): File "EvEMarketHistoryDumpOHLC.py", line 120, in module File "reverence\config.pyc", line 393, in __get__ File "reverence\config.pyc", line 405, in method File "reverence\config.pyc", line 927, in _loadbulkdata TypeError: 'NoneType' object is not subscriptable
Here's the config file:
Quote:[Paths] EVERoot = C:/Users/Me/AppData/Local/CCP/EVE/d_eve_tranquility/ OutPath = D:/Temp/EvEDumps/
[ItemsToDump] ItemsList = Tritanium
There's a tab before Tritanium, it just doesn't show up in this post.
As part of the testing I did I trimmed it down to 1 item but it did the same thing with the other lines in there.
Also I am opening the market history for 1 year in the game before I run the program, so it does get cached. I am not running EVEMon or anything else that reads the cache at this time. All directories in question exist.
If I set EVERoot to the actual path that EVE is installed at: D:\EVE\ it gives an error about not being able to find the cache. |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4242
|
Posted - 2013.08.04 10:43:00 -
[280] - Quote
Merii Kha'sen wrote:Interesting.
Also I am opening the market history for 1 year in the game before I run the program, so it does get cached. I am not running EVEMon or anything else that reads the cache at this time. All directories in question exist.
If I set EVERoot to the actual path that EVE is installed at: D:\EVE\ it gives an error about not being able to find the cache.
Your problem is exactly that. You are meant to specify the EvE root not the cache directory.
Since you tried that (and that's the only way to make it work) yet it could not find the cache, it means there's some other issue as well.
The program makes large use of the Reverence cache reading library illustrated in this thread. You should ask there about issues at autodetecting the cache directory. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
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Merii Kha'sen
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
2
|
Posted - 2013.08.05 03:35:00 -
[281] - Quote
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:Merii Kha'sen wrote:Interesting.
Also I am opening the market history for 1 year in the game before I run the program, so it does get cached. I am not running EVEMon or anything else that reads the cache at this time. All directories in question exist.
If I set EVERoot to the actual path that EVE is installed at: D:\EVE\ it gives an error about not being able to find the cache. Your problem is exactly that. You are meant to specify the EvE root not the cache directory. Since you tried that (and that's the only way to make it work) yet it could not find the cache, it means there's some other issue as well. The program makes large use of the Reverence cache reading library illustrated in this thread. You should ask there about issues at autodetecting the cache directory.
Welp, got it working. Thanks a ton! |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4246
|
Posted - 2013.08.05 06:37:00 -
[282] - Quote
I did not see anyone mentioning it, nor anyone told me about it till I found it by random chance:
an article on TheMittani.com talking about this method and my website. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Zappity
Red Federation RvB - RED Federation
239
|
Posted - 2013.08.05 06:44:00 -
[283] - Quote
Huh, assumed they would have talked with you about it. Sloppy. Hooray, I'm l33t! -á(Kil2: "The higher their ship losses...the better they're going to be.") |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4246
|
Posted - 2013.08.05 07:01:00 -
[284] - Quote
Zappity wrote:Huh, assumed they would have talked with you about it. Sloppy.
Nah. CCP contacted me when they wanted to publish stuff involving me, but the peeps at TheMittani didn't.
Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Merii Kha'sen
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
2
|
Posted - 2013.08.07 06:29:00 -
[285] - Quote
That's actually how i found out about this, yes. |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4271
|
Posted - 2013.08.26 12:17:00 -
[286] - Quote
I am getting bombarded by EvE-mails about nitrogen isotopes.
I am going to post a series of scenarios later today or tomorrow.
Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
mynnna
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
1503
|
Posted - 2013.08.26 14:47:00 -
[287] - Quote
So we'll get treated to thirty paragraphs in which you conclude they'll fall to about 750 before falling further, going back up, or staying the same? Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal |
arabella blood
I Swear She Looked 18
117
|
Posted - 2013.08.26 15:55:00 -
[288] - Quote
/hold my beer i want to watch this |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4273
|
Posted - 2013.08.26 20:28:00 -
[289] - Quote
mynnna wrote:So we'll get treated to thirty paragraphs in which you conclude they'll fall to about 750 before falling further, going back up, or staying the same?
No, I am busy with making money in RL, so it'll be mostly pictures. Also, I got a nice sign of appreciation by CCP for my website and thus I'll focus mainly on that. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4276
|
Posted - 2013.08.28 03:07:00 -
[290] - Quote
Here it comes:
2013-08-27 [NIISO] Nitrogen Isotopes market analysis GÇô Pt 1
I have to tell Corestwo that in the end the analysis grew a lot in size But that's not because of the analysis per se, but because I have added lots and lots of didactical references, tips and other stuff that is not *the* analysis.
It's a lot of stuff the readers of this thread will find juicy, the analysis is the "vector" to put all those concepts together.
This analysis is also somewhat different from the usual, for two reasons:
- I had it ready days ago but Lifetime EventsGäó and a nasty forum crash delayed the publication. - It comes with an EvE mail, one of the many I receive about trading, market analysis and so on.
As of now it's 4am here and I don't have the physical strength to translate the illustrated analysis linked above into this ugly forum. I will eventually do that, in the next days. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
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Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4276
|
Posted - 2013.08.28 21:05:00 -
[291] - Quote
(EvE Forums version)
Nitrogen Isotopes market analys Pt 1
Introduction
Lately I have been contacted or EvE-mailed by some players, about what the Nitrogen Isotopes market is doing.
Some of them did that out of pure curiosity, some of them because they know I am into markets analysis and expecially into the Nitrogen Isotopes market. Some of them, finally, because they are personally invested at varying degrees of success.
This analysis will be atypical. I had prepared the material in August 24, to be posted on 25. Yet I had both real life and website technical issues so I had to delay the posting.
Despite being a bit outdated, I will post the original charts at first. Because:
- they costed me some time to prepare and donGÇÖt want the effort to go to waste.
- I want you to see the scenarios available 3 (almost 4) days ago and how they evolved.
But first of all, IGÇÖll post one of the many EvE-mails I send as reply to the players who ask me about the markets. I feel like I am not violating the playerGÇÖs privacy as I have removed his name and the text is entirely my own reply with no quotes from his text.
The EvE-mail shows how I was talking him about a realistic scenario days ahead. Follows an EvE chart showing what price indeed did: it broke through the GÇ£mesaGÇ¥ and is going to retest the base of that mesa. I used GÇ£mesaGÇ¥ in the EvE-mail because that player does not know the finance jargon (here is an acronyms page) and so I could not mention it as being a GÇ£RMGÇ¥ (range market). The upper part and lower parts of the RM are nothing else but the RMGÇÖs resistance and support levels. The EvE chart shows arrows indicating the various bits I talked about in the EvE-mail.
HereGÇÖs the chart updated to today
Where did I take those ideas about GÇ£mesaGÇ¥ and similar? Simple, from the market analysis I was due to post.
Follows the original market analysis, which is a bit outdated but still relevant and, most of all, shows the evolution of the market through its own targets and levels.
Monthly chart What Price is Doing (WPD)
Chart link
Long term price is in an uptrend, started with the March 2013 BUOB but never officially confirmed by a price action pattern. There is an IB (inside bar) at July 2013 but those usually only give informations, not confirmations.
We may draw a red trend line and find a dynamic resistance price will have to fight to try and break through. Notice the GÇ£tryGÇ¥ specifier.
The yellow lines, as usual, represent the Big Round Numbers (BRNs) relevant to this market.
The purple line is a monthly level. Now, notice how it nicely matches the last swing but also how it acts as resistance and support to 2011 and 2012 bars. Reading the price at that level once again reveals how traders collectively and inconsciously tend to use round numbers. In fact the level sits at 697.62 ISK, which means that the sum of thousands of trades ended up producing a level 2.38 ISK away from 700 RN. This proves that levels are not a fabrication, but real GÇ£points of interestGÇ¥ for market participants. Market participants who love to think in round, decimal numbers.
Weekly chart What Price is Doing (WPD)
Chart link
The weekly chart shows some quite useful detail. First of all the trend line now shows (once again) that price tends to be quite precise in its motion. Trend lines are nothing more than a kind of level that forms in diagonal instead of being horizontal. However, those levels are harder to spot and thus are worse to trade than the horizontal ones.
A feature, a pattern that immediately pops out off the chart is the weekly range market (W RM, in blue). If you look at it, you will see why leter I gave my GÇ£mesaGÇ¥ reply in the EvE-mail above: it is the mesa. Price is talking, it has just to be heard.
Also, despite being completely unpredictable in general, price sticks to its own rules. One of them is: GÇ£if price comes back inside a RM, the RMGÇÖs old resistance will return being in force and so will the RMGÇÖs support. Price will re-enter a rectangular cage where a trader may use this rule to short sell at resistance with support as first target or to buy at support with resistance as first target.
Please notice how the monthly and weekly analyses donGÇÖt try guessing priceGÇÖs immediate next moves but just to understand What Price is Doing, that is a GÇ£macroGÇ¥ overview, a context. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4276
|
Posted - 2013.08.28 21:10:00 -
[292] - Quote
Daily chart Where Price is Going (WPG)
Chart link
The daily chart is actually the one where the swing trader attempts to see the finer details about the next price moves. Contrary to popular belief, getting an useful prediction itGÇÖs not a given, at all. A swing trader knows that price might graciously disclose its intentions at any time, but the only place where to put them in an human comprehensible context is at price levels. Only a price level affects the otherwise completely unpredictable price motion, in a way that statistical recurring price patterns analysis (called GÇ£Price Action AnalysisGÇ¥) may give a statistical edge about Where Price is Going (WPG) next (*). Therefore, be ready to check the daily chart every day, because we are only interested at trading a certain market when price hits one of its GÇ£chordsGÇ¥, a price level.
In this specific case, price at the date of the analysis was doing nothing GÇ£trade readyGÇ¥.
Back at the time, I covered four useful cases, shown on the chart as white circled numbers. I only covered buy opportunities, both because we are in an overall uptrend and because we cannot short sell in EvE anyway.
I have drawn a symbolic pin bar (PB) at those four spots. The PB shows where to wait for a bullish price action pattern, acting as signal to buy. As I said, the PB GǣiconGǥ is just a symbol, any bullish price action may happen there (BUOB, DBLHCGǪ) for the same result.
Here are the scenarios:
- Price re-enters the small blue D RM. In that case it will try and reach BRN 1000. Risky trade, the space to first target is just 120 ISK (buy at 880, sell partial stock at 1000).
- Price goes down to 800 BRN and puts a price action pattern. But we come right after the above double top. The GÇ£M shapedGÇ¥ RM inside the blue rectangle is called double top and is a specific subset of RM that often causes violent prices trops (the next days would prove it actually happened!). ItGÇÖs very risky to buy right after a double top, they are one of the GÇ£falling knifeGÇ¥ initiators. Therefore we want to see a confirmed inversion or at least a double bottom at 800 BRN before buying. Double bottoms are GÇ£WGÇ¥ shaped RMs, they are the complimentary, bullish scenario mirror to the double tops.
- Price drops down to the 730 weekly price level or even down to the 700 monthly price level (acting as support). This is a scenario similar to the above, with the added risk of having 800 BRN in the way up. In fact, if price breaks below 800 BRN (acting as support), the same BRN will act as resistance.
- The safest scenario: price breaks over 1000 BRN: there are no obstacles above plus the D RM GÇ£upper boundGÇ¥ reinforces the BRN. The more levels happen together the stronger the effects. This phenomenon is known as confluence.
ThatGÇÖs it for this analysis. Price was in the middle of nowhere at the time, so no GÇ£signal to tradeGÇ¥ could be found. I repeat, this is normal for a swing trader, they are meant to re-assess the scenario every day until price indeed goes to a level and shows a trading setup.
(*) With great experience itGÇÖs possible to trade GÇ£free formGÇ¥ with no levels, as candle bars themselves each are tiny range market and their bodies represent tiny price levels delimiting those range markets. It requires a completely different money management; getting able to trade free form is an GÇ£end game goalGÇ¥, not the regular day by day trader life. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4276
|
Posted - 2013.08.29 00:47:00 -
[293] - Quote
I have been contacted by people reporting missing images on the original http://www.vahrokh.com/2013/08/market-analysis-niiso-nitrogen-isotopes-01/ version of the analysis.
The EvE forums version is unaffected.
Not only the pictures were missing, but only the first analysis page was showing as well.
I have fixed everything now. The malfunction was caused by a cached page file that somehow got corrupted.
Now feel free to read the full analysis, it looks way better on the website than in here.
I will post Pt 2 (updated to the last day) tomorrow or the day after.
As usual, I remind those who want to be informed in advance of new articles, that I always tweet the new content URLs ahead of time compared to when it appears on the EvE forums. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4284
|
Posted - 2013.09.01 20:33:00 -
[294] - Quote
The second part of 2013-09-01 [NIISO] Nitrogen Isotopes market analysis GÇô Pt 2 is out.
This also shows several past but also new concepts and even possible scenarios about price levels to buy ice at. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Alphawolves
Viziam Amarr Empire
0
|
Posted - 2013.09.05 09:37:00 -
[295] - Quote
Hi,
Interesting read. Coincidentally I have been trying to apply technical analysis methods to other non-financial RL fractal systems. Reading through this has boosted my curiosity to apply them in EvE.
I was trying to download your template for EvE to use in MultiCharts-« Discretionary Trader, but I think the link is down?
The same for EvEMarketHistoryDump.
Any chance you could make these available again?
Regards |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4296
|
Posted - 2013.09.05 12:42:00 -
[296] - Quote
Alphawolves wrote:Hi,
Interesting read. Coincidentally I have been trying to apply technical analysis methods to other non-financial RL fractal systems. Reading through this has boosted my curiosity to apply them in EvE.
I was trying to download your template for EvE to use in MultiCharts-« Discretionary Trader, but I think the link is down?
The same for EvEMarketHistoryDump.
Any chance you could make these available again?
Regards
Hello,
I am experiencing some issues with the downloads component of my website. This is also affecting my other downloads, in example EvE Income Analyzer.
I am working with the developer to find a solution, as soon as we fix it, I'll post about it in here.
Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Alphawolves
Viziam Amarr Empire
0
|
Posted - 2013.09.05 14:28:00 -
[297] - Quote
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:Alphawolves wrote:Hi,
Interesting read. Coincidentally I have been trying to apply technical analysis methods to other non-financial RL fractal systems. Reading through this has boosted my curiosity to apply them in EvE.
I was trying to download your template for EvE to use in MultiCharts-« Discretionary Trader, but I think the link is down?
The same for EvEMarketHistoryDump.
Any chance you could make these available again?
Regards Hello, I am experiencing some issues with the downloads component of my website. This is also affecting my other downloads, in example EvE Income Analyzer. I am working with the developer to find a solution, as soon as we fix it, I'll post about it in here.
Cheers |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4374
|
Posted - 2013.10.08 07:06:00 -
[298] - Quote
Since I got various in game inquiries:
The download manager has been updated, in the next days I'll restore the EvE Market Data software and the others.
Even more important, I have upgraded the EvE Market Data software to work with the current new client data format.
In the next days I'll post a chart proving it works again. Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4376
|
Posted - 2013.10.08 23:13:00 -
[299] - Quote
October 2013 PLEX market analysis
I have just written a very educational PLEX market analysis article.
Not only it gives information about what is best to do next, but it explains how and why supports, resistances, big round numbers and trend lines exist.
It also describes a phenomenon I did not cover on this forum yet: the magnetic effect of those levels on price.
I hope you'll like the article as much as I loved to write it! Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
4459
|
Posted - 2013.10.27 03:18:00 -
[300] - Quote
October Nitrogen Isotopes market analysis
I have just finished what is THE ONE price action analysis post.
I could retire from EvE happy now, because I have finally said some of the missing bits that made some people confused and others just don't trust what I explain.
The analysis starts with a little initiative I have taken (that is externalizing and sharing trading with third parties) but in reality it's about explaining the following:
1) How the inner market structure works: the various kinds of swings, where to find the "low" of the mythic "buy low, sell high".
2) Why using more than one time frame to work with the markets to have safer and more profitable trades.
3) How to finally detach yourself from the belief: "that guy only shows charts with past prices, it's easy to predict the past!". In fact I have posted the standard "entry selection criteria" applied every day by many RL traders I know including me.
These criteria are automatic, almost deterministic in the basic "OK / not OK" decision process.
Just use the same criteria when dealing with yet-to-begin trades.
4) As added bonus I have attached a screenshot of a third party trader (my most estimated Rhivre) confirming - actually having done my trade and the prices it went for.
Another bonus is showing how in:
- a spaceships game,
- where the huge majority of players barely know what a market is,
- where just me, Dr Ejyo's team and an handful others use advanced tools like candle stick platforms,
we can see strong, easily visible complex patterns like dynamic range markets and trend lines.
This is a massive accomplishment and if I'd been younger I'd use it as theme for a thesis. Because nobody has ever shown time and again through the years that even removing "technical traders" from the picture, the market structures still continue to form. Even the most complex ones.
That is, it's not just a "self fulfilling prophecy" but it's the live markets that self determine and self shape regardless of us and our beliefs.
I hope some will like that newest post and I am sure I'll get even more eve-mails than usual.
And I'll be glad to reply to each of them, because I want to help you all, like I have been helped myself.
Auditing | Collateral holding and insurance | Consulting | PLEX for Good Charity
Twitter channel |
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