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Gnulpie
Minmatar Miner Tech
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Posted - 2011.01.26 05:39:00 -
[1]
85k now ... this can't go well. |
Gnulpie
Minmatar Miner Tech
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Posted - 2011.02.21 18:37:00 -
[2]
Originally by: Tanaka Kharn Who knows but i bet it crashs bad .. sell sell
Yeah, sell sell, quick quick |
Gnulpie
Minmatar Miner Tech
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Posted - 2011.02.21 19:47:00 -
[3]
Originally by: Elise DarkStar Notice the high daily volume, meaning someone bought in again for speculation.
I'm probably still going to be saying the same thing when it's at 120+ and look like even more of a jackass, but this just doesn't seem right. I keep waiting for the big stockpile cashins, yet they never come (besides akita), and people are still buying in to hold at ever higher prices. I'm not one of those people who thinks it's going to crash hard, but this last leg of price rises is moving way too fast for all the tech that I think is still out there.
Makes me nervous...
Also, ya, neod rocks. I've made a fukton off of neod and related products, despite having no clue why it's rising so fast
Well, you could for example look at what consumes technetium and try to figure out the relation between technetium consumed and technetium piled up for speculation.
What consumes technetium? Nanotransistors and Fullerides.
You need 50 technetium (plus other stuff) to produce 1500 nanotransistors and 50 technetium (plus other stuff) to produce 3000 Fullerides.
How many nanotransistors and fullerides are sold daily (in jita)? At least 15m nanotrans. and 20m fullerides in average. Sometimes a lot more, rarely less.
This means that these things consume roughly 830k technetium daily. That equals the output of 345 tech moons working at full capacity and all of the tech dumped onto the market, nothing of it hold back.
If you consider the trade with nanotrans and fullerides else where in New Eden to be 25% of the trade in Jita, then you come up with a need for around 1 mil technetium daily (that equals the output of 417 moons).
That are the numbers. The consumption is indisputable. The demand is there.
How much is daily traded in Jita? How much can be stockpiled?
And would it matter if the tech moon holders would hold back large amount of technetium (for example if there would be 700 or more tech moons)? Not really, since they are not at all interested in a tech price crash.
But as with all market things, you can't be ever sure that there isn't something else going on
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Gnulpie
Minmatar Miner Tech
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Posted - 2011.02.22 18:25:00 -
[4]
And what happens if the stockpiles are used up?
People with large piles are dumping it piece by piece onto the market (250k, 500k, 1m units etc.) but it all gets gobbled up swiftly.
Right now there is less than 1 day of tradevolume for sale. Sure, soon enough someone will drop another big pile or more.
But still the question remains what happens when the reserves are gone. |
Gnulpie
Minmatar Miner Tech
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Posted - 2011.02.22 21:25:00 -
[5]
Edited by: Gnulpie on 22/02/2011 21:25:02
Originally by: Tanaka Kharn But where does it all go?
Platinum Technite is the only thing you can produce with Technetium
Other than that, speculation. |
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