Originally by: Annaphera

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Originally by: Kalib Stark

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Alchemy took time to develop, hence:

A: Alchemy was introduced as a response to a known exploit to balance market. --> CCP timetable claims are Fraudulent

B: Alchemy was introduced without foreknowledge of the exploit:

Do you believe that CCP introduced Alchemy without doing an in depth moon min market analysis? If yes --> CCP is negligent.
If no --> Do you believe that such an analysis failed to uncover huge piles of rare mins from nothing? If yes --> CCP is inept.
If no --> CCP has known from before the claimed date --> CCP timetable claims are Fraudulent.

It's called logic.

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Fallacy - namely unsupported assertion - in the assumption that there were "huge piles" of rare minerals to be uncovered. First, you are assuming that the abuse was massive and widespread, which has yet to be supported by anything but one post on a third-party forum by someone with every reason to exaggerate. Second, you assume that the exploiters were dumb enough to stockpile massive quantities of said materials, which would make them easier to catch and create the possibility of flooding the market and driving the prices down - something no one would think makes sense.

Fallacy - false dichotomy - in saying that either CCP did a moon material analysis that would have uncovered piles of duped materials, or didn't do one at all. Remember, CCP knows exactly how many moons are out there that have the rare materials, and also knows the prices commanded by those materials. Those two bits of information, combined with a check on how many of those high-end moons have PoS's, would give them enough information to determine that they should find a way to raise the supply of, or bring down the demand on, high-end moon materials. Trying to track every bit of those high-end moon materials would have uncovered the extra, but would also have been an inefficient use of manpower under any circumstance. Remember, please, that materials don't have to be used immediately, so just looking at moon outputs and created T2 components wouldn't work - the numbers would be assumed to not match exactly. If the number of exploiters was small, or moderate and intelligent, then only a bit-for-bit accounting would uncover anything.

Finally, fallacy - question-begging - in assuming that the only possible outcomes support your position, and using fallacies to get there.

Logic is only useful if you follow the rules.

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