jedi2015
The Unlisted
Mordus Angels
0
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Posted - 2015.10.26 17:57:43 -
[1] - Quote
you should check out over the years the RL money coming on over the years through plexes , which can be approximated by the amount on sell orders of plex that can be viewed on http://www.eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=29668#history ? and check that vs the rising plex price and the amount of npc killed in highsec and nullsec...
average amount of plex sell orders per day in 2011 - 2250
average amount of plex sell orders per day in 2012 - 2700
average amount of plex sell orders per day in 2013 - 2900
average amount of plex sell orders per day in 2014 - 2000
average amount of plex sell orders per day in 2015 until now - 1700
following gevlon goblins post here ..
http://greedygoblin.blogspot.hu/2015/08/sic-transit-gloria-legion-july-ratting.html
who refers to
http://twostep4csm.blogspot.hu/2012/03/its-econmony-stupid.html
and where it gets the rats killed from evemap , f.e.
http://evemaps.dotlan.net/stats/2013-02
average 2010 factionkills highsec 1,982,796,900 lowsec 74,948,321 . summed up. around 2.05 billion faction kills times 38k per npc kill = 72 Trillion gained in highsec+lowsec
factionkills nullsec 762,929,599 . 763 million times * 367k per npc kill = 280 Trillion gained in nullsec
total = 352 Trillion
average 2011 highsec+lowsec = 85T
nullsec = 370 T
total = 455 Trillion
average 2012 highsec+lowsec = 89T
nullsec = 418 T
total = 507 T
average 2013 highsec+ lowsec = 81 T
nullsec = 391 T
total = 472 T
average 2014 highsec+lowsec = 67 T (1.6B highsec npc kills 100million lowsec npc kills )
nullsec = 440T (1,115,916,206 )
total = 507 T
average over 2014 per month 507 T / 12 months = 42T per month
average 2015 until now per month of the total = 44T, so estimating that 2015 will have a total of 528T .
the result ..
plex price in the middle of year in 2010 = 310m
plex price in the middle of year in 2011 = 398m
plex price in the middle of year in 2012 = 492m
plex price in the middle of year in 2013 = 558m
plex price in the middle of year in 2014 = 753m
plex price in the middle of year in 2015 = 944m
As long as subscriptions numbers were going higher, and as a deverative the number of plexes bought for $ increased, and as the total isk income of ratting increased, the plex price didnt go much higher per year then 100 million. 2012 was however the turning year. From 2011 to 2012 the number of npc kills in highsec stil went up, but it would be the last year. Somewhere in 2013 the decreasing in subscription numbers must have started and while the amount of plexes with dollars bought still slightly increased in 2013, the declining total isk income from ratting caused the smallest increase in plex price in years i.e. only a 50m increase. And while subscriptions kept decreasing in 2014 , now also the amount of plexes began decreasing , and while highsec+lowsec ratting further decreased, you would think that the total income from ratting would further decrease; this was without nullsec ratting counted, who on there own caused the isk of total ratting to increase and which as as a result , instead of decelerating the increase of plex price , accelerated the increase of the plex price by 200 million a year.
If ccp wants to reverse the decreasing subscription trend, better pray that players are coming back to highsec, because thats were their bottomline is...
Not in nullsec, not in lowsec, (but the casual, spending dollars for the game) highsec (player)...
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