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Darth Tickles
Northstar Cabal Fatal Ascension
81
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 16:37:00 -
[31] - Quote
Collateralized loans are actually a large market by isk volume, and they function very well. In addition you could probably increase the market size by many orders of magnitude with an aggressive marketing campaign promoting the concept, and then capture that market.
Lending without collateral as a business transaction between strangers will always be a terrible idea in Eve, whether that's as a "bank" making loans or as depositors lending money to a "bank". Furthermore, CCP has never made any hint of ever having any interest in developing more tools for financial transactions, and I highly doubt they ever will, as it goes against the very nature of the game as they promote it.
The only sensible public transactions are collateralized. They work and there is already a functioning market for them. Everything else is whimsy or stupidity. |

Jake Andarius
Andarius Trading Corp.
5
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 17:15:00 -
[32] - Quote
Darth Tickles wrote:Collateralized loans are actually a large market by isk volume, and they function very well. In addition you could probably increase the market size by many orders of magnitude with an aggressive marketing campaign promoting the concept, and then capture that market.
While I think uncollateralized bonds on MD show a possible future for uncollateralized banking, I do agree with your points on collateralized loans. It really is an ingenuous way to make an extremely safe loan market. I wonder if TornSoul would mind commenting on how much demand BMBE receives to get an idea of the saturation of the collateralized loan market. Andarius Trading Corp. |

Kara Roideater
Perkone Caldari State
25
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 18:25:00 -
[33] - Quote
Kouryusei wrote:I've not played Eve in quite a long time (came back yesterday after a rather extensive hiatus following some real life stuff - think I need to give people some ISK!), but I do agree with the sentiment that we need in-game banks.
I'd be willing to talk with some respected players to bring this to fruition, and I'm willing to put a large sum of real-life money in escrow (or convert it directly in to a large quantity of PLEX and therefore ISK) to insure against losses (in return for equity of the overall business). Though, who could be trusted to deal with high -zX,XXX to low -zXXX,XXX of my money? I'd be looking for some real-life contracts in this regard, and a third-party escrow service between myself and the other party.
From a technical perspective, it's somewhat possible - though due to the lack of a transactional API, there's always going to be some level of manual intervention until it's dealt with.
I'm not sure someone who disappeared for 2.5 years with his investors' cash is the best person to be the poster-boy for eve's banking sector or to hold a significant stake in any bank.  |

Kara Roideater
Perkone Caldari State
25
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 18:32:00 -
[34] - Quote
Darth Tickles wrote:
The only sensible public transactions are collateralized. They work and there is already a functioning market for them. Everything else is whimsy or stupidity.
What's your view of third party collateralised loans? They seem to be a significant proportion of the market in this area but, technically, have all the fallibility of uncollateralised loans as the third party still needs to be trusted. |

Adunh Slavy
Ammatar Trade Syndicate
346
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 18:41:00 -
[35] - Quote
Dane Eham wrote:Most people wouldn't use a bank in the real world if they had an Eve wallet.
Yep, no need of the gold smith's vault in Eve. |

Darth Tickles
Northstar Cabal Fatal Ascension
81
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 18:49:00 -
[36] - Quote
Kara Roideater wrote:What's your view of third party collateralised loans? They seem to be a significant proportion of the market in this area but, technically, have all the fallibility of uncollateralised loans as the third party still needs to be trusted.
It's tricky. I'm tempted to be dishonest to not invite ambiguity...but **** it:
I think third parties are valid when someone has built up a reputation beyond any isk value and ultimately disassociated with any isk value. I think certain people become so well-known and trusted through an organic process of playing the game and interacting with people in corporations, alliances, the forums, eve-related groupings and subcommunities that they can be perceived to have gone beyond "having a price". It also helps if they're fabulously wealthy already, though this isn't absolutely necessary. Regardless, the amount of such people can probably be counted on two hands, maybe one.
Now, the important distinction is someone who comes out of nowhere holding greater and greater amounts of isk in trust. I think you would be foolish to trust this person with your isk.
That said, with direct collateralized loans you have a very convincing set of incentives such that people can interact to their mutual benefit with reasonable confidence, given the proper "due diligence" by both parties.
|

Adunh Slavy
Ammatar Trade Syndicate
346
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 18:52:00 -
[37] - Quote
Jake Andarius wrote:Adunh Slavy wrote:But we need some tools, a functioning stock market, or bonds, loan contracts, something like that.
Having to rely on external tools and markets, although there are a couple, they don't have much wide spread use, they're not very visible, and in the land of constant scams there's a huge hurdle there as it is. I do agree that if there is ever to be a serious stock market in EVE, it can only come about if CCP provides an ingame market much like the current market for commodities. But if we are strictly talking about banking here, then I see less need for CCP to create tools. We currently have all the basic tools we need for banks--an easy money transfer system, customizabile corp wallets, and retrievable APIs. The missing ingredient is that the players have not developed a banking system that players can trust.
Trust, or Risk as Hexxx terms it, two sides of the same coin really, is an issue. My idea in the past was an in game tool/system that allowed loans by way of bonds, failure to meet the obligation allowed kill rights upon the defaulting entity, which by the end of the discussion turned out to be alliances as bond issuers.
I'll dig up the thread if anyone cares to read it, it's on the old forums, Hexxx may recall that conversation as he had some input, as did many others. |

Trading Gives MeWood
State War Academy Caldari State
0
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 19:05:00 -
[38] - Quote
Collateral is key. One of the biggest differences between eve finance and real world finance is that in the real world, is that there is no claw back if the individual taking the loan doesnt pay. Essentially, once the money is transferred, the individual can do whatever they want with it.
The creation of a system where the money wasn't transferred into the actual wallet but rather an sequestered in an escrow account where the individual could trade and withdrawal their profit would solve this. The way I would envision this working is that if the individual stopped playing, the bank could take back whatever assets were left in essence "foreclosing" on the loan. This would take a lot of the risk out of lending, lower interest rates, and allow of more trust. It wouldnt remove the ability for the individual to do stupid things with the loan and lose money; however, it would allow for the expectation of repayment and reduce delinquency of loans.
Limiting with a the individuals ability to steal outright would allow banks to exist in a fashion that would protect the consumer without creating a "federal reserve" or FDIC insurance model that would literally explode the money supply and potentially create massive inflation.
Not sure if such a tool is in the works; however, I think it would go a long way toward solving the problems we currently have. |

Kouryusei
The Bitter Sea Trading Company
0
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 19:23:00 -
[39] - Quote
Kara Roideater wrote:Kouryusei wrote:I've not played Eve in quite a long time (came back yesterday after a rather extensive hiatus following some real life stuff - think I need to give people some ISK!), but I do agree with the sentiment that we need in-game banks.
I'd be willing to talk with some respected players to bring this to fruition, and I'm willing to put a large sum of real-life money in escrow (or convert it directly in to a large quantity of PLEX and therefore ISK) to insure against losses (in return for equity of the overall business). Though, who could be trusted to deal with high -zX,XXX to low -zXXX,XXX of my money? I'd be looking for some real-life contracts in this regard, and a third-party escrow service between myself and the other party.
From a technical perspective, it's somewhat possible - though due to the lack of a transactional API, there's always going to be some level of manual intervention until it's dealt with. I'm not sure someone who disappeared for 2.5 years with his investors' cash is the best person to be the poster-boy for eve's banking sector or to hold a significant stake in any bank. 
Real life gave me more pressing obligations at the time, everyone who invested was sent an in-game mail when I reactivated two days ago and actually remembered TBSTC. Life became hectic enough back then that I quite bluntly forgot about Eve, this character, the corporation and such. I actually recalled Eve primarily when playing WC3 after buying it on GOG a few days ago, at which point I spent the next day trying to remember my login details (took me a while to even figure out the email attached to it, going through old personal emails account till I could find the Eve Newsletter). Reactivated two of the three accounts and mailed the relevant people.
I'm not looking for investments from people, I can buy more than enough PLEX to raise the 50B capital I'm after for some of my own (non-banking) related investments, and to pay back the roughly 1B ISK I believe is outstanding. I will have to speak to people and negotiate over some form of return interest on their original investment however. I'll be doing the investing from now on, and working with my own trading plans. Finally going to put that Charon to good use, next (almost) step, a Jump Freighter.
I hold a significant stake in a number of real-life ventures (though a large chunk of my money is currently in property, as opposed to the markets), I'm offering to put forward a significant amount of collateral in escrow in return for some form of dividend payment. Either way, it is an offer, no one is forcing anyone to even consider it - nor am I looking to be the "poster-boy" of anything.
Regardless of all of this, we do honestly need some changes to the API (or perhaps mechanics as a whole), to make a banking venture within Eve be truly viable and sustainable. I'd be all for people signing the necessary agreements outside of the game making them liable for their own nefarious actions, though granted; dependent on location... that could be a legal minefield. A'las, I am not an expert on that. |

Trading Gives MeWood
State War Academy Caldari State
0
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 19:39:00 -
[40] - Quote
Also, thinking about the above idea, it would be Interesting if CCP created a system like alliances that banks or institutions could pay isk to create (say 10 billion, much like the fee to create an alliance) that would provide a charter or banking structure that in game players could reasonably trust. Think of this as documents of incorporation or some other sort of agreement that the individual institutions would sign that would provide a layer of trust insured by concord. Maybe I am way off base, just an idea. |
|

DoraTheExplora Taft
The Management.
9
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 20:42:00 -
[41] - Quote
Dane Eham wrote:Most people wouldn't use a bank in the real world if they had an Eve wallet. I suspect most money in banks earns no or virtually no interest and is only there for security and the convenience of transfers. Eve banks are actually worse than keeping the money in your own wallet on both those counts.
Maybe the Eve economy needs lending but the average player has no desire or need for a bank. this is absolutely right ccp already provides the public option for secure banking. If the issue is wanting to achieve secure returns for isk you don't want to develop yourself then you're going to have to take some risk. |

DoraTheExplora Taft
The Management.
9
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 21:19:00 -
[42] - Quote
May I just submit an idea for stock pricing in eve? A somewhat intuitive framework would be to simply directly tie a base stock price to the value of a special wallet division in a corporation. Let's call it the "investment fund" of a corporation. Now before I go into this more you should note this system is still entirely trust based but it at least has the potential to produce situations that have balanced incentives
At the point of a corporation going public they issue some number of public shares which is entirely up to them. It could be millions but whatever it is the base price of the stock is dependent on this formula: (1/total number of stocks issued) x (value of investment fund). So if the investment fund were 10 billion and 1 million stocks were issued the base price would be 10000 isk. As more stocks are purchased more isk is transfered to the fund and the value of the investment fund goes up of course and the base price rises. Now as for what the base price actually means I'm thinking of it as the price at which anyone can buy without needing another party to offer to sell. You would also be able to place orders to buy and sell already owned stock at whatever price you wish. This facilitates larger trades between players that don't effect the base price directly
So in essence at the point where the publicly available stock becomes scarce or not at all available, the private speculative market would take over
Now as for the question of dividends I think that should be left completely up to the players who run the corp itself. Ideally you would have tools in place to securely give some percentage to stockholders if you wish. Say a 2% of the value of the investment fund dividend for all stock holders each month or simply no dividends if you're confident people will continue to value your stock
In the end the idea is that it would at least be possible, although most likely uncommon, to produce a situation where the people running a corp would have every incentive to increase the value of the investment fund steadily in order to continue to grow
While this is comparable to a ponzi scheme I think it is entirely possible for corps to use this model to create real value for investors. |

Hexxx
Sebiestor Tribe Minmatar Republic
9
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 21:30:00 -
[43] - Quote
DoraTheExplora Taft wrote:May I just submit an idea for stock pricing in eve? A somewhat intuitive framework would be to simply directly tie a base stock price to the value of a special wallet division in a corporation. Let's call it the "investment fund" of a corporation. Now before I go into this more you should note this system is still entirely trust based but it at least has the potential to produce situations that have balanced incentives
At the point of a corporation going public they issue some number of public shares which is entirely up to them. It could be millions but whatever it is the base price of the stock is dependent on this formula: (1/total number of stocks issued) x (value of investment fund). So if the investment fund were 10 billion and 1 million stocks were issued the base price would be 10000 isk. As more stocks are purchased more isk is transfered to the fund and the value of the investment fund goes up of course and the base price rises. Now as for what the base price actually means I'm thinking of it as the price at which anyone can buy without needing another party to offer to sell. You would also be able to place orders to buy and sell already owned stock at whatever price you wish. This facilitates larger trades between players that don't effect the base price directly
So in essence at the point where the publicly available stock becomes scarce or not at all available, the private speculative market would take over
Now as for the question of dividends I think that should be left completely up to the players who run the corp itself. Ideally you would have tools in place to securely give some percentage to stockholders if you wish. Say a 2% of the value of the investment fund dividend for all stock holders each month or simply no dividends if you're confident people will continue to value your stock
In the end the idea is that it would at least be possible, although most likely uncommon, to produce a situation where the people running a corp would have every incentive to increase the value of the investment fund steadily in order to continue to grow
While this is comparable to a ponzi scheme I think it is entirely possible for corps to use this model to create real value for investors.
My first reaction was a violent "Absolutely not."
However, there is something there that bears more thought. I encourage you to flesh the idea out a little more.
Food for thought: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closed-end_fund
|

Johnny Frecko
Fruidian Logic IDENTITY UNKN0WN
1
 |
Posted - 2012.03.17 23:40:00 -
[44] - Quote
@DoraTheExplora and the whole stock market.
If anything :
1)the corp sets it's own price on the stock 2)stock prices are determined on the free market, much like bonds etc.
- which means, if you try to sell a stock at 1M per unit, and no one buys, you'll have to reduce the price. What makes people buy any asset? pretty much the NPV of the asset. Any new "start-up" corp with unknown chars, they won't be able to sell their stocks for any significant price.
Any asset is worth it's foreseeable net inflow of cash. In a stock - it's worth the foreseeable dividend payments. as in real life, the company/corporation isn't obligated by any means of actually paying the divident. Yet a corp that will never pays dividends is likely to get a very bad price for his stocks.
either way - this is filled with ways to scam and rip people off of their money. more holes than i wish to count.
now back to on-topic.
let's just assume we solved(you solved?) all the problems associated with banks. 1)trust - completely trust-worthy 2)Loans withdrawls and deposists are easily done through a new super interface.
- this will create a huge influx of deposits, people LOVE free isk(intrests) - Intrest must be driven by supply and demand for deposits and loans - meaning that at first a VERY low intrest will be set(if you ask me, it would be around 0.01% to 0.1% monthly) - why? because some people have rediculous amounts of isk they can drop into this new game mechanic(which is completely safe, remember?).
So what do we have? A very low intrest rate for deposits, That's fine, Now for lending, you'd expect a 5-7% margin between lending and saving, so your loan market will be dominated by demand aswell, the more people loan, the higher the intrest will be. ofcourse if ALOT of people will take loans, the intrest for lending can rise dramaticly(only so-much isk to lend, and demand is high).
Now, a regular bank functions in a very intresting manner - All your money is automaticly or manually deposited to the bank - you'd expect the same to happen in eve, as the system is completly safe, and people will let their dorment isk sit there and gain intrest.
So the bank will have ALOT of isk to lend, acutally it will have more than the actual amount of ISK in the game to lend.
An intresting situation - you take a loan to buy a T2 BPO, as soon as the ISK changes hands, the guy you bought the BPO from puts the ISK directly into the bank - even though isk changed hands, the bank didn't see a difference. So in theory(and in real life) the bank can loan around 5 times more isk than it has in its reserves.
you'd expect very low lending intrests for the first 100% of the deposists, once the bank lends more than that the intrests will rise.
Result : Huge influx of ISK to the market - Lending will be pretty much the thing to do to advance with your character.
the actual ramifications are actually way grander - because you'll get a huge influx of new starting business that are unable to finance themselves currently.
This is the monetary theory at it's very core, and you do not really know what a huge influx of ISK might do to the game. for example - plex prices will be insane :)
just my input |

Tanya Powers
Science and Trade Institute Caldari State
885
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 00:21:00 -
[45] - Quote
Dane Eham wrote:Most people wouldn't use a bank in the real world if they had an Eve wallet
True but actually humans are so well dressed like pets by money, it's bank dealers and the fact everything is worth of money (really?) they're unable to think by themselves and realise money is a mean and not an end.
The number of different direct and indirect bank taxes pick for an entire life that you just save by not having a bank account is huge enough you could most probably pay yourself a very nice sweet home that would last for generations.
There are few things I have no respect in this life, bank jerks are on my top list by a large margin after tyrants and ethnic racists, and believe me or not I do know how fragile a life can be. Unfortunately we are stupid enough to let as heritage to our children monetary murderer system and an energetic way of life, so pathetic that if god really existed he would have to be ashamed of creating such shameless crap, and we are proud of it right?
Just don't feck me in game with that crap of bank, I already can barely read or listen guys making illnesses to themselves because another stupid like like him changed his sell order by 0.01 isk, fecking can't even figure out this is a game, they continue their shameless useless existence through pixels...yeah go ahead and be the richer of your graveyard, it's so important.
I'm out of this crap. |

Kara Books
Deal with IT.
92
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 00:47:00 -
[46] - Quote
Do we need banks?
I think we need CCP to keep the playground fair, thats what the 24% is about, Me thinks. |

Jake Andarius
Andarius Trading Corp.
5
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 00:56:00 -
[47] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:If we all had to put our money in player banks, and if those banks had to lend out most of that money to stay in business, the price of everything would go wacko. Just please put this silly idea out of your head. We don't want your bank.
MushroomMushroom wrote:On the more general economics level, the last thing the economy needs right now is the inflationary pressure that a fractional reserve banking system would create, particularly if CCP shifts drones towards bounties... more isk, less minerals.
Trading Gives MeWood wrote:Limiting the individuals ability to steal outright would allow banks to exist in a fashion that would protect the consumer without creating a "federal reserve" or FDIC insurance model that would literally explode the money supply and potentially create massive inflation.
Quote:This is the monetary theory at it's very core, and you do not really know what a huge influx of ISK might do to the game. for example - plex prices will be insane :)
If banking became feasible in EVE, the money supply would indeed increase through the money multiplier effect of fractional reserve banking. That is, 10 billion ISK is deposited in a bank, the bank keeps a mandated amount in reserve (let us say 20%), and then lends out 8 billion ISK. The borrower spends that money, which gets deposited back in a bank. That bank keeps 1.6 billion ISK and lends out 6.4 billion ISK. The process repeats until the amount becomes negligible. Assuming that all idle ISK is always deposited at banks, the ultimate effect is that banking has increased the money supply by 500% (if the reserve is 20%). This increase in the money supply would, of course, lead to the rise in the prices of goods (i.e. inflation).
The unanimous opinion of the above quoted posters seems to be that money multiplier inflation is a horrible, horrible evil that would destroy or corrode the EVE economy. I would like to offer some perspective on the specifics of what would actually happen.
- The actual amount of inflation would be much lower than 500% because not everyone will deposit their idle ISK. Strictly speaking about active players, there would be a significant segment of the population that would never deposit their idle ISK into banks. Some players would like to have immediate access to their ISK, and personally do not feel the returns of 1%-2% are worth the cost of having even an hour delay on the usage of their ISK. Others players would be forever suspicious of banks and decide it would be more prudent for them to hold on to their own ISK. These individuals withholding their ISK would significantly reduce inflation because the money multiplier effect is exponential--each person withholding 1 billion is a lost 4 billion in potential money supply creation.
- Even if 500% inflation occurred, it would likely take more than 10 years. EBank held around 1 trillion ISK at its peak point. The current money supply on active accounts is more than 300 trillion ISK judging by the 2010 Q4 QEN report. So let us say we learned how to create safe banks today. How long do you think it would take the public to deposit 30 trillion ISK in those banks? That would still only be a tenth of the money supply that would undergo the money multiplier effect.
- Hyperinflation could not possible occur. Hyperinflation is a phenomenon that has happened in some countries to make their currency altogether useless. Hyperinflation occurs because, in the real world, people (particularly governments) have the ability to print money to pay for their debts. In the real world, money is created by governments (usually through a central bank that tries to match the increase in money supply roughly to the increase in labor.) In EVE, ISK is created by player labor. If players work harder at mining, missioning, etc. then more money is created proportional to their efforts. Hyperinflation is impossible under these conditions. The maximum amount of inflation that could occur through the creation of EVE banks would be 500% (given 20% reserves).
- The economic costs of inflation would be far outweighed by the economic benefits of readily available loans. So let us say 500% inflation did eventually occur. That means for every 5 billion ISK you had, you are now only about to buy something worth 1 billion ISK. That is a net loss for the economy as a whole, right? Think about it from the perspective of all the upstart corporations and industries that were able put 25 billion ISK to work in the form of new ships, production, and mining. The net gains to the economy as a whole are actually quite huge.
Hopefully this clears up a few misconceptions and fears about the inflation that would occur from EVE banking. Andarius Trading Corp. |

Darth Tickles
Northstar Cabal Fatal Ascension
82
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 03:50:00 -
[48] - Quote
That is a lot of words for something that is never going to happen.
If people want to have fun discussing hypotheticals, then by all means go nuts. However, if you think this is actually going to happen, you are sadly wasting your time. |

Hexxx
Sebiestor Tribe Minmatar Republic
9
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 06:07:00 -
[49] - Quote
Tanya Powers wrote:Dane Eham wrote:Most people wouldn't use a bank in the real world if they had an Eve wallet True  but actually humans are so well dressed like pets by money, it's bank dealers and the fact everything is worth of money (really?) they're unable to think by themselves and realise money is a mean and not an end. The number of different direct and indirect bank taxes pick for an entire life that you just save by not having a bank account is huge enough you could most probably pay yourself a very nice sweet home that would last for generations. There are few things I have no respect in this life, bank jerks are on my top list by a large margin after tyrants and ethnic racists, and believe me or not I do know how fragile a life can be. Unfortunately we are stupid enough to let as heritage to our children monetary murderer system and an energetic way of life, so pathetic that if god really existed he would have to be ashamed of creating such shameless crap, and we are proud of it right? Just don't feck me in game with that crap of bank, I already can barely read or listen guys making illnesses to themselves because another stupid like like him changed his sell order by 0.01 isk, fecking can't even figure out this is a game, they continue their shameless useless existence through pixels...yeah go ahead and be the richer of your graveyard, it's so important. I'm out of this crap.
If I may produce a summary...
"I don't like banks because they do bad things that I can't explain, but they are bad because I said they are. Also, capitalism sucks and so do video games." |

Hexxx
Sebiestor Tribe Minmatar Republic
9
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 06:08:00 -
[50] - Quote
Darth Tickles wrote:That is a lot of words for something that is never going to happen.
If people want to have fun discussing hypotheticals, then by all means go nuts. However, if you think this is actually going to happen, you are sadly wasting your time.
And yet it's happened before....crazy.  |
|

Akeirah
Pixel Universe Brokerage Services
1
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 09:22:00 -
[51] - Quote
The fundamental problem remains, even above and beyond inflation, that with any system that is developed it will require some form of trust. It has been shown many times that characters that are trusted, or at least well known enough we think we can trust them, can still be corrupt. No single character should be trusted with a large sum of ISK, as so many things could happen and it all becomes lost.
The best solution, barring any additional improvements or intervention from CCP, would be to have a large group to hold on to the isk, so that no one player has control of a great amount of ISK at any single time. This network of characters holding the ISK, though, would make it more difficult to make investments that would help the interest rate. Even with this method, there are limited ways of making sure that one person does not have multiple alts in this group, giving him or her control of a large amount of ISK regardless.
It will be nearly impossible to create a loan system without collateral, as there is nothing that would require a character to pay back the ISK. A good solution would be to reduce the amount of collateral needed to loan based on the number, amount, or length of time for loans that a player has paid back on time. First loan would be for something like 85% of the collateral being offered, and with a proven payment record (and not one or two) the could eventually be increased in increments up to 125% to 150% of the offered collateral. This system is of course not completely secure, but is definitely a way to weed out some of the scammers.
If there are to be multiple banks working similar methods, a cooperation of sorts would be needed, if nothing other than a shared blacklist of characters that have run off with loans or bank funds, and IP addresses of those who took bank funds as well. Neither of these is entirely secure, but it does provide some matter of security.
Kouryusei wrote: I'd be willing to talk with some respected players to bring this to fruition, and I'm willing to put a large sum of real-life money in escrow (or convert it directly in to a large quantity of PLEX and therefore ISK) to insure against losses (in return for equity of the overall business). Though, who could be trusted to deal with high -zX,XXX to low -zXXX,XXX of my money? I'd be looking for some real-life contracts in this regard, and a third-party escrow service between myself and the other party.
In theory something like this could work, but it would be very close to RMT unless you are gaining ISK and ISK only from this venture. I would not see an issue with having the escrow as -z, with the stipulation that it be turned to PLEX's if it is ever needed, but I do not see it going over well if you received -z in return for the investment. You would be rather safe in your -z investment with a well written RL contract with the person or persons in charge of this venture as you suggested. The issue with that is once again you may have to receive ISK/PLEX in compensation, as it also brushes the RMT line. I say this because:
I make a contract with you. I run off with 2 trillion ISK. -zXX,XXX is converted to PLEX to pay back the investors. I would then owe you -zXX,XXX in exchange for the ISK I run off with.
It could be possible with special exceptions from CCP, or just taking the ban that would follow if they did deem this as RMT. |

Kouryusei
The Bitter Sea Trading Company
1
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 11:05:00 -
[52] - Quote
Akeirah wrote:The fundamental problem remains, even above and beyond inflation, that with any system that is developed it will require some form of trust. It has been shown many times that characters that are trusted, or at least well known enough we think we can trust them, can still be corrupt. No single character should be trusted with a large sum of ISK, as so many things could happen and it all becomes lost. The best solution, barring any additional improvements or intervention from CCP, would be to have a large group to hold on to the isk, so that no one player has control of a great amount of ISK at any single time. This network of characters holding the ISK, though, would make it more difficult to make investments that would help the interest rate. Even with this method, there are limited ways of making sure that one person does not have multiple alts in this group, giving him or her control of a large amount of ISK regardless. It will be nearly impossible to create a loan system without collateral, as there is nothing that would require a character to pay back the ISK. A good solution would be to reduce the amount of collateral needed to loan based on the number, amount, or length of time for loans that a player has paid back on time. First loan would be for something like 85% of the collateral being offered, and with a proven payment record (and not one or two) the could eventually be increased in increments up to 125% to 150% of the offered collateral. This system is of course not completely secure, but is definitely a way to weed out some of the scammers. If there are to be multiple banks working similar methods, a cooperation of sorts would be needed, if nothing other than a shared blacklist of characters that have run off with loans or bank funds, and IP addresses of those who took bank funds as well. Neither of these is entirely secure, but it does provide some matter of security. Kouryusei wrote: I'd be willing to talk with some respected players to bring this to fruition, and I'm willing to put a large sum of real-life money in escrow (or convert it directly in to a large quantity of PLEX and therefore ISK) to insure against losses (in return for equity of the overall business). Though, who could be trusted to deal with high -zX,XXX to low -zXXX,XXX of my money? I'd be looking for some real-life contracts in this regard, and a third-party escrow service between myself and the other party.
In theory something like this could work, but it would be very close to RMT unless you are gaining ISK and ISK only from this venture. I would not see an issue with having the escrow as -z, with the stipulation that it be turned to PLEX's if it is ever needed, but I do not see it going over well if you received -z in return for the investment. You would be rather safe in your -z investment with a well written RL contract with the person or persons in charge of this venture as you suggested. The issue with that is once again you may have to receive ISK/PLEX in compensation, as it also brushes the RMT line. I say this because: I make a contract with you. I run off with 2 trillion ISK. -zXX,XXX is converted to PLEX to pay back the investors. I would then owe you -zXX,XXX in exchange for the ISK I run off with. It could be possible with special exceptions from CCP, or just taking the ban that would follow if they did deem this as RMT.
It is definitely something that I would have to look in to closer (in terms of potential alluding to RMT), but the stipulation on it would definitely be conversion of -z to PLEX. I could always buy outright PLEX from the start and remove -z from the equation, so any defaulted debt would be dealt with solely in ISK and -z would never touch the equation. I'd be happier just having -z in escrow, but I'd never expect -z back (apart from if eventually, when my own personal indemnity was no longer needed a very long time down the line, and the bank found it easier to rely on their own profits - then of course I'd expect whatever was left of my unconverted insurance, along with any debts in ISK owed directly to me or my corporation as a result).
I do not want to receive -z in return for any investment I make, I have things outside of Eve for that. I want ISK, enough ISK to start my own casino with hookers and blackjack (bonus points for the most of you who will recognize that reference). I look at it this way, I have lost a ridiculous amount of money in RL investments and I've gained a ridiculous amount in return - I truly love the economy aspect of this game and now I have a lot of free time, want to become far more heavily involved in it than I was the first time around. I'm thinking long term, I do believe my corporation name is quite fitting in that regard. I have to take over the bitter sea and all that.
Edit: Beyond this, we could always consider the inclusion of external contracts for large quantities of ISK. They might be hard to enforce, but by just phrasing the wording of the contract to be liable for "{n - determined by in-game value of PLEX at time of default} PLEX at -z{n - determined by cost of PLEX at time of default}". We would have to make it clear that any default down the line (that would be chased up after coming out of the insurance fund), would not involve the retrieval of actual money, but only PLEX or ISK... we'd have some form of external accountability. I'm half asleep (damn Australian F1), so I'll make what I'm trying to say clearer later in the day! |

Darth Tickles
Northstar Cabal Fatal Ascension
82
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 11:32:00 -
[53] - Quote
Hexxx wrote:And yet it's happened before....crazy. 
And those irrationally exuberant examples showed just how awful and unworkable the idea is. |

Kara Roideater
Perkone Caldari State
26
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 11:33:00 -
[54] - Quote
Jake Andarius wrote: If banking became feasible in EVE, the money supply would indeed increase through the money multiplier effect of fractional reserve banking. That is, 10 billion ISK is deposited in a bank, the bank keeps a mandated amount in reserve (let us say 20%), and then lends out 8 billion ISK. The borrower spends that money, which gets deposited back in a bank. That bank keeps 1.6 billion ISK and lends out 6.4 billion ISK. The process repeats until the amount becomes negligible. Assuming that all idle ISK is always deposited at banks, the ultimate effect is that banking has increased the money supply by 400% (if the reserve is 20%). This increase in the money supply would, of course, lead to the rise in the prices of goods (i.e. inflation).
The unanimous opinion of the above quoted posters seems to be that money multiplier inflation is a horrible, horrible evil that would destroy or corrode the EVE economy. I would like to offer a different perspective.
I don't think that the money multiplier effect is really what the issue is but, rather, the velocity of money. The money multiplier, and fractional reserve banking in general, can't really apply in eve because it requires that people be able to spend something other than physical currency, which is not the case with the eve markets (although parallel markets using bank created money could, presumably, be set up).
As I understand it, fractional reserve banking works something like this: person A deposits 1mil dollars into his account. The bank lends 90% of that amount to someone else. But here is the important part. The bank does not take any money away from the initial depositor. The initial depositor still has 1mil dollars in his account according to the bank's books and Person B now has 900k dollars credited to his account. So, at this point, the bank is in physical possession of 1mil dollars but has deposits amounting to 1.9mil dollars. The books are balanced because the bank also now owns a piece of paper saying that person B owes them 900k dollars.
So, this transaction has increased the money supply in that a further 900k dollars are now available over and above the amount of actual currency the bank holds. BUT it is clear that it is not possible for both of the bank's customers to draw out the full amount of their deposits in cash and spend it, because while the deposits total 1.9mil the bank only possesses 1mil (plus a note indicating customer B's debt of 900k). In order for both to be able to spend the money they have on deposit, at least the amount over and above the currency reserve must be spent in a non-cash form. This could be done by, for example, person B transferring their 900k to a second bank via a digital transfer which would not require that the first bank actually transfer 900k in cash but would be based on trust that the first bank will pay what it owes when required. So, anyone accepting 'bank paper' of some form or another, rather than hard currency, will be able to take payment in a form appropriate to the increased money supply generated in this way.
But in EVE the only thing you can spend on the ingame market is actual isk. In our scenario, where the bank has 1mil isk in cash and a 900k note of debt from customer B and two depositors with 1 mil and 900k in their accounts, if those customers both want to spend their money they can't because the eve markets will not accept a piece of paper from the bank in lieu of actual isk.
That is my understanding of the fractional reserve system, in any case. Hopefully Mme Pinkerton/Florestan Bronstein will be along soon to clarify (if she is still around?).
|

Adunh Slavy
Ammatar Trade Syndicate
348
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 11:34:00 -
[55] - Quote
Johnny Frecko wrote: So the bank will have ALOT of isk to lend, acutally it will have more than the actual amount of ISK in the game to lend.
An intresting situation - you take a loan to buy a T2 BPO, as soon as the ISK changes hands, the guy you bought the BPO from puts the ISK directly into the bank - even though isk changed hands, the bank didn't see a difference. So in theory(and in real life) the bank can loan around 5 times more isk than it has in its reserves.
Sure that's correct as it applies to Eve? In the real world, the assets created are the debt owed and the majority of the money. The asset an Eve bank creates is the debt it is owed by the lender and none of the money. To make the loans, in Eve, the bank must have full monetary consideration, it must hand over the ISK to the borrower, there is no way for the bank to ledger up ISK it does not have, they can do this in the real world, we can't do this in Eve.
If the Eve bank can commoditize its owed debts, the asset it created, by the issue of some additional security, then it can increase the functional money supply, albeit in a far less liquid form. That is far far different than commercial banks printing money with pencils and keyboards.
What the banks in Eve will do is create more liquidity and increase the velocity of money, but there is no way in Eve for a bank to create money out of thin air as is done in the real world.
Also, reading a lot of these comments, I think there are a few of the points Hexxx made that are being completely missed. First,
Quote:"During the height of EBANK, there was a phenomenon I noticed that freaked me out. A handful of people know about this, they can confirm it if they'd like to. The phenomenon was that for several months we were tracking deposits significantly exceeding withdraw requests...so much so in fact that they covered interest payments. In theory, so long as people had confidence in the Bank, deposits would always cover interest payments in perpetuity. The more we grew, the more true this became."
Deposits out paced withdraws - there is no multiplier here, there is a liquidity concentrator, for lack of a better term.
Next this statement I think is freaking some people out,
Quote:If a bank ran long enough, a certain percentage of it's funds in any given year are "freed" due to characters leaving and never returning but not being bio-massed. Normally this would simply add to the money supply, but in a EVE Bank this would drive down the fractional reserve requirement (Any Bank in EVE MUST have an ability to draw truly massive amounts of ISK in the event of a run. Runs are not an "if", they are a "when".)
Hexxx is not talking about fractional banking in our current terminology, he is talking about the RESERVES held to service withdraws. That is, how much money the bank does not loan out at any one time to ensure that it can pay out to those customers that want to close accounts, sell back shares, etc. He is not talking about a fractional reserve banking system with a money multiplier. (Had you, Hexxx, left out the word "fractional", fewer people would be freaking out I think.)
|

Kara Roideater
Perkone Caldari State
26
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 11:40:00 -
[56] - Quote
1 minute between our posts so lets call it a draw.
Adunh Slavy wrote: What the banks in Eve will do is create more liquidity and increase the velocity of money, but there is no way in Eve for a bank to create money out of thin air as is done in the real world.
Although, as Claire Voyant pointed out to me in the second argument I ever had on MD, 'out of thin air' is an unfortunate phrase. The money doesn't just appear from nowhere but is, rather, projected into the present from future earning potential (i.e. the debt incurred by the customer is worth something as an asset because it is backed by his future earnings ... or something like that; my brain generally starts to bleed at this point when thinking about banking). |

Johnny Frecko
Fruidian Logic IDENTITY UNKN0WN
1
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 12:33:00 -
[57] - Quote
Adunh Slavy wrote:What the banks in Eve will do is create more liquidity and increase the velocity of money, but there is no way in Eve for a bank to create money out of thin air as is done in the real world. Also, reading a lot of these comments, I think there are a few of the points Hexxx made that are being completely missed. First, Quote:"During the height of EBANK, there was a phenomenon I noticed that freaked me out. A handful of people know about this, they can confirm it if they'd like to. The phenomenon was that for several months we were tracking deposits significantly exceeding withdraw requests...so much so in fact that they covered interest payments. In theory, so long as people had confidence in the Bank, deposits would always cover interest payments in perpetuity. The more we grew, the more true this became." Deposits out paced withdraws - there is no multiplier here, there is a liquidity concentrator, for lack of a better term.
The banks do not print money in real life, nor do they create it out of thin air. National or Government banks do print money, to some extent, yet it's called government bonds in most cases. they do not just "print" money(it was done before, to devestating effects on various countries and economies).
So in today's standards, a bank works by having a small(VERY SMALL) % of equitty to cover the loans given.
You also must consider the assumptions i made when writing my theory 1)Banks are completely safe.
meaning that EVERYONE will deposit isk into the banks even to get the smallest amount of isk possible from idle cash. You can refer to the boumal-Tobin theory on cash-holding individuals(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol%E2%80%93Tobin_model) - That model, in it's simplest way, shows you that if there are no transaction comissions and the delivery is *somewhat* instant, people will have most if not all their isk deposited.
We're also assuming here that people can take loans that are 100% safe to the bank(which is yet to be solved). In those two special criterias, you can see a world where money is created from "thin air".
EBANK's difference was that first of all, it wasn't safe. 2nd of all, you could not take easy loans from it. Safety is the most important thing for any banking system, and EBANK didn't offer that.
Again - on the mechanics of creating money. Just out simplicity.
i have 0 isk. i take a loan for 1M isk. i buy a BPO from you, i have 0 ISK, you have 1M isk. You deposit that isk, Bank sees: Deposits : 1M Loans : 1M repeat process 50 times by 50 different users : you'll get Deposists : 1M Loans : 50M.
You just created money out of "thin air". without printing it, i must add. How much equity you demand the bank to have in order to safeguard the deposits, How much do think the deposit/loan ratio should be - all those are regulation questions, and have nothing to do with the functionality of the bank. While it works, it will work fine. if it's completely safe, it will never collapse. (Assuming it's completely safe to deposit and all loans can be recovered to some extent).
But as i said, you need to assume that before you can even consider talking about a bank, Because you don't have these assumptions in our eve-world, Many things can, will and actually went wrong.
You can make it worse btw if you allow ISK transfers from bank account to bank account as means of payment for daily stuff. Alot of people don't keep all their ISK in their wallet to avoid being scammed, if you have billions and billions, you either have an alt, or a corp wallet to hold that isk for you.(or, a truely safe bank account with intrest)
edit : I never said inflation was bad, Expectations for inflation are actually a good thing and most modern economies have a set yearly goal for a certain amount of inflation. i also said that it might be hard to predict the exact effects of such a huge influx of isk into the game. |

Adunh Slavy
Ammatar Trade Syndicate
350
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 12:40:00 -
[58] - Quote
Kara Roideater wrote: Although, as Claire Voyant pointed out to me in the second argument I ever had on MD, 'out of thin air' is an unfortunate phrase. The money doesn't just appear from nowhere but is, rather, projected into the present from future earning potential (i.e. the debt incurred by the customer is worth something as an asset because it is backed by his future earnings ... or something like that; my brain generally starts to bleed at this point when thinking about banking).
Yes, that's true. It is based on the future potential/earnings/work/labor of the borrower. My main point was the amount of 'consideration' the bank must have in the transaction. In the real world the bank's level of commitment is whatever the reserve requirement is. The rest of the money, they 'print' them selves. So long as they get back that reserve requirement, the rest is gravy.
In Eve on the other hand, there's no way to do that.
A poster above described a 20% reserve situation, a multiplier of 5. In that scenario 50B in Debt, owed by the banks to their depositors, is created, "check book money". Even if those banks can find a way to trust one another and commoditize their debts, regardless of the commoditization of borrower debt, there's no way to increase the ISK supply.
It would be interesting to see if someone could pull that off in Eve, have a secondary currency market based on check book debt evolve, but this would be a competing currency to ISK, it would not impact prices in terms of ISK one bit.
Off on a rambling tangent, back to your normally scheduled "what ifs ..." |

Kara Roideater
Perkone Caldari State
26
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 12:54:00 -
[59] - Quote
Johnny Frecko wrote: Again - on the mechanics of creating money. Just out simplicity.
i have 0 isk. i take a loan for 1M isk. i buy a BPO from you, i have 0 ISK, you have 1M isk. You deposit that isk, Bank sees: Deposits : 1M Loans : 1M repeat process 50 times by 50 different users : you'll get Deposists : 1M Loans : 50M.
You just created money out of "thin air". without printing it, i must add. How much equity you demand the bank to have in order to safeguard the deposits, How much do think the deposit/loan ratio should be - all those are regulation questions, and have nothing to do with the functionality of the bank. While it works, it will work fine. if it's completely safe, it will never collapse. (Assuming it's completely safe to deposit and all loans can be recovered to some extent).
This isn't quite right. To start with, you need to distinguish between deposits and reserves, as once 50 people have deposited a million, 50 people will have 1 mil in their accounts (i.e. deposited). In addition, the 1mil in cash can only be used by one person at a time so the amount of money actually circulating in the economy is not increased. It would only be increased if you could provide some way to allow more than one person to make use of the credit in their account at a time.
Edit - Basically, it would really suck to be a depositor at your bank because if the 1mil is always out on loan, no depositor will ever be able to withdraw his cash. And if one depositor withdrew his cash and closed his account, the bank would then have 0 isk, be unable to make loans and also unable to honour any other withdrawal requests. I'm still having a problem identifying exactly where on the fundamentals you have gone astray though. |

Adunh Slavy
Ammatar Trade Syndicate
350
 |
Posted - 2012.03.18 13:03:00 -
[60] - Quote
Johnny Frecko wrote: i have 0 isk. i take a loan for 1M isk. i buy a BPO from you, i have 0 ISK, you have 1M isk. You deposit that isk, Bank sees: Deposits : 1M Loans : 1M repeat process 50 times by 50 different users : you'll get Deposists : 1M Loans : 50M.
I saw this one part, I'll read the rest of your post now ...
You're forgeting a big part ... that bank owes 50M to its depositors.
I'm a bank, you're a player. Everyone in this thread is a potential depositor.
Hexxx deposits 1M. I owe Hexx 1M I lend it to you, I still owe Hexxx 1M You buy something from Kara for 1M Kara deposits 1M in the bank I have 1M I owe 2M You owe Me 1M JoeNewDude Borrows 1M. I have zero M but I owe 2M round and round and round Sooner or later ... 50M in desposits 50M in loans 50M in Bank Debt
Still only 1 Mil in ISK ... see it?
No ISK is being printed here, debt owed by the bank to its depositors is being printed. |
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