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7981. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Murk Paradox wrote: Let's break it down. When you fire your gun, you don't risk losing a bullet. You know it's going to fire, you know it's going to leave, you know you're going to lose it. GǪand presumed certainty does not preclude it from b...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 17:41:00
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7982. What do you think the next expansion will be about? - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Arduemont wrote: What about the difference between Crucible and the last three expansions? Comparing the legendary Apocrypha to the last three may be a little extreme, but you can't say the same for Crucible. Crucible certainly contained more c...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 17:37:00
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7983. Eve Valkyrie - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Reptail wrote: All who say eve is a product of ccp and they can do everrything they want with us you are just all sheeps, Good news: no-one is saying that. Also, was that some kind of double dactylic pentameter, or are you just confused about...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 16:46:00
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7984. What happened to the market here? The strange Drakes... - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Lextron Saken wrote: I thought this is more of a lol thread really of how strange the market gets GǪand that makes it unsuitable for Market Discussion, how exactly? Anyway, it looks like someone is trying to figure out how to manipulate re...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 16:40:00
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7985. About that Harmonic Orchestra recording... - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Khanh'rhh wrote: Our perception systems are very easily fooled and we're pretty bad at doing this as a species. Aside from physiological limitations, there's also the psychological reaction to stimulus, and much of that is simple taught react...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 15:59:00
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7986. What do you think the next expansion will be about? - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Dinsdale Pirannha wrote: Malcanis wrote: Dinsdale, if you run for CSM 9 I swear on my mother's life that I will vote for you with both my accounts, and tirelessly urge everyone I speak to to do the same. Not going to happen. GǪwhich is w...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 15:12:00
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7987. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: P(B|A) is not dependent on P(A) because it assumes that A happened. GǪso much like it being stolen (or not), assuming that it has dropped? Quote: Do it yourself? No. How about instead you prove that you actually know wha...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 13:13:00
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7988. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: "If events A and B are not independent, then the probability of the intersection of A and B (the probability that both events occur) is defined by P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A)." A multiplication, eh? The thing that you said you cou...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 12:21:00
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7989. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: http://www.stat.yale.edu/Courses/1997-98/101/condprob.htm GǪand you would write the two in order to control for this dependence on p(stolen), how, exactlyGǪ?
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 12:10:00
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7990. Eve Valkyrie - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Tron 3K wrote: I was watching the trailer.. And is this going to be a twitch game where you actually have to aim? Because from the looks of the video it seemed like the person was firing but really didn't have the target in sight but still kill...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 12:02:00
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7991. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Infinity Ziona wrote: Yes but lets be realistic here. When the probability falls so low its not a discernible factor there is little to no risk to the person ganking. There's plenty of risk. We've only gotten started with the first false not...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 11:39:00
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7992. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Maliandra wrote: Death as a ganker is in fact inevitable. Actually, it is in fact not, especially once you start going into actual, traditional gang ks. Quote: There is a big difference between risk and chance. Risk involves the potenti...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 10:56:00
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7993. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: You claimed not to be familiar with the business stuff. I'm not. Anyway, if an international standard for risk is not your cup of tea, just look at the wiki summary , which a bit further down provides the quantitative analysi...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 10:21:00
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7994. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: I'm separating cost vs. risk and you're not; when you correctly factor that difference in: 200k < 0 + 2b, or 200k > 2b -2b GǪand the point is that separating the two is not correct, because the only difference is how hi...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 09:34:00
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7995. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: The victims (and everyone else) are correct assuming sensible definitions. However, you'd be ill-advised to pursue an activity based on risk without considering cost and profit. So a risk of 200k ISK is greater than a risk of ...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 08:53:00
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7996. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: Stop dancing and just give an example so I can show you why you're wrong please; "accidentally counting a 0.01% probability of incurring a given cost as a higher risk than a 100% probability of incurring the same cost" isn't de...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 08:24:00
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7997. I have achieved middle class in Eve - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
Ioci wrote: Average guy has 2 billion. Is it even that much? Last I saw a figure on it, it was in the mid-hundreds, but that was a year or two ago and I suppose it should be higher by now. e: GǪor maybe that was just wallet, rather than tota...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 07:41:00
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7998. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: Those points being? The point being that all costs are risks and vice versa GÇö that's the whole point of the risk concept. So instead of going arbitrarily labelling something as GÇ£not a risk, but a costGÇ¥ (which leads to t...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 07:38:00
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7999. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: You're somehow over simplifying the important bits and over complicating the math at the same time (I guess for the sake of homogeneity?) on top of autistic semantics. How so? Again, the math is very very simple: probability +...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 07:30:00
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8000. The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great - in EVE General Discussion [original thread]
S Byerley wrote: The problem is that suicide ganking (or at least certain forms) is risk-free Yeah, no, I'll stop you right there. By virtue of being suicide ganking GÇö no matter what form GÇö it is not risk-free. The only way for it to be ri...
- by Tippia - at 2013.08.21 06:36:00
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