Zetaomega333
HIFI INDUSTRIAL The Kadeshi
85
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Posted - 2014.08.28 06:34:00 -
[3] - Quote
Bugsy VanHalen wrote: Current changes have shaken the market a fair bit, once it settles the balance may be fine. However, I do not believe this is the case. I see several significant factors, that add up to a major change in supply of ores. Supply of low ends over all has dropped over all, while supply of high ends has remained steady, or even increased. Why?
-- Mining barges recently received a nerf. CC saw that Retrievers and Mackinaws were significantly more popular than the other mining ships. they were just to good for semi AFK mining. the large ore hold was enough of an advantage that the small increase in yield over the Coventor and HULK was not worth the drop in ore hold capacity, at least not for the majority of high sec miners. So CCP nerfed the yield of the mining ships creating a larger gap. Even if after this nerf, we had the exact same number of miners out mining for the exact same amounts of time, we would still see a significant drop in supply based only on the reduction of the mining yield of those ships. Once you factor in some quitting due to a drop in profitability, we have a notable drop in supply from high sec miners.
-- We have a change in null sec politics, there has been a significant increase in rental systems, as several null sec entities take advantage of rental income they never bothered with before. It is a fact that Null sec miners do not bother with low end ores, so with the increase in rental systems out in null. We have many former high sec miners, moving out to null, switching from mining low ends in high sec, to mining high ends in null sec. This not only causes a reduction in the supply of low end minerals, but increases the supply of high end minerals.
--We also have an impact from the reprocessing changes, and nerf to mineral compression. It is now more profitable to compress low end ores, and ship them out to null sec for reprocessing. This has further reduced the supply of low end minerals in high sec.
These factors on there own do not have a significant impact, but with them all happening at the same time , it has added up to a fairly significant shift. So what can be done to offset this shift in balance between high end and low end ores?
If anything I would say give the low end mineral content of the high end ores another little bump.
Adding significant low end minerals to A,B,C, ores rather than the trace amounts they had before, helped a lot, but maybe, with additional recent changes, it is now not enough. bumping it up a little more could be the right solution. I believe it would accomplish two things.
First of all, it will mean that whenever the price of low end minerals spikes, the high end ores will benefit from that spike as well keeping them on top, value wise.
Secondly, adding even more low end minerals to the high end ores will slightly increase the supply of low end minerals in null sec from the locally mined A,B,C,s reducing demand for low end minerals being imported from high sec by a small amount. The more the low end mineral content is increased, the more it will shift the balance.
For some time now I have seen low sec ores having the highest value, and I believe it should stay that way. After all, mining in low sec is far more dangerous than mining is sov null where most of the the A,B,C,s are found. however, we should not see the value of low end, high sec ores, exceed that of the high end, A,B,C, ores. This is a sign that the balance needs some tweeking.
The problem with this has and always will be the fact that the lowsec ores are in very low supply in lowsec. Its next to impossible to mine a decent amount since lowsec is far more dangerous than highsec or nullsec to mine in. And all the lowsec minerals come from nullsec.
As it is the highends have such a pityfully low usage, In one mining op we can mine enough zydrine and megacyte for a supercarrier, let alone well over 12 carriers. I still think a increase to capital usage of zydrine and megacyte would see less of those minerals shipping to empire, creating less of them there and then raising the price. But forthe second highest tier mineral to be worth less than the 3rd is just silly. I started playing right before drone poo nerf happened and i have been watching these prices spiral down, while yes some lowends like trit and pyer went up nocx skyrocketed recently.
As for those quoting nullsec politics, they havnt changed in around 6 months so i dont see how that would have a major effect now. Yes the compression changes did effect it but when i was compressing supers and titans of minerals in jita i was still using a pitifull amount of zydrine and megacyte.. There really needs to be more of a sink for those 2 minerals, mining is allready one of the lowest paid professions but its starting to get far worse.
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