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RaTTuS
BIG
Gentlemen's Agreement
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Posted - 2011.04.07 09:21:00 -
[61]
Since we have a new patch
Total for base rate 40%
4/4/4 51.00% [above]
5/5/4 52.99% [above]
5/5/5 45.45% [below] [but improving]
Since last patch
4/4/4 0%
5/5/4 0%
5/5/5 0%
5/5/5 has been increasing
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Yith Za'bolazhi
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Posted - 2011.04.07 11:20:00 -
[62]
Why or why do poeple have to necro these disfunctional forum threads.
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RaTTuS
BIG
Gentlemen's Agreement
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Posted - 2011.04.07 12:10:00 -
[63]
because we have a new patch and we'll get a spate of invention has been nurfed threads
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Doctor Badger
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Posted - 2011.04.07 14:58:00 -
[64]
 Originally by: dungabee
Funny that the same working-as-expected RNG keeps generating Incursions in Amarr space.
Amarr holds sov in more empire systems than any other faction by a large margin. Of course there's going to be a disproportionate number of incursions into Amarr space.
Amarr: 702
Caldari: 326
Gallente: 388
Minmatar: 280
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RaTTuS
BIG
Gentlemen's Agreement
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Posted - 2011.04.15 16:32:00 -
[65]
Total for base rate 40%
4/4/4 50.65% [above]
5/5/4 53.17% [above]
5/5/5 47.23% [below] [but improving]
Since last patch
4/4/4 48.28% [slightly below]
5/5/4 56.56% [Above]
5/5/5 58.14% [Above]
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Doddy
Excidium.
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Posted - 2011.04.15 17:27:00 -
[66]
Originally by: Honey Lovetrap
In another words, EvE RNG should be updated that it have memory of success or failures in the past of each character individually and with those numbers on its mind balance chance of invention process.
So the RNG should not be a RNG at all.
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Florence Valentine
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Posted - 2011.04.15 17:55:00 -
[67]
I would like to point you to this excellent read, Alex's Adventures in Numberland.
Very well written, and gives a nice explanation of the "law of large numbers", which should help.
I.e. Your invention success rate over many, many, many attempts will average out at exactly the calculated rate found with this equation.
The "law of large numbers" also explains why gambling is a mug's game, but you knew that already.. right?
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RaTTuS
BIG
Gentlemen's Agreement
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Posted - 2011.05.16 10:29:00 -
[68]
Total for base rate 40%
4/4/4 51.84% [above]
5/5/4 50.88% [above]
5/5/5 48.69% [below] [but improving]
Since last patch
4/4/4 53.85% [Above]
5/5/4 43.81% [Below] [had a really bad run for a few days]
5/5/5 54.19% [Above]
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Tehg Rhind
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Posted - 2011.05.17 15:09:00 -
[69]
It is possible to calculate expected ranges of # of successes (X) for a total # of inventions (n) by using a normal approximation of a binomial distribution. It's pretty simple really. But all this data everyon keeps giving out is totally worthless if they don't include the # of trials (n).
Tempted to calculate the %iles (5/95) for 10/100/1k runs. Hmmmm. Yeah I'm going to do that.....
When CCP decides to do some overhaul of the market/industry stuff they should look at the way that past invention jobs are reported, showing the input characterisitics and including some aggregates of the data (n runs under these conditions, x successes)
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Phizban
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Posted - 2011.05.17 19:32:00 -
[70]
This one time, I invented something and it didn't work.
Sunny D and Rum, yum yum. |
RaTTuS
BIG
Gentlemen's Agreement
|
Posted - 2011.05.20 14:17:00 -
[71]
Total for base rate 40%
4/4/4 51.65% [above]
5/5/4 51.25% [above]
5/5/5 48.48% [below] [but improving]
Since last patch
4/4/4 70.00% [Above]
5/5/4 77.78% [Above]
5/5/5 54.55% [Above]
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