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Poison
Forge Laboratories
1
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 04:00:00 -
[31] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Zarak1 Kenpach1 wrote:lol, there WAS a surplus in heavy water. look at the markets in most regions right now. It will be back in spades. It will take more than fuel blocks to rebalance heavy water. There is twice as much in ice than liquid ozone yet liquid ozone is also used for cynos. Heavy water has been the waste product of ice processing for so long that nothing short of a huge new demand will give it enough love to flush out all those stocks. People always jump on the heavy water bandwagon thinking the downside is minimal, but it will be 20 isk per unit again soon.
Hey in the mean time, lets blow our stock and help it back to 20 :) |

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
12
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 12:25:00 -
[32] - Quote
Lauren Hellfury wrote:Fuel costs for towers is going up with the winter expansion.
Increases vary from no change on Robotics through to 4x on liquid ozone/heavy water/coolant.
Racial topes are approximately 3.5x
Get to it minions.
thanks for showing eveybody you missed something in scool 
and what if they take HW and IO out of the blocks ...lots of tears  |

Scrapyard Bob
EVE University Ivy League
311
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 13:12:00 -
[33] - Quote
Poison wrote:Hey in the mean time, lets blow our stock and help it back to 20 :)
You first! Then I'll put mine on and undercut you a bit, and we can have a 0.01 ISK war all the way back down to 20. 
(The main reason that there's so much 5x / 10x / 20x price increases at the moment is because HW was only 20 ISK/u, you could easily buy up a few million units for not much capital outlay, then relist it. For the same reason, nobody has bothered to do the same to Liquid Ozone, where demand really is likely to go up in hi-sec...) |

Max Flipper
Science and Trade Institute Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 15:12:00 -
[34] - Quote
Scrapyard Bob wrote:Poison wrote:Hey in the mean time, lets blow our stock and help it back to 20 :) You first! Then I'll put mine on and undercut you a bit, and we can have a 0.01 ISK war all the way back down to 20.  (The main reason that there's so much 5x / 10x / 20x price increases at the moment is because HW was only 20 ISK/u, you could easily buy up a few million units for not much capital outlay, then relist it. For the same reason, nobody has bothered to do the same to Liquid Ozone, where demand really is likely to go up in hi-sec...) Did i hear someone say "Buy my LO!" 
HW was pretty much priced at the "Barely worth to haul it" level. Only if the Patch causes a substantial change in the ratio between Topes/LO/HW needed we will see a big increase in Price there (at least thats my Bet).
But don't let that stop you from profiting from the "OMG THEY ARE CHANGING SOMETHING" Panic 
|

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
15
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 17:08:00 -
[35] - Quote
Max Flipper wrote:Scrapyard Bob wrote:Poison wrote:Hey in the mean time, lets blow our stock and help it back to 20 :) You first! Then I'll put mine on and undercut you a bit, and we can have a 0.01 ISK war all the way back down to 20.  (The main reason that there's so much 5x / 10x / 20x price increases at the moment is because HW was only 20 ISK/u, you could easily buy up a few million units for not much capital outlay, then relist it. For the same reason, nobody has bothered to do the same to Liquid Ozone, where demand really is likely to go up in hi-sec...) Did i hear someone say "Buy my LO!"  HW was pretty much priced at the "Barely worth to haul it" level. Only if the Patch causes a substantial change in the ratio between Topes/LO/HW needed we will see a big increase in Price there (at least thats my Bet). But don't let that stop you from profiting from the "OMG THEY ARE CHANGING SOMETHING" Panic  ~For the unbelievers~
- Highsec Ice Contains about twice as much LO as it does HW.
- The fuel Pallets will use the Same amount of LO as they do HW.
- LO is also used for Cyno Fields
- HW is used for the Industrial Mode of Rorquals iirc
- LO is used in Jumpbridges
HW should still be available in abundance with Topes/LO beeing the Bottlenecks unless Rorquals start popping up everywhere or other Changes are made which we are not aware of yet.
your LO is sold allready, because when people think about what need will raise more, than LO wins not HW
last 60 min 50m pieces of LO chagend owner :D |

Lauren Hellfury
Full Pocket Aggro In Vitro.
12
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 17:13:00 -
[36] - Quote
Well, with the profit already made on one thing it was only a matter of time before people realised the game had changed. |

GH0ST LEVIATHAN
Partial Mayhem Northern Associates.
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 17:18:00 -
[37] - Quote
LO in jita is drying up fast |

Claire Voyant
19
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 17:32:00 -
[38] - Quote
Max Flipper wrote:Highsec Ice Contains about twice as much LO as it does HW. It's the other way around, but I don't think anyone was confused. |

Mantra Achura
Community for Justice BricK sQuAD.
3
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 19:23:00 -
[39] - Quote
Well, isotope demand for POS fuel is about to curb long term wise, but how about short and medium term wise?
As fuel blocks have to be build as an intermediate product, seeded on the market and stocked up in player hangars whilst POSes are stuffed with POS fuel as normal, demand will slightly go up.
What's your guestimate? |

Weaselior
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
1476
|
Posted - 2011.11.08 20:13:00 -
[40] - Quote
it sure sucks for people with gallente towers :sun: |

Krios Ahzek
Juvenis Iratus
34
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 00:27:00 -
[41] - Quote
Woops, I think I accidentally mechanical parts buy prices in Amarr. The hero you're stuck with anyways. |

Goodgodyourface
Republic Military School Minmatar Republic
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 04:35:00 -
[42] - Quote
Made a couple mil on a small trade of Heavy Water. Time to go large-scale. |

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
15
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 08:12:00 -
[43] - Quote
but i still dont get it why ppl buy water and not ozone....hmhm  |

enterprisePSI
Unimatrix 0.1
35
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 09:15:00 -
[44] - Quote
I switched my heating apparatus from gas to pellet. Now we get pellets for star bases. What the hell. The tears of the many, outweight the tears of the few. Or the one.
-«enterprise-psi |

Goodgodyourface
Republic Military School Minmatar Republic
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 17:14:00 -
[45] - Quote
Well, I got way too excited. Bought up some 2 mil in heavy water, but my enthusiasm started a run; now there's sell orders just slightly above what I bought it for.
Oh well, I suppose I can sit on it and hope prices go up again.... |

Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.09 18:04:00 -
[46] - Quote
Goodgodyourface wrote:Oh well, I suppose I can sit on it and hope prices go up again.... That sounds like a plan. |

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
18
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 09:31:00 -
[47] - Quote
Goodgodyourface wrote:Well, I got way too excited. Bought up some 2 mil in heavy water, but my enthusiasm started a run; now there's sell orders just slightly above what I bought it for.
Oh well, I suppose I can sit on it and hope prices go up again....
thas how allot ppl like you loose money and few others get rich  i wanne read the tears when water falls to 30 again *lolz* |

proxwar
Pator Tech School Minmatar Republic
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 09:42:00 -
[48] - Quote
Im predicting we can get LO above 480 within the next 2/3 weeks  |

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
19
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 10:27:00 -
[49] - Quote
proxwar wrote:Im predicting we can get LO above 480 within the next 2/3 weeks 
its allready over 480 lol - was at 550 spike yesterday 1200 gonna be the target when winter expasion hits eve and all start produce pellets ^^ |

Scrapyard Bob
EVE University Ivy League
332
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 14:12:00 -
[50] - Quote
Via Shivon wrote:proxwar wrote:Im predicting we can get LO above 480 within the next 2/3 weeks  its allready over 480 lol - was at 550 spike yesterday 1200 gonna be the target when winter expasion hits eve and all start produce pellets ^^
Unlikely, unless every ice belt in all of EVE gets interdicted for 3+ months (500-600 probably).
Heavy water is already heading down below 180 in Sinq Laison and as low as 60-65 in Jita.
|

Via Shivon
Kriegsmarinewerft Goonswarm Federation
19
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 15:03:00 -
[51] - Quote
Scrapyard Bob wrote:Via Shivon wrote:proxwar wrote:Im predicting we can get LO above 480 within the next 2/3 weeks  its allready over 480 lol - was at 550 spike yesterday 1200 gonna be the target when winter expasion hits eve and all start produce pellets ^^ Unlikely, unless every ice belt in all of EVE gets interdicted for 3+ months (500-600 probably). Heavy water is already heading down below 180 in Sinq Laison and as low as 60-65 in Jita.
so atm 70% of posses dont really use LO - after the expansion ALL those 70% will use 100% LO + first upstocking for pellet production and you think only 30% raise?
|

Esan Vartesa
Samarkand Financial
39
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 15:11:00 -
[52] - Quote
The Goon's right.
Stopped clock and all that... |

Lauren Hellfury
Full Pocket Aggro In Vitro.
23
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 15:22:00 -
[53] - Quote
Unfortunately for those holding stocks of LO that they bought at high value (thank you everyone who bought mine at 500+) the fuel pellets won't make much difference to the price of LO.
You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. However the vast majority of LO is consumed by Cynos, jump bridges and bridging fleets in using BlOps and Titans. That is why LO is so much more expensive in comparison.
Yes, there will be an upswing when the pellet BPOs are released as it more than doubles the amount of LO being consumed for POS operation (maybe trippled) but that is only a small fraction of the market for LO in the first place. This upswing will then correct itself as soon as the fuel changeover occurs as the need for LO to fuel current towers as well as supply the new pellets will be removed.
Anyway, have fun and carry on buying as the prices slide. There's profit there somewhere. If you're lucky. Maybe. |

Max Flipper
Science and Trade Institute Caldari State
5
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 16:18:00 -
[54] - Quote
Lauren Hellfury wrote: You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. However the vast majority of LO is consumed by Cynos, jump bridges and bridging fleets in using BlOps and Titans. That is why LO is so much more expensive in comparison.
Because price is linear with supply 
Quote: Yes, there will be an upswing when the pellet BPOs are released as it more than doubles the amount of LO being consumed for POS operation (maybe trippled) but that is only a small fraction of the market for LO in the first place. This upswing will then correct itself as soon as the fuel changeover occurs as the need for LO to fuel current towers as well as supply the new pellets will be removed.
Because the new Pallets don't need LO 
|

Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 17:11:00 -
[55] - Quote
Lauren Hellfury wrote:You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. However the vast majority of LO is consumed by Cynos, jump bridges and bridging fleets in using BlOps and Titans. That is why LO is so much more expensive in comparison. Wrong. Hisec ice doesn't produce enough ozone to meet demand even for towers, let alone cynos. 25 ozone per 300 topes is 8.33%. Current fuel requirements are somewhere between 16.6% (at half power) to 33.3%. The new fuel reqs will be 37.5%.
Therefore, the current market price of ozone has always been set and will continue to be set by lowsec and nullsec (glare crust) ice mining. Higher demand will certainly mean higher prices, but trying to tie the price of ozone to heavy water or whatever argument you were making is heading down the wrong path.
|

Esan Vartesa
Samarkand Financial
42
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 19:27:00 -
[56] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Lauren Hellfury wrote:You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. However the vast majority of LO is consumed by Cynos, jump bridges and bridging fleets in using BlOps and Titans. That is why LO is so much more expensive in comparison. Wrong. Hisec ice doesn't produce enough ozone to meet demand even for towers, let alone cynos. 25 ozone per 300 topes is 8.33%. Current fuel requirements are somewhere between 16.6% (at half power) to 33.3%. The new fuel reqs will be 37.5%. Therefore, the current market price of ozone has always been set and will continue to be set by lowsec and nullsec (glare crust) ice mining. Higher demand will certainly mean higher prices, but trying to tie the price of ozone to heavy water or whatever argument you were making is heading down the wrong path.
Higher demand means higher prices, and higher prices means higher supply. More mining of ice for ozone means more heavy water production, without a commensurate increase in demand for it. What will that do to price?
He was on to something, he just didn't know what. |

Lauren Hellfury
Full Pocket Aggro In Vitro.
27
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 19:28:00 -
[57] - Quote
Max Flipper wrote:[quote=Lauren Hellfury] Quote: Yes, there will be an upswing when the pellet BPOs are released as it more than doubles the amount of LO being consumed for POS operation (maybe trippled) but that is only a small fraction of the market for LO in the first place. This upswing will then correct itself as soon as the fuel changeover occurs as the need for LO to fuel current towers as well as supply the new pellets will be removed.
Because the new Pallets don't need LO 
What you read? It's not what I wrote. There is going to be an, approximate, 2 week period where towers will be consuming fuel (including LO) as normal and where people will be buying it to create the pellets ready for the switch.
Stop trying to be clever, it doesn't suit you. |

Lauren Hellfury
Full Pocket Aggro In Vitro.
27
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 19:31:00 -
[58] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Lauren Hellfury wrote:You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. However the vast majority of LO is consumed by Cynos, jump bridges and bridging fleets in using BlOps and Titans. That is why LO is so much more expensive in comparison. Wrong. Hisec ice doesn't produce enough ozone to meet demand even for towers, let alone cynos. 25 ozone per 300 topes is 8.33%. Current fuel requirements are somewhere between 16.6% (at half power) to 33.3%. The new fuel reqs will be 37.5%. Therefore, the current market price of ozone has always been set and will continue to be set by lowsec and nullsec (glare crust) ice mining. Higher demand will certainly mean higher prices, but trying to tie the price of ozone to heavy water or whatever argument you were making is heading down the wrong path.
Claire, I wasn't talking about where the ice products come from but where they go to. The argument is simply that the increase in POS usage of LO is but a drop in the bucket compared to what is currently consumed. |

Weaselior
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
1503
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 20:04:00 -
[59] - Quote
Lauren Hellfury wrote:You get twice the HW out of ice than LO, so if they were only used for running POS' you'd expect the price of LO to be about double that of HW. this is immensely dumb and you should be ashamed you typed it
if you get twice the hw you get of lo from mining, and lo and hw are consumed roughly equally (edit: or in any ratio where consumption of LO is greater than 50% of HW consumption), the price of hw should be the cost of transporting it; i.e. the value of the hw itself is zero
just like it is |

Weaselior
GoonWaffe Goonswarm Federation
1503
|
Posted - 2011.11.10 20:05:00 -
[60] - Quote
much like the cost of any moon mineral that is not technetium approaches fuel cost |
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