Originally by: Akita T

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In this series, he encountered AT LEAST 3 streaks of 16 failures, 5 streaks of 8 failures, and 8 streaks of 6 successes.

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Originally by: Akita T

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100k tries, a SINGLE 20-long streak has a roughly 9.5%

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Originally by: Akita T

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that's 1-{[1-(1/2^20)]^(100000-19)} = 9.09%
Right ?

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#!/usr/bin/env perl
 
use bigint;
 
$streak=$ARGV[0];
$trials=$ARGV[1];
foreach $i (1..$streak-1) {
 $s[$i]=2**($i);
}
$s[$streak]=2**$streak-1;
 
foreach $i ($streak+1 .. $trials) {
 foreach $j ($i-$streak .. $i-1) {
 $s[$i] += $s[$j];
 }
}
 
# foreach $i (@s) { print "$i\n"; }
 
$odds = 10000-(10000*$s[$trials]/(2**$trials));
$seqs = 2**$trials;
print "streak free sequences $s[$trials]. \n";
print "total sequences $seqs. \n";
print "streak odds $odds [divide odds by 100 to get percent]\n";
 

Originally by: Etho Demerzel

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that chance is NOT 83.1%, counterparty.

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Originally by: Akita T

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In other words, we posit that what we're seing in the limited results here is as far away as true randomness as it can be.

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Originally by: Akita T

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My point of contention was that THE WAY the RNG's output is used in EVE

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Originally by: Semkhet

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Other fishy patterns

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