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Author |
Thread Statistics | Show CCP posts - 30 post(s) |
lanyaie
809
|
Posted - 2013.01.23 22:53:00 -
[1411] - Quote
hai how are you Hay |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.23 22:58:00 -
[1412] - Quote
Im doing ok, but bored as hell here. If all goes as planned I'll be home by the end of next week. |
lanyaie
809
|
Posted - 2013.01.24 18:38:00 -
[1413] - Quote
\o/ Hay |
Replacement 234
Studies and Observation Group - Eve
76
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 08:14:00 -
[1414] - Quote
Swedish Spaceman wrote:Im doing ok, but bored as hell here. If all goes as planned I'll be home by the end of next week.
Hey Buddy - MISTER Swedish Spaceman,
Have you informed the medical staff that you are one of the "Original Nice Guys"?
That ought to get you at least a bigger straw for you water cup!
If they have any questions about the veracity of your statement, tell then to get in toudh with me. I have a world wide card as a frequent flyer at almost every hospital in the known world, and never have any trouble getting the bigger straws.
And ask for ice cream after 8 pm - unless the nurse is fat.
You think it is boring there - imagine how boring it is here with out YOU!
Get better soon! That is not optional - it is mandatory!!
Rep |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 14:11:00 -
[1415] - Quote
I will try that Rep. And ice-cream is not a problem, they give me plenty of that :) The biggest issue is nicotine, and of course I miss all of you guys. Now I will focus on getting better even sooner.
And may all your blinks be x2. Roses are red, my screen is blue. I scratch my head and wonder, what the hell did I do? |
UNIT 516
billionaire boyz club
0
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 19:09:00 -
[1416] - Quote
Blinks Played 16 Win Ratio 0.00% playing 1/4 of overall tickets per blink
RNG really this unlucky? yet still see the same people comming up on winners list? lol ill stick to eve-bet where results arent controlled by the operators... |
lanyaie
812
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 20:05:00 -
[1417] - Quote
UNIT 516 wrote:Blinks Played 16 Win Ratio 0.00% playing 1/4 of overall tickets per blink
RNG really this unlucky? yet still see the same people comming up on winners list? lol ill stick to eve-bet where results arent controlled by the operators...
Results aren't controlled by operators neither do they have to be, blink gains ISK regardless of who wins or loses and that isk is sufficient to sustain anything they want to do I just had a run from 500m to 7b and I stopped not because blink likes me but because I got lucky, it's about luck you simply couldn't deal with being unlucky for a bit and decided to say it was rigged well that's your loss and I'll continue having fun while you are trying to make isk of a gambling site, it's all about the fun if you're not having fun you should stop.
Hay |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 20:31:00 -
[1418] - Quote
damn Lany, from 500m to 7b grats buddy. May your good fortune continue mate :) |
lanyaie
812
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 20:52:00 -
[1419] - Quote
hehe swedish gotta keep the ball rolling now I need a titan bpo....If I happen to get one I'll leave a present for you for next time you login Hay |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.26 20:56:00 -
[1420] - Quote
Then I will cheer you on from the sidelines mate. It's looking like I might be back home on wednesday-thursday this upcomming week. or at least Im hoping so. |
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Holy lanyaie's
Void Investments Invictus Void
3
|
Posted - 2013.01.27 01:06:00 -
[1421] - Quote
yay I'll see you then hopefully with a gift box containing some chocolates |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.27 22:20:00 -
[1422] - Quote
Well, only a few hours left on the 550T madness. too bad I cant be online for the draw. But I would like to thank Somer and all of the staff for another awesome celebration. (even tho I couldnt really participate) And good luck to everyone in the draw later, I hope you all win something, or at least have tons of fun. I know I would have if I were there.
//Swede |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.01.28 09:42:00 -
[1423] - Quote
A big grats to all the winners in the 550T and of course an even bigger thanks to the staff. Now I cant wait to get back home. Take care everyone. |
Xephiron
Shattered Reality
0
|
Posted - 2013.01.28 18:45:00 -
[1424] - Quote
Anyway have fun with blinking :D |
Holy lanyaie's
Void Investments Invictus Void
3
|
Posted - 2013.01.29 00:43:00 -
[1425] - Quote
Swedish Spaceman wrote:A big grats to all the winners in the 550T and of course an even bigger thanks to the staff. Now I cant wait to get back home. Take care everyone.
RAWR |
Yimir Wolf
WaKE Inc
3
|
Posted - 2013.02.01 18:04:00 -
[1426] - Quote
Set up is great, user friendly, BUT screw that. lost a lot of isk (for me) and won nothing, I dont wanna play a raffle where someone can buy half the tickets XP and I never win lol |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.02.01 23:39:00 -
[1427] - Quote
Im afraid thats gambling for you, Somtimes you win, sometimes you lose. Trust me, I've won and lost billions on blink. But the reason I play is to have fun, not to make a profit (even tho I prefer winning over losing.)
The only way to leave a casino with a small fortune is to walk in with a big one. |
Allison Blue
Lessor of Two Evils
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.02 12:31:00 -
[1428] - Quote
I just signed up and put in a promo code and got a free 2.5m credits, bid on the first thing I could afford and WON shockingly. I was instantly hooked and turned that 10m isk ship into 11.3mil credits and blew it all lol. Just deposited 50mil more and I intend on winning big! |
Swedish Spaceman
The Studmuffin's SpaceMonkey's Alliance
17
|
Posted - 2013.02.02 16:13:00 -
[1429] - Quote
Awesome, and welcome to blink. I hope you will have as much fun as I have had here :) |
deadmaus
farqar Corporation
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.02 16:33:00 -
[1430] - Quote
Well I fianally cast caution to the wind, and after 9 bets I decided its a scam, esp when the same people keep winning like:
am4nda
RattReaper
esp am4nda,, she was in all of my 9 bets and won at least 4 of mine and quite a few others and usually only had maybe 3 bets in each 3 of the 7 "lottery" i saw her ' win' ( management anyone?)
NO-ONE is that lucky ( I didnt win a thng mind you. I was expectiing the odd 'win' to keep me interested but no they are too greedy even to boyher with that now.
My advice..build it dont lottery it, especially with "winter blinkers over your eyes"
Cezary Oksaras wrote:Thank you for the 500t fest... I don't think I actually won anything but fun was still had...
and these are the types of people they LOVE and pray on. |
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deadmaus
farqar Corporation
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.02 16:35:00 -
[1431] - Quote
Xephiron wrote:Anyway have fun with blinking :D
If u love watching the same people win then yes.
|
Vargruk Hornet
NukeBroS
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.05 21:33:00 -
[1432] - Quote
Well, losed everything in Somer blink(sold char,assets) , well no reason to continue playing Eve. Be carefull guys,greed is bad.
o/ |
Replacement 234
Studies and Observation Group - Eve
76
|
Posted - 2013.02.06 03:37:00 -
[1433] - Quote
deadmaus wrote:Well I fianally cast caution to the wind, and after 9 bets I decided its a scam, esp when the same people keep winning like: am4nda RattReaper esp am4nda,, she was in all of my 9 bets and won at least 4 of mine and quite a few others and usually only had maybe 3 bets in each 3 of the 7 "lottery" i saw her ' win' ( management anyone?) NO-ONE is that lucky ( I didnt win a thng mind you. I was expectiing the odd 'win' to keep me interested but no they are too greedy even to boyher with that now. My advice..build it dont lottery it, especially with "winter blinkers over your eyes" Cezary Oksaras wrote:Thank you for the 500t fest... I don't think I actually won anything but fun was still had... and these are the types of people they LOVE and pray on.
OMG - YOU LOST NINE IN A ROW! I doubt that has happened to me ... well probably not more hundreds of times. And nobody can be lucky enough to win 3 of 7..... I think I've done that a few times, too.
Actually, I may not have lost nine straight very many times. See, there is this thing called luck, sometimes it is good for a person and sometimes it is bad for a person. When my luck is bad, for instance, when I first start a session and lose 5 in a row, I quit for a while. Very important for one who is GAMBLING to know when to quit. I have had many times when the "recently Played Blinks" list of the last 25 blinks under the "My Blinks" tab has had 5 streaks of five losses, when I've tested my luck on five different occasions and by not winning one out of five blinks, I chose on those five different occasions not to play, but to conserve my capital and try again later. Other times, I may have had 15 wins out of the 25 blinks listed. I am not going to take the time to consult my log, but I can tell you with confidence, that my losing streaks far outnumber my winning streaks. But my losing streaks are always short, and my winning streaks are only as long as they last and losing streak behind that is short. My testing of my luck is with small prizes and if my testing shows some promise, I will begin to increase the value of my bets and when it starts to run cold, I quickly ratchet down the value of the blinks and if it stays cold, I quit pretty quickly.
Trying to bet your way out of a bad streak is quite foolish.
It stands to reason that not all players can be lucky at the same time, as only one can win each blink and either 7 or 15 finish tickets will finish in second place. Those who tend to keep winning are probably having luck and are also probably looking at recent winning numbers and keeping an eye on the stats page for the eight bars which show the frequency of selection for the numbers 1 though 8. They usually play more than one ticket as well, but playing over half the tickets, though winning will still yield a profit, losing will begin to take considerable more wins to break even, than probablility will support. You can buy all the tickets in a game and have a100% win ratio and win yourself broke pretty quickly. Understanding the Theory of Probability and the Theory of Regression Toward the Mean helps also. But they are theories, not laws. like the law of gravity which is constant and can be overcome in various ways like centrifugal force or achieving manned flight.
Nine losses so it has to be a scam.... I think games of chance are not fitted to your view of the world and you might be happier avoiding them. I'm quite sure that experiencing something which relies on luck for success a mere nine times would make any statistician's head shake from side to side and bring forth a single word from most of them - "study"
For the guy who posted below you who sold character assets and now has no reason to play eve - I think you might have not taken a broad view of the first law of Eve - Never fly a ship you can't afford to lose. Think a little more expansively and try this as a first law of Eve - Never put at risk anything of game value you can't afford to lose.
One last thing for both of you - close your RL email accounts, and never open a link sent to you. |
Selkie Love
Native Freshfood Minmatar Republic
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.06 05:46:00 -
[1434] - Quote
32 losses in a row, most with one ticket bought, some with 50% of them bought.
So glad I got myself banned from blink :D |
Jakob Anedalle
Beelzebub Corp
58
|
Posted - 2013.02.06 23:52:00 -
[1435] - Quote
So the statistics talk about win/losses, but how about:
* Most requested ship Blink? * Most requested non-ship Blink?
Maybe both of those for all-time and for last 7 day period? Trying out all the things to do here in Eve - it's quite a checklist. So I made a blog Jakob's Eve Checklist |
JusFooling Around
JusFooling Around Corp
90
|
Posted - 2013.02.08 08:46:00 -
[1436] - Quote
Selkie Love wrote:32 losses in a row, most with one ticket bought, some with 50% of them bought.
So glad I got myself banned from blink :D
So, what kind of cheating were you doing to get yourself banned? You do know Blink won't ban you on request, right?
Is that sour grapes I smell coming from your post?
lesseee here... 32 losses.... hmmm... most with one ticket... dunno how many "most" really is, so give him the benefit of the doubt, let's say most equals 20, so that means 12 would be 50% or maybe less and he doesn't give us any idea if they are all 8 ticket or 16 ticket or a mix. but because he is such a doubtful guy, he gets that benefit again.
So, the 20 single ticket losses in 8 ticket games would mean 140 losing tickets and 20 winning tickets - that means 2 in 14 and by damn that means 1 in 7! He musta believed that crap some loser once told him about the "Law" of averages. Law is not a squishy word. Theory is really squishy. So the people who understand statistics named it the "Theory" of regression toward the mean. That basically means that given "some number" of random drawings, coin tosses, or jelly on one side of the bread drops - all possible outcomes will work their way back toward (careful here not to misunderstand reach, but only move toward) the same occurences as every other number, coin side, or jellied side. And the "some number" could be infinity. If it could be predicted, it would not be gambling. Yes, you could toss a coin 5000 times and not come up with an equal number of heads and tails. Unlikely the difference would be great, but it certainly is within the realm of actual trials to have been greater than 120. And because those stupid experiments are always done by graduate students who haven't learned enough about statistics to be taking the classes on their schedule so a professor gives them the assignment, they are probably not good at boring repetitive tasks and often just tell their professor they did it and fudge the numbers - you kinow, cheat.... Which is kind of ironic as failing to be bright enough to understand something as simple as probability theoriy often leads a person to an occupation which involves boring repetitive tasks.
The remaining 12 then would be losing at a 50% chance. Do you have any idea how many people have gone broke with real money thinking it was impossible to lose more than 12 times with a 50% chance of winning? Hell, I don't either. But when you get old enough to go into a real casino, just stand around and count them. Be sure not to wear any shoes or socks, because the number will be over 10 if you spend a couple of hours doing it.
I'll just bet you are not the only one who is glad you "got" yourself banned. And I don't really give a damn how you got caught cheating, or how you were cheating, so please, don't bore me any more than you already have. And I certainly hope I have bored you, too. Because I was replying to your quote and anyone else who read this far and got bored, well then, maybe they need to look at their ability to discern, and I don't give a damn if they are bored either. So, here's a toast to Blocks all around!
+ç+¬+º+ü!
|
Babar Baboli
CTRL-Q Iron Oxide.
19
|
Posted - 2013.02.08 12:55:00 -
[1437] - Quote
If I win the current minibonk, I will start a blog to salute all of you in Cognitive Distortion! Think about it! |
Kastio Delago
Dawn of a new Empire The Initiative.
1
|
Posted - 2013.02.09 04:18:00 -
[1438] - Quote
My Blink account was banned today because a separate computer (roomie's blink account still working) under the same IP played a promo when I did. Can I please be unbanned, at least until the bonks are finished then it's probably a good thing cause I spend way too much of the isk I win right back into this fantastically addictive game.
Cheers, KD |
Selkie Love
Native Freshfood Minmatar Republic
0
|
Posted - 2013.02.09 07:41:00 -
[1439] - Quote
JusFooling Around wrote:Selkie Love wrote:32 losses in a row, most with one ticket bought, some with 50% of them bought.
So glad I got myself banned from blink :D So, what kind of cheating were you doing to get yourself banned? You do know Blink won't ban you on request, right? Is that sour grapes I smell coming from your post? lesseee here... 32 losses.... hmmm... most with one ticket... dunno how many "most" really is, so give him the benefit of the doubt, let's say most equals 20, so that means 12 would be 50% or maybe less and he doesn't give us any idea if they are all 8 ticket or 16 ticket or a mix. but because he is such a doubtful guy, he gets that benefit again. So, the 20 single ticket losses in 8 ticket games would mean 140 losing tickets and 20 winning tickets - that means 2 in 14 and by damn that means 1 in 7! He musta believed that crap some loser once told him about the "Law" of averages. Law is not a squishy word. Theory is really squishy. So the people who understand statistics named it the "Theory" of regression toward the mean. That basically means that given "some number" of random drawings, coin tosses, or jelly on one side of the bread drops - all possible outcomes will work their way back toward (careful here not to misunderstand reach, but only move toward) the same occurences as every other number, coin side, or jellied side. And the "some number" could be infinity. If it could be predicted, it would not be gambling. Yes, you could toss a coin 5000 times and not come up with an equal number of heads and tails. Unlikely the difference would be great, but it certainly is within the realm of actual trials to have been greater than 120. And because those stupid experiments are always done by graduate students who haven't learned enough about statistics to be taking the classes on their schedule so a professor gives them the assignment, they are probably not good at boring repetitive tasks and often just tell their professor they did it and fudge the numbers - you kinow, cheat.... Which is kind of ironic as failing to be bright enough to understand something as simple as probability theoriy often leads a person to an occupation which involves boring repetitive tasks. The remaining 12 then would be losing at a 50% chance. Do you have any idea how many people have gone broke with real money thinking it was impossible to lose more than 12 times with a 50% chance of winning? Hell, I don't either. But when you get old enough to go into a real casino, just stand around and count them. Be sure not to wear any shoes or socks, because the number will be over 10 if you spend a couple of hours doing it. I'll just bet you are not the only one who is glad you "got" yourself banned. And I don't really give a damn how you got caught cheating, or how you were cheating, so please, don't bore me any more than you already have. And I certainly hope I have bored you, too. Because I was replying to your quote and anyone else who read this far and got bored, well then, maybe they need to look at their ability to discern, and I don't give a damn if they are bored either. So, here's a toast to Blocks all around! +ç+¬+º+ü!
4 were with 50% bought, the rest were with one bought, every blink was with 8 tickets.
(1/2)^4*(1-(1/8))^28 = .14% chance of occuring.
At that probability, you stop, and you ask yourself "Is it possible that it's not fair? Could it be, that instead of being fair, that there's some sort of rigging going on behind the scenes?"
To clarify: If I have a coin, with heads and tails, and I flip it 100 times, and every time it's heads- what are my odds on the next flip that it'll be heads?
If you use frequency statistics, you'll say 50%. If you use Bayesian statics, you'll say it'll be heads.
In short, I felt the numbers being generated were odd enough that I wouldn't play anymore. How I got myself banned was to loudly and frequently say I was botting in the main channel until I got a ban.
Now, it's entirely possible that blink is 100% fair, and that my one string of bad luck is indeed a statistical anomaly. They happen. I'd have to go AT LEAST 100 games, and to be halfway accurate, go 500 games. I didn't have the isk at the time though. |
RUS Comannder
Tremor Recorded Variable Enterprise Training Standards
22
|
Posted - 2013.02.09 18:16:00 -
[1440] - Quote
Babar Baboli wrote:If I win the current minibonk, I will start a blog to salute all of you in Cognitive Distortion! Think about it!
I thought about it. What i thought was it sounds like a guy who thinks a statement like that will scare everyone at Blink into somehow bestowing a win on you, as the meta message you are sending is that if you DON'T happen to be chosen by Random.org as a winner, you will blog unkind things about Blink.
You may not be be aware that they have had cheesy threats before, lived thru goofy accusations until the would be extortionists got tired of being laughed at.
Yeah, I thought about. Now it is time for you to think about it and how idiotic it sounds, even if it was meant in jest.
Good luck on the draw. |
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