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Thread Statistics | Show CCP posts - 0 post(s) |
Miilla
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Posted - 2009.09.12 08:45:00 -
[1]
Now is the time to buy! 260 is the bottomish.
Load up for next rally :) Should rally next month.
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Dirk Mortice
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Posted - 2009.09.12 10:15:00 -
[2]
how many PLEX did you buy before the market for them crashed?
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Carniflex
Caldari Fallout Research Fallout Project
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Posted - 2009.09.12 10:18:00 -
[3]
Originally by: Miilla Now is the time to buy! 260 is the bottomish.
Load up for next rally :) Should rally next month.
Sweet dreams you have there. Sounds like FED's back in the spring telling everyone how this is the bottom and it's good time to buy. Based on current market graphs and QEN data I think there is still some air in the PLEX prices. Figure 58 in Q2 QEN of 2009 and PLEX sell volumes in Jita are the basis of this statement from me.
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Nadarius Chrome
Celestial Horizon Corp.
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Posted - 2009.09.12 11:01:00 -
[4]
Hi there alt of someone with waaaaay too much stock. |
Vhiskey
Caldari Imperial Forces
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Posted - 2009.09.12 11:03:00 -
[5]
220 to the end of november and back to 290-310 in february
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Kerfira
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Posted - 2009.09.12 12:44:00 -
[6]
Originally by: Vhiskey 220 to the end of november and back to 290-310 in february
It'll semi-peak around Christmas, not in February. The supply is still far too large for prices to significantly rise. Note that this is dependent on no significant macro-return....
Christmas and summer are the peak periods. Trade on that!
Originally by: CCP Wrangler EVE isn't designed to just look like a cold, dark and harsh world, it's designed to be a cold, dark and harsh world.
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Turiel Demon
Minmatar Shadow Reapers
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Posted - 2009.09.12 14:24:00 -
[7]
Originally by: Vhiskey 220 to the end of november and back to 290-310 in february
I suspect the psychological boundary of 250m will hold them up a little longer, they might not have dropped to 220 before the winter holiday season hits, if at all. Also, it has come to my attention that I'm really in need of a proper signature. |
Slave 2739FKZ
Minmatar
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Posted - 2009.09.12 14:27:00 -
[8]
Marketing campaing by CCP is really working out, also killing RMT monkeys. Great job! WIS is an expansion which allows EVE players to wear leather and walk around stations.
Dust514 is a console shooter/rts which will tie into EVE and affect sov. |
Taram Caldar
GK inc.
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Posted - 2009.09.12 14:29:00 -
[9]
TBH I'd love to see them drop down to 150mil. Which is still double what a 30 day GTC cost about 1.5 years ago.
Want a sig made? Contact me in game. Click my sig to see samples |
Vhiskey
Caldari Imperial Forces
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Posted - 2009.09.12 14:31:00 -
[10]
Originally by: Kerfira
Originally by: Vhiskey 220 to the end of november and back to 290-310 in february
It'll semi-peak around Christmas, not in February. The supply is still far too large for prices to significantly rise. Note that this is dependent on no significant macro-return....
Christmas and summer are the peak periods. Trade on that!
the peak will START around christmas
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Janice Jankowski
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Posted - 2009.09.12 14:43:00 -
[11]
Originally by: Kerfira
Originally by: Vhiskey 220 to the end of november and back to 290-310 in february
It'll semi-peak around Christmas, not in February. The supply is still far too large for prices to significantly rise. Note that this is dependent on no significant macro-return....
Christmas and summer are the peak periods. Trade on that!
the supply might keep growing until then, keeping prices low
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Paul Clavet
Suddenly Ninjas Tear Extraction And Reclamation Service
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Posted - 2009.09.12 16:24:00 -
[12]
Originally by: Miilla Now is the time to buy! 260 is the bottomish.
Load up for next rally :) Should rally next month.
I found your song! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ry4iwzS4Na0 ---- Suddenly Ninjas Blog: My Loot, Your Tears
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Dariah Stardweller
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Posted - 2009.09.13 15:54:00 -
[13]
Still wondering who those ppl are who actually buy this stuff for real money
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Tesal
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Posted - 2009.09.13 17:24:00 -
[14]
Edited by: Tesal on 13/09/2009 17:27:10 I think part of the problem with the way PLEX works is that it has a built in feedback mechanism. If say, you need to replace a dread quickly, you sell PLEX to do it, and many people will keep selling them until they can get to the isk level they need. So instead of selling 6 PLEX, they are selling 8, for example. Another example is dread insurance, people might be selling 2 PLEX instead of 1. This increases the supply. The bottom of the market will be found when more people find PLEX affordable, and a good percentage of people stop turning to PLEX for isk.
Conversely, if you had enough isk to buy up all the excess PLEX, and could hold it, the price of plex would go up, and people would need to sell fewer PLEX to make their isk goals, thus reducing supply and reinforcing the trend upwards. The risk however, is that the PLEX market is saturated, there might be a 30 day backlog already in stock in hangars, making manipulation difficult to impossible. A second upward risk is that people seeing the new high prices of PLEX will sell more to capitalize on the price or unload old investments they were unable to sell.
This market has been heavily manipulated, a lot of people got burned so I doubt it can be manipulated to previous levels. Right now, if people manipulate PLEX I think the price will rapidly crash back to where it was due to market feedback mechanisms. The supply and demand factors are difficult to push one way or another. Also PLEX is mostly used for rapid sales as far as I can see, which is then held as inventory by the purchaser. Whats on the market is only part of what is probably out there, that also makes manipulation harder.
I don't know where the bottom is on PLEX, there isn't any history on this, but we just blew past 280, which was the previous floor, and I thought it wouldn't happen. I don't know where this 260 number come from, but the number I would peg is 250. The reason has more to do with psychology than anything else. At 250 million, that's a quarter of a billion. Anything less than that and people will be thinking they should mission more instead of buying PLEX because its not worth that much. Its also a price level a newb will feel comfortable with. Its almost cheap.
*edit
Originally by: Taram Caldar TBH I'd love to see them drop down to 150mil. Which is still double what a 30 day GTC cost about 1.5 years ago.
I didn't have time to make a post this short, so I wrote a long one. also...
I will kill you. |
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