Jonai
Caldari
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Posted - 2007.08.23 14:01:00 -
[1]
I have done some research on how salvaging work and I would like to
present my results to the community.
I have the salvaging skill at level 1 and I don't use any rigs.
After successfully salvaging 174 ships, I had done a total of 522
salvaging attempts (including the successful ones). Out of the 174
successful salvages, 89 had loot.
Assuming that each salvage attempt is independent of the other salvage
attempts, the estimate for the probability of a successful salvage is
33.33% with a standard deviation of 0.9726%. Given that a salvage is
successful, the estimated probability for the wreck to contain any
loot is 51.15% with a standard deviation of 1.894%.
It is worth mentioning that all the wrecks I salvaged was small wrecks
in level 1 missions.
Now, still assuming that the salvaging attempts are independent, the
expected number of salvaging attempts needed to successfully salvage a
wreck is 1/0.3333=3, that is, on average 3 attempts is needed. As each
attempt takes 10 seconds, the salvage time will be 30 seconds on
average.
It is also worth noting that if you are using two salvagers, it is
better to salvage two different wrecks at the same time than using
both salvagers on the same wreck. The loss in using both salvagers on
the same wreck is 3 seconds per wreck on average. For three wrecks,
the loss in using all salvagers on the same wreck instead of three
different wrecks is 4.2 seconds per wreck on average. These results
depend on the probability to successfully salvage. If, for instance,
the probability to successfully salvage is 50%, these numbers will be
3.3 and 4.8 seconds respectively. Thus, as your salvaging skill
improve it is even more important do disperse the use of the
salvagers.
I'm not sure if anyone else find this interesting, but I like to know
the probabilities and expected times though. :)
I will be back with more results as I progress. I would like to
estimate the impact of training salvaging to level 2. Also, I would
like to estimate the effect of installing salvaging rigs. A third
thing is to see the impact of salvaging bigger ship wrecks.
Cheers,
Jonai
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