seems like monkey's throwing excrement at each other.

I won't even bother with goon's Pravda site, and EN 24 seems little better.

wan't
(if I'm wrong somewhere feel free to correct me)

*gnashes teeth*

I'm not impartial but I will try to paint a somewhat objective picture of the situation.

CFC:

CFC: With the technerf their incomes got crippled so they have to find alternative ways to fill their assets at rate as they did before Odyssey. With the collapse of HBC invading Fountain became an obvious choice for them. There are lots of R64 moons in fountain and its a good ratting space to organize a renter empire.

Solar: They are not involved directly with the CFC but N3 and PL being deployed to the west they might try to take back the drone regions. We will see how N3 can handle the situation from the other side of new eden.

Anti CFC forces:

Test: They want to defend their home region and prove themselfs against the goon threat.

BBC (black legion and retirement club): With the cfc deployed to the west, they have a good chance to take moons and systems in the north. As far as I know only Razor stayed to defend the north and so far they have difficulties alone to be effective as much as they should be to successfully defend the north.

N3/NC./PL: Their participation and goals are similar to the "balance of power" policy by Great Britain during history. With the collapse of HBC test is not a direct threat for N3. On the other hand the CFC dominated 0.0 far too long and this is the perfect situation to put an end to their dominance by preventing them from gathering additional incomes to maintain their full power.

Neutral entities (so far):

The dinner squadron and the russian players in Stain have their own conflict in the south so they aren't involved in this war (yet). I know nothing about provi block's plans.



CHANCES:

Financials:
CFC have probably really fat wallets from the tech era and their market manipulations but time works against them because the whole reason why they started this war is to get more money income.
Test: I don't know if it's just misleading propaganda or there is truth behind it but they seem kinda broke financially. We will see how they will keep up with the war. I wouldn't be surpired if N3 would inject some money into test just to keep them going. We will see.
N3/PL: The south came out of the whole moongoo rebalance better and they have huge renter empires so I can say they have better incomes now than the CFC. The whole purpose of jumping in the war is to suck the CFC wallets dry as much as possible. N3/PL don't really want to win this war. They want it as long and desperate as possible to cause pain to the CFC.

Numbers:
I think the raw numbers are quite even but anti-cfc forces have higher participation numbers so far heated by the hate of the goons. On the other hand CFC was passive far too long so they have to get their sh*t together if they don't want to fight outnumbered all the time.

Fleet doctrines and supers:
People keep saying that CFC became the largest in the numbers of supers but they can't use them if they can't win the subcap fights. PL and NC. super pilots are also a lot more experienced so less chance of devastating huge f*ck ups.
And CFC have problems winning on subcap level because their #1 tactic (blobbing) won't work this time and probably the main reason why they use kitchen sink fleets (caracal) because they have a hard time figuring out hard counters against their enemies. They have to fight against too many and too different fleet doctrines.

Summary: CFC have to pull out some tricks (and get more allies) if they want to come out of this war as winners and so far it seems like the odds are against them.

(if I'm wrong somewhere feel free to correct me)

Yeah, I realize I have as much chance of this as Scarlett Johansson hiring me as her personal masseuse.

I have looked at COAD. A cesspool of propaganda, and inside jokes.
I have looked at Dotlan, but that does not really give the full picture.
I won't even bother with goon's Pravda site, and EN 24 seems little better.
Same with Kugu and Failheap, which seems like monkey's throwing excrement at each other.

But does anyone have what they consider an up-to-date, impartial source of info on what is going on?
I have some friends in null giving me info, but that too will have some inherent bias.

Yeah, I realize I have as much chance of this as Scarlett Johansson hiring me as her personal masseuse.

I have looked at COAD. A cesspool of propaganda, and inside jokes.
I have looked at Dotlan, but that does not really give the full picture.
I won't even bother with goon's Pravda site, and EN 24 seems little better.
Same with Kugu and Failheap, which seems like monkey's throwing excrement at each other.

But does anyone have what they consider an up-to-date, impartial source of info on what is going on?
I have some friends in null giving me info, but that too will have some inherent bias.

Here is my impartial view for ya.

Who ******* cares? It's Nullsec, this means a bunch of immature smacktards waving their dicks around at all the other players trying to pretend that they have some sort if influence on the rest of the game.

Impartial view over.

Go join a corp in WH space and have some real fun with some real risk and make some real ISK.

Yeah, I realize I have as much chance of this as Scarlett Johansson hiring me as her personal masseuse.

I have looked at COAD. A cesspool of propaganda, and inside jokes.
I have looked at Dotlan, but that does not really give the full picture.
I won't even bother with goon's Pravda site, and EN 24 seems little better.
Same with Kugu and Failheap, which seems like monkey's throwing excrement at each other.

But does anyone have what they consider an up-to-date, impartial source of info on what is going on?
I have some friends in null giving me info, but that too will have some inherent bias.

It's probably not possible, since by definition anyone involved enough to have the information is involved enough to be partial.

My view of the affair is that the CFC is on the back foot, but that it's way too soon for anyone to be declaring the end of either side. Personally I hope that this gives us the new Great War that we've needed for years, but there's no way the current momentum can be maintained by either side - the subcap losses of both coalitions are staggering, and can't be sustained at that level. But neither side has had a decisive loss yet.

"I won't even bother with goon's Pravda site"

Good call. You might read something that challenges your preconceptions, and maintaining confirmation bias can be pretty tiring.


PS Welcome back. My offer is still open, btw.

From the outside, it looked like there was a pretty high boatviolence:struktura op ratio as sov wars go, but I guess the rate was, as I said, unsustainable.

Incidentally, I see that no one has thanked the CFC for providing this massive boost to the mining community

Take Mittens. Take Kugu. Take EN24. Mix them in a blender. Take a pinch of salt. Discard that salt. Put all remaining salt in. Then you have something vaguely reliable.