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Aryn Septyr
State War Academy Caldari State
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.28 14:09:00 -
[1] - Quote
It seems that after many months of their value stagnating, recent events in New Eden have resulted in the largest sustained rise in price that this commodity has seen since the original introduction of PI.
Several weeks ago the price was holding level at around 12600, having slowly and steadily declined over a period of 6-8 months - yet it swiftly began a climb over several weeks to the new sell price of 16000 despite a couple of individuals evidently attempting to cash in by selling moderate stocks of it. Intriguingly, in the last 24-48 hours it would seem the sell price has hiked still further to 18800, with significant increases of buy orders following behind it.
Likely this is down to a mixture of factors such as the final drying up of supplies that were obtained from NPC sell orders around the introduction of PI, aswell as potential interdiction of PI supply by higher isotope fuel costs for logistics capitals, the diverting of PI to the creation of custom office components following the recent dev blog and of course the heavy drop in player activity that took place in the recent several months likely altering levels of supply and demand.
Either way, it seems investors have noticed that this is a good opportunity for investment, with the usual buy up of 100-200k units per day rising to a peak of 1.6 million units yesterday. Possibly the several gentlemen who have patiently been holding orders of 4 million units each at the 37000-45000 per unit price for the last year may be about to see a reward for that patience.
Certainly the numbers of people liable to still hold stocks of this item will have diminished significantly. Around 1.8 million units in several sell orders seperate this item from further price rises, leaving us waiting to see what investors will do next.
Time will tell. |

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
445
|
Posted - 2011.10.28 14:45:00 -
[2] - Quote
Aryn Septyr wrote:Either way, it seems investors have noticed that this is a good opportunity for investment, with the usual buy up of 100-200k units per day rising to a peak of 1.6 million units yesterday. Possibly the several gentlemen who have patiently been holding orders of 4 million units each at the 37000-45000 per unit price for the last year may be about to see a reward for that patience.
Certainly the numbers of people liable to still hold stocks of this item from the old NPC sell orders will have diminished significantly now that a year of steady cashing in has occured. Around 2 million units in several sell orders seperate this item from further price rises, leaving us waiting to see what investors will do next.
Time will tell.
Still sitting on my stock from NPC days... DUST is getting closer so no point in selling neither the GS or PV at this point.
Get them while they're cheap~ 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Mantra Achura
Community for Justice BricK sQuAD.
3
|
Posted - 2011.10.28 22:15:00 -
[3] - Quote
Same here. The time has come to push prices...
Keeping more than 4 million items total in GS and PV of old stocks horded for 1 year and still buying..  |

Akrasjel Lanate
Naquatech Conglomerate
149
|
Posted - 2011.10.29 12:10:00 -
[4] - Quote
Sell... Sell... Sell... |

Cloe Toombs
Arachnea Phoenix Battalion
2
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 13:28:00 -
[5] - Quote
Actually, the hike is temporary and the market is more likely to crash than climb as there is a lot more stockpiled GS available than buy orders, hell, even sell orders outnumber the buy orders by a fair margin, and the current consumption rate has the current stock piles lasting for several months if not a couple of years.
So yea, sell sell sell. |

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
453
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 14:22:00 -
[6] - Quote
Two posters above me have a lot of GS they want to buy, so SELL SELL SELL! 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Cloe Toombs
Arachnea Phoenix Battalion
2
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 15:00:00 -
[7] - Quote
Yes, because those who've bought in will certainly turn a profit when the market takes a nose dive, good logic.
I suspect the poster above is sitting on a mountain of GS and wouldn't like the market to have it's bottom fall out. But there's very few buy orders left right now, and the bulk is sitting at 12k. So I can only conclude my previous statement has merit.
|

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
456
|
Posted - 2011.11.04 06:26:00 -
[8] - Quote
Cloe Toombs wrote:Yes, because those who've bought in will certainly turn a profit when the market takes a nose dive, good logic.
I suspect the poster above is sitting on a mountain of GS and wouldn't like the market to have it's bottom fall out. But there's very few buy orders left right now, and the bulk is sitting at 12k. So I can only conclude my previous statement has merit.
Lol, of course I got a mountain of GS, but that doesn't mean I care about the prices _now_, half a year before prices will be good for selling.
Still doesn't mean the price will again nosedive as there's been a price correction. 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Kara Books
Hedion University Amarr Empire
6
|
Posted - 2011.11.04 07:03:00 -
[9] - Quote
Recent market discussions in SCC-lounge confirm approximate 15% inflation, I myself also believe this is the number where everything will even out, so don't get hyped into buying stuff that seems a bit overinflated.
Look what happened to PLEX.... yesterday we had buy orders at 450 but right now its taken a steep nosedive, who knows about tomorow but, my point is, dont get caught in the hype especially if your not on the ball of exactly whats going on. |

Inbrainsane
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.04 10:30:00 -
[10] - Quote
They will crash. You should sell now. Supercarriers wont use small drones in the upcoming winter expansion. GS are mainly used to produce those drones. |

Dunbar Hulan
The Flaming Sideburn's Art of War Alliance
18
|
Posted - 2011.11.04 13:44:00 -
[11] - Quote
I have stacks of these sitting in CL-85V. I can check the actual quantities tonight when I log in. If anyone wants to do some business then shoot me a mail. Cheers. Dunbar. There it is. |

David Carel
Amok. Goonswarm Federation
160
|
Posted - 2011.12.02 16:20:00 -
[12] - Quote
Dunbar Hulan wrote:I have stacks of these sitting in CL-85V. I can check the actual quantities tonight when I log in. If anyone wants to do some business then shoot me a mail. Cheers. Dunbar.
Hi
How much and what price? |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
479
|
Posted - 2011.12.02 18:16:00 -
[13] - Quote
At this point in time, the only people determining price of Guidance Systems are speculators holding GS and speculators looking to buy GS. As such, actual market price could fluctuate in just about any direction at any given moment.
It'll probably be another 2-3 years before actual consumption reduces the stockpiles low enough so that "real" supply and demand take the reins back. You know, as opposed to speculative supply and demand. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

Riley Moore
Perkone Caldari State
0
|
Posted - 2011.12.02 19:14:00 -
[14] - Quote
I'm with Akita on this, there's a vast stockpile of this stuff floating in quite a few people's hangars. We're really talking multi millions of units. All speculation's game. Need Researched BPO's? Be it drones, ammo, charges, you name it, visit my forum store now! https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=445524#post445524 |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
134
|
Posted - 2011.12.02 19:48:00 -
[15] - Quote
Allow me to help you all with some math regarding production of Guidance Systems. Tax total for various production methods. JUST the Customs Office Tax, to produce ONE unit of GS. Calculations use 10% (highsec) tax rate.
>>> p0=.5 >>> p1=50. >>> p2=900. >>> p3=7000. extraction -> p0 -> p1 -> p2 -> GS >>> p3+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*p2+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*8*2*p1+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*8*2*150*p0 36000.0 extraction -> p1 -> p2 -> GS >>> p3+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*p2+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*8*2*p1 24000.0 extraction -> p1 -> GS >>> p3+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*8*2*p1 15000.0 extraction -> p2 -> GS >>> p3+(10./3.)*2*(1.5)*p2 16000.0
GS cannot be produced on a single planet so extraction -> p3 is invalid. We see that if you use the most efficient possible method, you will still pay 15,000 isk in *taxes alone* to produce 1 unit of GS. Totally disregarding the market value of GS long-term or prepatch, these things must be worth at LEAST 15,000 isk/u. Pre-crucible, p3's seemed to have a market value of 40-70k. If you an Interbus CO tax rate, you get 25,500 isk/u in taxes alone for ONE unit of GS.
Guidance Systems buy orders are currently in the 17k range, and they are available in the low 20s on sells.
Single best investment in the game. |

Scrapyard Bob
EVE University Ivy League
432
|
Posted - 2011.12.02 21:13:00 -
[16] - Quote
Most people will probably make Guidance Systems using a "skip a tier" manufacturing design going forward though. So you can take the P2 export/import tariff out of your calculation.
((P1a + P1b + P1c + P1d) + (4 * import tariff)) * 80 = input cost (P3 market value - export tariff) * 3 = output value
Water, Reactive Metals, Chiral, Plasmoids - are the 4 P1s
((382+417+708+541))+(4*25) * 80 = 171840 ISK (25227 - 7000) * 3 = 54681 ISK margin = -68%
Given the current price of P1s, the lowest price for GS to be worth making would be around 60-61k ISK/u (5% margin for a hi-sec "skip-a-tier" factory planet).
So yes, once the stockpiles eventually run out, that's the price they'll rise to. The big question is "how big are those stockpiles" and "how fast will they deplete". |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
135
|
Posted - 2011.12.03 16:51:00 -
[17] - Quote
Scrapyard Bob wrote: So yes, once the stockpiles eventually run out, that's the price they'll rise to. The big question is "how big are those stockpiles" and "how fast will they deplete".
Or, "do you have 20b isk sitting around doing nothing?" and "would you like it to be 60b+ isk when DUST 514 is released?" |

Incartes
Black Viper Nomads
0
|
Posted - 2011.12.03 17:29:00 -
[18] - Quote
pmchem wrote:Scrapyard Bob wrote: So yes, once the stockpiles eventually run out, that's the price they'll rise to. The big question is "how big are those stockpiles" and "how fast will they deplete".
Or, "do you have 20b isk sitting around doing nothing?" and "would you like it to be 60b+ isk when DUST 514 is released?"
Do you think dust will really have that much impact on it? |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
488
|
Posted - 2011.12.03 17:42:00 -
[19] - Quote
pmchem wrote:Or, "do you have 20b isk sitting around doing nothing?" and "would you like it to be 60b+ isk when DUST 514 is released?" That's assuming DUST will be enough of a success for long enough to have plenty of people in it consuming enough stuff, and that's also assuming Guidance Systems will do something pretty useful in DUST as opposed to being not more important that anything else around, and also assuming the numbers vehiculated for GS stockpiles are grossly out of proportion with actual stockpiles. An awful lot of assumptions right there. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
136
|
Posted - 2011.12.03 18:47:00 -
[20] - Quote
Akita T wrote: Sure, the price MIGHT go up to 60k a piece or even higher even before then, but it won't be due to the actual demand, just speculative demand. And it could crash back to 20k or even lower soon after. That's why I was saying the main driver of prices is speculators and people with stockpiles, not actual consumers nor producers. And it can go either way. I heard rumors of anything up to a combined total of over 800 mil units purchased game-wide before they cut NPC orders down - even with an assumed 150k/day average consumption, that would be 14 years before the stockpiles are gone.
I like how you don't mention taxes once in your wall of text, which was what brought this thread back to life. You're not even vaguely self-consistent. Your joke numbers hinge on "I heard rumors" of some outrageous number, but previously you posted this:
Akita T wrote: The right question is NOT how many were seeded, but how many were PURCHASED massively just before the patch. And the answer to that lies in the still-visible in-game market history. It's a pretty damn easily noticeable thing on the graphs/tables.
As to the second thing, no, the stockpiles DO NOT need to get exhausted before prices spike to near or above PI-parity. Only the stockpiles in the possession of IMPATIENT people need to be exhausted before that happens. The price could reach PI-parity equilibrium long before the already purchased stocks are gone.
Akita has went from a still-visible number bought that was "pretty damn easily noticeable" to a thing of rumors (with a number pulled out of thin air). He went from saying that stockpiles "DO NOT need to get exhausted before prices spike", to saying we need to wait years for stockpiles. He's just dishing out fear, uncertainty, and doubt , for whatever reason. Mitt Romney level flip-flop going on.
People, look at the price history yourselves. Now add in both increased consumption of GS, and an additional ~15k/u in taxes. Try and find anything else that's an equal long term investment. If you can't, it's time for you to decide if you want to be on this train or not. The taxes are here and the math is on GS' side. |

Mantra Achura
Community for Justice BricK sQuAD.
10
|
Posted - 2011.12.04 13:01:00 -
[21] - Quote
One of the items more suitable for DUST would be planetary vehicles. The name speaks for itself.
Regarding GS I've never been sure about it, to be frank. It grants great profits WHEN prices will adapt to its real value, but it will take ages. So I've switched over to PV the last weeks and dumped the last 1 million of GS to the market as I'm writing this post.
Thanks for the price bump guys. Good luck! |

Callduron
18
|
Posted - 2011.12.04 13:10:00 -
[22] - Quote
Both Guidance Systems and Planetary Vehicles are solid long term investments but right now there are stronger options. The patch has just come out, people are scrabbling for the new toys there are some obvious places to put your isk that will pay off before Christmas.
As for the timeline, I think we will see increasing pressure on stocks as we get closer to DUST. If you look at Customs Offices in overview you get the option to Add Orbital Infrastructure to Overview. The implication is that POCOs are just one of a suite of orbital structures that will be made of planetary products. The demand for PI will go up as more of these destructible items are incorporated into the game. |

Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge Caldari State
38
|
Posted - 2011.12.04 23:01:00 -
[23] - Quote
Scrapyard Bob wrote: So yes, once the stockpiles eventually run out, that's the price they'll rise to. The big question is "how big are those stockpiles" and "how fast will they deplete".
If they are only used in t2 drones the stockpiles could last years.
|

Callduron
18
|
Posted - 2011.12.04 23:46:00 -
[24] - Quote
Anya Ohaya wrote:Scrapyard Bob wrote: So yes, once the stockpiles eventually run out, that's the price they'll rise to. The big question is "how big are those stockpiles" and "how fast will they deplete".
If they are only used in t2 drones the stockpiles could last years.
Every planetary item is used in some P4 or other. There will be steady drain on both of these stockpiles as people build structures, blow them up and re-build. |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
510
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 01:55:00 -
[25] - Quote
pmchem wrote:I like how you don't mention taxes once Because how much it costs to make new ones is of little relevance at the time being.
Quote:You're not even vaguely self-consistent. Your joke numbers hinge on "I heard rumors" of some outrageous number Quite the opposite, it is extremely self-consistent. My position is that while the price of them on the market might at times almost match their "fresh manufacture" obvious costs (even including the occasional "stuff I make is free therefore worthless" silly line of thinking), as long as massive stockpiles exist the manufacture costs (whichever section of them you want to consider) are only a vague set of guidelines instead of a hardcore rule. As for the so-called "joke numbers", it's called doing a realistic worst case scenario back-of-envelope assessment. It's SUPPOSED to sound outrageous to almost everybody. If it doesn't, you're not doing it right.
Quote:Akita has went from a still-visible number bought that was "pretty damn easily noticeable" to a thing of rumors (with a number pulled out of thin air). The numbers WERE easily noticeable in the regions in which I looked (very few), and whoever would have bothered to actually fly to every region where NPCs were selling them to calculate the actual total would have certain numbers (which I didn't). Some people claimed to have been to all those regions and summed up the NPC sales numbers, and those totals became the rumours, which might or might not have been amplified. Do YOU have a hard number ? I already admitted that I don't. You haven't even begun to present a likely number, let alone back it up with anything, not even rumours.
Quote:He went from saying that stockpiles "DO NOT need to get exhausted before prices spike", to saying we need to wait years for stockpiles. There is absolutely no contradiction whatsoever between NOT needing to have exhausted stockpiles for prices to spike (all you need is enough speculator confidence) and needing to wait years upon years for the price to be determined by actual supply and demand as opposed to speculative pressures on both sides larger than the actual producer-consumer forces (which will only happen after most of the stockpiles are gone and then some).
Quote:People, look at the price history yourselves. Now add in both increased consumption of GS, and an additional ~15k/u in taxes. Try and find anything else that's an equal long term investment. If you can't, it's time for you to decide if you want to be on this train or not. The taxes are here and the math is on GS' side. And credit default swaps were also a good idea, because price of homes could only ever go up... amirite ?
GS have NOT been profitable to make (unless you go the "MIMAFTW" route) since the day their manufacture was possible. Virtually all of the actual consumption happened from pre-NPC-order-removal stockpiles slightly topped off by the occasional PIdiot. That could remain the case even after DUST bites the proverbial dust. Or it could already start not being the case anymore. I don't know for sure, and you don't know either, or know and don't want to tell because it would damage your case.
Yes, you could make double or triple your ISK in a few months or a year, maybe even more... or you could make next to nothing, or you could lose a good portion of it if you wait too long or too little. That's the whole point about the price of a good that's MAINLY determined by stockpiles and speculators instead of producers and consumers - it can go either way really fast based on CONFIDENCE rather than anything else.
Remember this though : the more speculators hold the same amount of stockpiles, the more unpredictable things become. If almost all of the stockpiles were in the hands of a single extremely patient and non-malicious person, he could dictate prices almost perfectly, maximizing his own gain while not ripping anybody else off by keeping a steady sales stream at a price where nobody else would be silly enough to bother selling at, prices so steady nobody would even think of speculation. But put the exact same total stockpile in the hands of a few thousands of people each with a different-sized pile and various patience levels, and there's no telling WHAT will happen. Well, you could, but only in hindsight. Prediction would be ludicrously inaccurate.
Want to participate in a somewhat but not very risky speculation with decent enough return chances on reasonable amounts ? Fine, participate in the GS craze then. Just enter in it with your eyes open, KNOWING that it's NOT a "sure thing". It might still be better than investing in bonds, but again, it's not a sure thing. As long as you're fully aware of that, be my guest, buy up all the stockpiles you want HOPING that you can sell them before everybody else holding some does at the peak of the prices, or hoping that the prices will remain up for an indeterminate amount of time. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

David Forge
Forge Enterprises
1
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 02:15:00 -
[26] - Quote
When people are done buying up guidance systems I've got some tulip bulbs that everyone is just going love. |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
510
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 02:24:00 -
[27] - Quote
David Forge wrote:When people are done buying up guidance systems I've got some tulip bulbs that everyone is just going love. At least with tulips you had no ceiling (at least not at the timespans involved in the craze). With GS you have a pretty low ceiling, the value at which they start to be profitable to make via PI, a price at which all climbing would literally stop overnight. This is basically a reverse tulip craze combined with a game of musical chairs (or "tossing the hot potato")  http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
141
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 04:49:00 -
[28] - Quote
that was a lot of words to re-iterate that you don't know anything about the GS market, that people can make money off it, and to show that you're just waving more fear, uncertainty, and doubt around.
as you disproved pretty much nothing of what I said I'm just gonna let it stand vOv. You seem to live in a disconnected world where an item's future equilibrium value has no bearing on its speculative market value -- a theory which is consistently disproven by the markets both in Eve and real life. Or maybe you're just madly quoting posts and waving hands so you can get some buy orders filled on an alt, who knows? |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
510
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 06:38:00 -
[29] - Quote
pmchem wrote:that was a lot of words to re-iterate that you don't know anything about the GS market, that people can make money off it, and to show that you're just waving more fear, uncertainty, and doubt around. To reiterate that I don't know ENOUGH about the GS market to tell you anything about how long until prices are almost guaranteed to go up and stay up. There's money to be made in any unstable or fluctuating market, if you manage to ride the waves in the right direction.
There's no uncertainty or doubt about it - it is absolutely CERTAIN and without a doubt that the current market needs are completely fulfilled by people selling NPC-purchased stocks for a profit, that any serious purchase orders are made by people betting that the price will keep going up. The market price is almost exclusively driven by speculating people's guts not by the sweat of the producers (there's next to none of those) nor the needs of the consumers (which make up a small portion of the current-day purchasers). As for the fear... the SHRED of fear is not unreasonable... the fear that the current price increase is only a temporary spike, and that people that buy near the peak will either have to take a loss or wait for quite a long while to recover their investment or make a profit.
Quote:as you disproved pretty much nothing of what I said I'm just gonna let it stand vOv. You seem to live in a disconnected world where an item's future equilibrium value has no bearing on its speculative market value -- a theory which is consistently disproven by the markets both in Eve and real life. Or maybe you're just madly quoting posts and waving hands so you can get some buy orders filled on an alt, who knows? There was nothing to disprove. I am simply presenting the situation from a different perspective. We haven't really disagreed all that much yet, only about just how much of a "sure and good thing" mass-purchasing GS right now might be.
P.S. Unless you equate "urging caution" with "spreading fear, uncertainty and doubt", in which case, yeah, I totally am. IF you have 20 bil ISK you care not what might happen to it, sure, go right ahead, turn them into anything between 10 bil and 60 bil after a 3 to 15 month wait and a bit of work. I have far more free-floating ISK than that which I would not care all that much about if they vanished, but this GS thing still does not look like a "sure enough" thing TO ME, or at least too much of a hassle to bother with, again, as far as I am concerned. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

Sangard
Firebrands
7
|
Posted - 2011.12.05 09:15:00 -
[30] - Quote
There are enough stockpiles and I guess enough people out there still producing GS on a high sec planet with 20k taxes just because gathering and building stuff is their passion ...
It will take a long time till the stockpiles are gone but as Akita said, thats not the only factor for the market value.
|

Callduron
18
|
Posted - 2011.12.06 07:37:00 -
[31] - Quote
I'm not in the Forge at the moment but I assume Lonetrek is broadly similar to the Jita price trends. Here in Lonetrek, looking at the graph of the 20d Moving Average for the last year it starts under 5k, spikes to about 17k, then declines to about 11k, stays there for a few months, then in September starts moving up again.
In other words it's been behaving as Akita T predicts (fluctuating) rather than behaving as PMchem seems to be predicting (surefire price rise). |

Lord Zim
Bat Country Goonswarm Federation
222
|
Posted - 2011.12.06 09:18:00 -
[32] - Quote
Sangard wrote:There are enough stockpiles and I guess enough people out there still producing GS on a high sec planet with 20k taxes just because gathering and building stuff is their passion ... Have you done the math on how much it would cost, effectively, if you made GS from scratch? |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
519
|
Posted - 2011.12.06 11:53:00 -
[33] - Quote
Lord Zim wrote:Have you done the math on how much it would cost, effectively, if you made GS from scratch? You were, still are and will most likely keep on LOSING money by making GS from scratch ever since they were introduced and up to an unknowable point into the future.
http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/Contributor_name:Akita_T#Contributions_link_collection |

Lord Zim
Bat Country Goonswarm Federation
223
|
Posted - 2011.12.06 13:57:00 -
[34] - Quote
That's what I was getting at. The last time I did the math, I think I got a minimum cost of 60k pr unit. Obviously, the new taxes up that price 15-16k or so I think it was, so "enough people out there still producing GS" would be dumbasses better served making other things and gradually purchasing GS for a retirement package down the road. |

Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge Caldari State
38
|
Posted - 2011.12.07 03:50:00 -
[35] - Quote
Lord Zim wrote:Sangard wrote:There are enough stockpiles and I guess enough people out there still producing GS on a high sec planet with 20k taxes just because gathering and building stuff is their passion ... Have you done the math on how much it would cost, effectively, if you made GS from scratch?
Depends on how much you value your P1. If you value P1 at lowest sell prices then the total opportunity cost + taxes would be close to 60,000.
You could make them cheaper by using buy orders for P1, and a lot cheaper by buying P2, although you'd still be making a loss. |

Sangard
Firebrands
8
|
Posted - 2012.01.03 10:04:00 -
[36] - Quote
Your forget one thing. There a people out in space they do not think in such an economic way. They just build that stuff cause they will not buy anything for their production. I know a couple of people who play and think like this. And if I know some of them, my guess is, there are a lot more. |

Lord Zim
Bat Country Goonswarm Federation
492
|
Posted - 2012.01.03 21:58:00 -
[37] - Quote
I'll buy their GS at 16k if their time is free. No worries. |

Tauranon
Weeesearch
17
|
Posted - 2012.01.04 03:31:00 -
[38] - Quote
Sangard wrote:Your forget one thing. There a people out in space they do not think in such an economic way. They just build that stuff cause they will not buy anything for their production. I know a couple of people who play and think like this. And if I know some of them, my guess is, there are a lot more.
They don't matter much. They are usually laughably bad at the resource gathering task anyway, and their items keep getting transformed by smarter marketeers into more valuable items before they ever reach "true" consumers of those items.
I sell t1 hulls periodically. In the last 3 months, I've had production running for 3 weeks. I produce 65 a week of the 20-27mil hulls, and thats enough to match the production of a typical scatter gatherer for a year. Since I sold into the market peaks, its probable that I put 180 hulls into the hands of 180 pilots (or rather 60 pilots, some of whom were likely to consume a stack of those hulls blowing other peoples stuff up). ie my production purely satisfied demand.
Anyone that sells below mins costs, sells a lot of stock to people who will either resell the item, or melt the item - ie their turnover does not immediately reach anywhere near as high a percentage of actual end consumers, ie much less of their production satisfies demand. Consumers actually check the market a lot less frequently too, so they cherry pick a disproportionately small proportion of the underpriced stock.
|

Scrapyard Bob
EVE University Ivy League
581
|
Posted - 2012.01.04 05:40:00 -
[39] - Quote
Sangard wrote:Your forget one thing. There a people out in space they do not think in such an economic way. They just build that stuff cause they will not buy anything for their production. I know a couple of people who play and think like this. And if I know some of them, my guess is, there are a lot more.
Oh, there are lots of them out there, and the rest of us just buy their goods and either sell them for a profit or reprocess them down into base minerals and make something else (or sell the minerals).
Making GS from P2s today costs about 52k ISK (there's some sagging going on in P1/P2 prices). |

Trinkets friend
Obstergo NEM3SIS.
77
|
Posted - 2012.01.04 06:04:00 -
[40] - Quote
I bought 1 bil of GS back before the PI system even came along. Sold out for a healthy profit. Still can't believe they are only 16K/u. Keep dreaming the good dream, GS lovers, I'm sure you'll triple your ISk evnetually. I prefer to make do with simpler, faster stuff where I can triple my money in a week. The skilful employer of men will employ the wise man, the brave man, the covetous man, and the stupid man. Sun Tzu
|

Lyris Nairn
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
5620
|
Posted - 2012.01.05 12:05:00 -
[41] - Quote
By the time you hear about an opportunity, some puppermaster has already set it up for the snipe. Sky Captain of Your Heart; Lyris Chronicles of Narnia in the World of Tomorrow's Goonfleet dot Com; Good Poster Extraordinaire and Spacebook Superstar : RIFTERSWARM I am the Pubbie Whisperer |

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
704
|
Posted - 2012.01.08 04:03:00 -
[42] - Quote
And then it seems GS are back up to 34k, seems people are seriously getting prepared for DUST. 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
109
|
Posted - 2012.01.08 08:47:00 -
[43] - Quote
Lyris Nairn wrote:By the time you hear about an opportunity, some puppermaster has already set it up for the snipe.
That's information asymmetry, one of the most powerful weapons a trader got. |

Mantra Achura
Community for Justice BricK sQuAD.
74
|
Posted - 2012.01.08 22:52:00 -
[44] - Quote
Rakshasa Taisab wrote:And then it seems GS are back up to 34k, seems people are seriously getting prepared for DUST.
And planetary vehicles prices are pushed to new heights as well.
($).($) |

corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
52
|
Posted - 2012.01.09 00:33:00 -
[45] - Quote
Mantra Achura wrote:Rakshasa Taisab wrote:And then it seems GS are back up to 34k, seems people are seriously getting prepared for DUST. And planetary vehicles prices are pushed to new heights as well. ($).($)
Someone bought them up from 36k to 42k.
Then someone else bought them up to that 444,444 unit order at 64,444.44 just to see who held that order.  |

Dimitryy
Broski Enterprises Elite Space Guild
12
|
Posted - 2012.01.09 01:13:00 -
[46] - Quote
Oh its this thread again |

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
707
|
Posted - 2012.01.09 07:29:00 -
[47] - Quote
corestwo wrote:Someone bought them up from 36k to 42k. Then someone else bought them up to that 444,444 unit order at 64,444.44 just to see who held that order.  Managed to move some stock by selling peaked GS and buying PV at 34k...
Sadly I never got time buy more than 400k PV at that price. ;( 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Mantra Achura
Community for Justice BricK sQuAD.
74
|
Posted - 2012.01.09 18:44:00 -
[48] - Quote
corestwo wrote:Mantra Achura wrote:Rakshasa Taisab wrote:And then it seems GS are back up to 34k, seems people are seriously getting prepared for DUST. And planetary vehicles prices are pushed to new heights as well. ($).($) Someone bought them up from 36k to 42k. Then someone else bought them up to that 444,444 unit order at 64,444.44 just to see who held that order. 
I've bought the 1.13 mill from 36k to 42k and two other guys bought the rest.  |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
190
|
Posted - 2012.01.10 01:12:00 -
[49] - Quote
Akita T wrote:It might still be better than investing in bonds, but again, it's not a sure thing.
confirming that if you bought GS at the start of December you were much better off than buying the typical crappy eveo MD bond.
GS daily average on Dec 1, 2011: 17,651 isk/u GS daily average on Jan 8, 2012: 28,000 isk/u (most recent complete, visible day of data)
those who followed Akita's guidance safely stayed out of this market and avoided the next Titans4U. welp! |

pmchem
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
190
|
Posted - 2012.01.10 01:19:00 -
[50] - Quote
p.s. that post is really just because I know it will drive akita crazy not to respond, I apologize for the gnashing of teeth akita |

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
708
|
Posted - 2012.01.10 02:12:00 -
[51] - Quote
pmchem wrote:p.s. that post is really just because I know it will drive akita crazy not to respond, I apologize for the gnashing of teeth akita But no one knew exactly _WHEN_ it would jump in price, so you might have had to *oh the horror* let ISK sit still for a whole month or three before it doubled in value. 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |

Weaselior
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
2117
|
Posted - 2012.01.11 19:08:00 -
[52] - Quote
ahh goonanace systems
only made 7,000% return so far |

Amy Elteam
No Bull Ships
2
|
Posted - 2012.01.12 01:33:00 -
[53] - Quote
Weaselior wrote:ahh goonanace systems
only made 7,000% return so far
And you should clarify, for all those wierd people who use commas instead of decimal points, that you really mean 'seven thousand percent'.
|

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
711
|
Posted - 2012.01.13 08:50:00 -
[54] - Quote
Amy Elteam wrote:Weaselior wrote:ahh goonanace systems
only made 7,000% return so far And you should clarify, for all those wierd people who use commas instead of decimal points, that you really mean 'seven thousand percent'. 7% is an excellent ROI for people here in MD~ 84,000 AUR ($420) spent on NeX store for Troll and Profit. |
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