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Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1192
|
Posted - 2012.04.29 09:07:00 -
[121] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:So what your saying is, everyone here was more or less in agreement the entire time? Awesome! Everybody except you anyway, until very close to the end, when you partially understood what we kept saying all along 
Note that "almost surely" means a probability so close to 100% that it's nearly indistinguishable from it, and that formulation is only required because technically, one can not actually reach infinity, so there's always a nearly completely negligible chance (but still not quite absolutely zero) of something weird happening up to any given point in the series of tries.
Or, in different words, the probability to roll 50 consecutive heads in the very first 50 tries, while already minuscule, it's still much higher than the probability to NOT have rolled 10,000,000,000 consecutive heads when "approaching" an infinite number of flips. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
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Posted - 2012.07.24 22:28:00 -
[122] - Quote
a finite number of monkeys...
"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s""
And no amount of math scribbled onto a page can ever prove that this process would not repeat itself indefinitely. It is very likely that Infinite monkeys given infinity tires will result in an infinite amount of this. That my friends, is just basic sensibility. Try not to lose sight of common sensibility during your divinations of the universe.
That's right... I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right?
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Shameless Avenger
319
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Posted - 2012.07.24 22:37:00 -
[123] - Quote
I think *somebody* wants to train monkeys to make eve-bots.... just saying. "This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro" ~ The Story of the Ninja |

Micheal Dietrich
Kings Gambit Black
565
|
Posted - 2012.07.24 22:45:00 -
[124] - Quote
They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it
*puts on sunglasses
The walking thread |

Jim Era
The Syndicate Inc En Garde
9
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Posted - 2012.07.24 22:47:00 -
[125] - Quote
wat |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
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Posted - 2012.07.24 23:13:00 -
[126] - Quote
I am sorry, I exist on a level that is beyond you. I don't have time to explain further atm. Have a nice day.
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Jim Era
The Syndicate Inc En Garde
9
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Posted - 2012.07.24 23:15:00 -
[127] - Quote
lol egos. |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1192
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 00:53:00 -
[128] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right? Too bad you switched the discussion from "monkeys on a typewriter" to "computer throwing out randoms 0s and 1s" in your very own OP, and then only went further and further away from actual monkeys...
Also, holy necro, Batman !
Micheal Dietrich wrote:They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it *puts on sunglasses The walking thread
 ...
 ...
  
Nice one. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |

stoicfaux
1294
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Posted - 2012.07.25 01:33:00 -
[129] - Quote
I think people are forgetting that after a few million years of pounding away on typewriters, the monkeys would evolve into something with enough mental capacity to understand how typewriters work, develop archaeology, discover Shakespeare works (or Eve Online) and then some (nerd) grad student post-evolved-monkey would translate the ancient English text (code) into whatever languages that the post-evolved monkeys would speak or run Eve Online in an emulator on the Banana-tosh.
You can tell me what is and isn't Truth when you pry the tinfoil from my cold, lifeless head.
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Surfin's PlunderBunny
Sebiestor Tribe Minmatar Republic
1708
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 01:40:00 -
[130] - Quote
stoicfaux wrote:I think people are forgetting that after a few million years of pounding away on typewriters, the monkeys would evolve into something with enough mental capacity to understand how typewriters work, develop archaeology, discover Shakespeare works (or Eve Online) and then some (nerd) grad student post-evolved-monkey would translate the ancient English text (code) into whatever languages that the post-evolved monkeys would speak or run Eve Online in an emulator on the Banana-tosh.
edit: Also, there's nothing holy about thread necromancy.
http://youtu.be/JcSUWP0QNeY |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
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Posted - 2012.07.25 11:19:00 -
[131] - Quote
Akita T wrote:Eternum Praetorian wrote:I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right? Too bad you switched the discussion from "monkeys on a typewriter" to "computer throwing out randoms 0s and 1s" in your very own OP, and then only went further and further away from actual monkeys... Also, holy necro, Batman ! Micheal Dietrich wrote:They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it *puts on sunglasses The walking thread  ...  ...    Nice one.
The monkey thing, the coin thing and the 1010101 thing were all up for debate... you are just angry that an actual experiment came along and proved how stupid the idea of infinite monkeys writing hamlet truly is. To bad indeed 
When I saw this little gem of a experiment, I was happy that this thread was still bounceable!
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FloppieTheBanjoClown
The Skunkworks The Marmite Collective
2031
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 15:25:00 -
[132] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s""
So six monkeys with a computer suddenly dropped into their enclosure and no coaching at all is a definitive study? That was an "art" project, nothing more.
Infinite monkeys each on their own typewriter probably would not produce Shakespeare because of the way they use their hands and their tendency to repeat the same action over and over. However if you were to isolate the monkeys (because they tend to copy one another) and feed all the keystrokes sequentially into a single text, you might get far more interesting results. Of course, you'd need a monkey-proof keyboard. The Skunkworks is recruiting. -áhttps://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=1540711#post1540711 |

Shameless Avenger
321
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Posted - 2012.07.25 15:33:00 -
[133] - Quote
Is there anything in the EULA against making accounts for monkeys. I think that as long as you don't share the account with the monkey you should be OK. With an infinite number of monkeys, at some point, one of them is gonna make a trillion and give it to you. "This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro" ~ The Story of the Ninja |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 18:57:00 -
[134] - Quote
FloppieTheBanjoClown wrote:Eternum Praetorian wrote:"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s"" So six monkeys with a computer suddenly dropped into their enclosure and no coaching at all is a definitive study? That was an "art" project, nothing more. Infinite monkeys each on their own typewriter probably would not produce Shakespeare because of the way they use their hands and their tendency to repeat the same action over and over. However if you were to isolate the monkeys (because they tend to copy one another) and feed all the keystrokes sequentially into a single text, you might get far more interesting results. Of course, you'd need a monkey-proof keyboard.
The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys?
Now... alternatively... the math Ah yes... The math!
The math INSISTS that we must get it eventually, or at the very least, it says that it is extremely likely that we will get it eventually. It says this because although math itself is perfect the actual equation is flawed. The equation cannot calculate whether or not a monkey has a predisposition to type a single set of keys over and over again. It can not take into account a pile of poop enveloping the keyboard and urine rusting it from the inside out. It cannot express mathematically, what a real monkeys behavor would be. Thus, trying to say that, or mathematically prove that, we must get Hamlet eventually is just stupid. You cannot prove it with any single equation scribbled onto a pad of paper. There are far to many variables to account for, and you the simple human cannot hope to anticipate or fully understand them all. So the best thing to do is take your equation saying that monkeys could accidentally create hamlet, write it on a piece of paper and then use that paper as a personal cleaning apparatus for you lavatory after you poop. Because that is all that it is worth.
He shoots! He scores!
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FloppieTheBanjoClown
The Skunkworks The Marmite Collective
2034
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 20:46:00 -
[135] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys? The "infinite monkeys" idea assumes that the monkeys know what they typewriter does. Maybe they've seen a person use it and are trying to mimic, or maybe they're just tapping away at the keyboard because they like the noise or motion. It doesn't matter. There's a condition to the scenario that you're deliberately ignoring.
Don't thinking apes could learn to use a typewriter?
You must not have heard of Michael and Koko.
http://www.artistsezine.com/WhyGorilla.htm The Skunkworks is recruiting. -áhttps://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=1540711#post1540711 |

Micheal Dietrich
Kings Gambit Black
565
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 21:11:00 -
[136] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys?
The monkey is metaphorical. The theory that is being given is that if enough time is given with a random sequencer, then something credible like the works of Shakespeare can be created. The genius failed nothing because repeated key sequences are just as random as multiple key sequences. The works that you are looking for aren't suddenly created in sequence after X amount typing but by a word being created here or there. Take a crossword puzzle for example, how many times have you found words in the puzzle that aren't on the list. So given enough time, any random sequencer can create the works of Shakespeare, and it will probably have several other books/manuals created at the same time as well. The rest of that is just silliness, because there is no monkey. |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 21:52:00 -
[137] - Quote
Not everyone gets the metaphore part, more people think that it is really a theory about monkeys and typewriters because of the wording and how the idea is conveyed. Half the people who support it think that it is really real.
Just as the genius in question failed to mention that there are far to many variables with regards to monkey behavior to calculate, he also failed to postulate that the very idea of randomization may have far more factors involved in it's ultimate output then people realize. That in itself could forbid certain things from happening in the real world, regardless of what the "math" says.
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Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1195
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 22:40:00 -
[138] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:you are just angry that an actual experiment came along and proved how stupid the idea of infinite monkeys writing hamlet truly is. To bad indeed  When I saw this little gem of a experiment, I was happy that this thread was still bounceable! Too bad that I was quite aware of that particular funny bit since before you even posted this thread in the first place. Also, that does not make it completely impossible, just increasingly unlikely. The unlikelyhood was already higher than the whole age of the universe for even a shred of possibility, so, no big deal. YOU have shifted the talk from actual monkeys on actual typewriters into true binary randomness in your own OP, rendering that particular thing meaningless. Also, monkeys can be trained, selected and bred to actually use typewriters more like a human would. In fact, it would be far more likely to actually end up (after a long, long time and many generations) breeding a "Shakespeare-like ex-monkey race" that could consistently type shakespeare-like text than it would be for a computer throwing up random 0s and 1s to even start showing a shred of shakespeare-like prose when decoded as text. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |

Black Panpher
Tribal Liberation Force Minmatar Republic
4
|
Posted - 2012.07.25 22:48:00 -
[139] - Quote
I like monkeys. |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 02:04:00 -
[140] - Quote
Akita T wrote:Puts her faith in something that can never be observed in tangible reality
Sounds a little too much like blind religious faith miss Akita... so sad.
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Surfin's PlunderBunny
Sebiestor Tribe Minmatar Republic
1721
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 02:26:00 -
[141] - Quote
Black Panpher wrote:I like monkeys.
I liek turtles! |

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1195
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 04:02:00 -
[142] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:Akita T wrote:Puts her faith in something that can never be observed in tangible reality Sounds a little too much like blind religious faith miss Akita... so sad. Oh, yeah, because it somehow takes blind almost religious faith to believe that 1+1=2, 2+1=3, 3+1=4, 4+1=5 and so on and so forth for as long as you can care to go... /sarcasm http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 11:50:00 -
[143] - Quote
Akita T wrote:Eternum Praetorian wrote:Akita T wrote:Puts her faith in something that can never be observed in tangible reality Sounds a little too much like blind religious faith miss Akita... so sad. Oh, yeah, because it somehow takes blind almost religious faith to believe that 1+1=2, 2+1=3, 3+1=4, 4+1=5 and so on and so forth for as long as you can care to go... /sarcasm
Actually, when I was in kindergarten a simple scientific experiment involving popsicle sticks proved those mathematical equations. It was yummy! and ever since then it has not required not one shred of religious-like faith on my part because it was 100% observable in the physical universe.
So when did someone prove your math equations involving "almost likely" in the physical universe? You know, that moment when it became real and it did not require a "belief"
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Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 12:15:00 -
[144] - Quote
Furthermore Miss Akita
if the theory states that it may take an infinite amount of time, and is there for untestable, thenGǪ what you have is an improvable assumption. So what you see as an appeal for ignorance I see as an rational observation regarding the theory that you are trying to impress upon others, without evidence to support your claim.
1. A simple test involving monkeys yields no such results
2. A monkey Program circulating in peopleGÇÖs home computers claims the current record as being 10 letter in the form of GÇ£King. So sGÇ¥ followed by gibberish. This evidently has been linked to the words of Henry 4th, Part 1 GÇ£King. So shaken as we are, so wan with car, Find we a time for freighted peaceGÇ¥. Those ten digits took over 1 billion monkey years to generate, and this program has simulated values in the ranges of 2 million million million billion billion billion monkey years.
That last interval achieved 24 places in the form of RUMOUR. Open your ears (followed by gibberish) which was apparently linked to one of Shakespeare many works. But that does not prove that you can ever get the whole thing, it only proves that you can get extremely tiny fragments, that by themselves have no cognitive meaning. Only after you search for meaning, does it seem to have any meaning at all. Like scholars looking at hidden messages in the bible code. RUMOUR. Open your ears, is not eve proper English. It does not mean anything outside of a literary context.
3. If you generate a random 1 and 0 generator, or a random coin toss generator, what you will get will be remarkably similar to the output of the monkey simulator above. You will end up with long strings of heads and long strings of tails, but there is a REALISTIC PHYSICAL LIMIT that will never be exceeded. You will never randomly generate 10 billion billion billion trillion trillion heads in a row, because if you did the output would no longer be random.
So these series of experiments do not prove your hypothesis and furthermore there are no others to contradict them. Your answer is GÇ£well you just need more timeGÇ¥ but we have already given these experiments exponential more time then exists in the universe (many universes in fact) and they have not generated your desired result. So you have 1. And imagined and unreachable value that you have named infinity and 2 you have a theory of randomization that says that you can eventually get to Hamlet, the bible or the constitution. You have two imaginary ideas that resist all attempts to prove them physically.
That is my assertion, and that my friend is not a plea for ignorance. On the contrary it is a very sober and rational observation of the facts at hand. So you are trying to prove imaginary values with math that you made upGǪ of course you can come up with any answer that you desired. But you HAVE to also be able to observe it through experimentation. That is science. Without that there is no scientific method and we might as well crawl back into the dark ages.
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FloppieTheBanjoClown
The Skunkworks The Marmite Collective
2038
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 14:31:00 -
[145] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:1. A simple test involving monkeys yields no such results
I just realized another problem with that test: The monkeys weren't immortal. Immortal monkeys might be better typists.
edit: also, those weren't even monkeys. The Skunkworks is recruiting. -áhttps://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=1540711#post1540711 |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 17:15:00 -
[146] - Quote
FloppieTheBanjoClown wrote:Eternum Praetorian wrote:1. A simple test involving monkeys yields no such results I just realized another problem with that test: The monkeys weren't immortal. Immortal monkeys might be better typists. edit: also, those weren't even monkeys.
What an excellent and blatant dodge of post 143 and 144. Here you get a cookie.
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Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1196
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 20:59:00 -
[147] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:if the theory states that it may take an infinite amount of time And there you go, all the rest of the point rendered pointless by that opening mistake. It does not take an infinite amount of time. Just a really, really, really long one, for some particular constraints. An unfeasibly long one. But not infinite. http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |

FloppieTheBanjoClown
The Skunkworks The Marmite Collective
2045
|
Posted - 2012.07.26 21:38:00 -
[148] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:What an excellent and blatant dodge of post 143 and 144. Here you get a cookie.
Sweet, I love cookies.
Also, you're taking this entirely too serious, and in my opinion too far. The infinite monkeys idea is a thought experiment; you're supposed to picture millions of monkeys randomly banging away on a keyboard as a way to visualize a random character generator. Anyone who takes it seriously and starts arguing "nuh uh cuz the monkeyz would poo on the typewriters" is completely missing the point.
Eternum Praetorian wrote:You will never randomly generate 10 billion billion billion trillion trillion heads in a row, because if you did the output would no longer be random.
If I flip a coin ten times and it lands on heads ten times in a row, you would question the randomness of it. If I flip the same coin a billion times and at least once get ten heads in a row, you would say "that's the nature of randomness." In fact, I'd be quite surprised if you DIDN'T have that occur multiple times. It's one of a thousand possible combinations of ten flips, and you're doing a hundred million sets of those.
The problem here is you lack the imagination to envision a sample size in which a billion billion billion is mere sliver of the whole.
I'll finish this up by quoting Post #2:
Alexis Fawn Molari wrote:The odds of generating anything meaningful are truly staggering. Let's say you want to randomly produce a particular 140-character code to post to Twitter (yes these really exist). That's 1,120 random bits in a specific order. That means you have 2^1,120 possible outcomes, only one of which is your desired result. To put the spectrum of possibilities in better perspective, that's a 338-digit number that is well on its way to equaling the estimated number of atoms in the known universe.
If you did 10,000 random bits per second for 14 billion years, you'd have generated 3,942,000,000,000,000,000 possible combinations...assuming your randomizer never repeated a set. That's less than 2^64. It will take you another 25-30 billion years to reach 2^65.
Infinite? Yeah, you're going to need infinity to get the results you're looking for. The Skunkworks is recruiting. -áhttps://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=1540711#post1540711 |

Eternum Praetorian
True Creation
830
|
Posted - 2012.07.27 01:54:00 -
[149] - Quote
I retort your assertions be submitting that you do not understand the true nature of randomness. Locked away in the tiny nuances of whatever variables cause a coin to end on heads or tails is the very reason why you wonGÇÖt get ludicrous amounts of heads in a row
What you do not seem to understand, and what other posters do not seem to grasp, is that "wonGÇÖt get" and "canGÇÖt get" have two distinctly different meanings. The math is simply telling you that it is theoretically possible, and in a universe of seemingly infinite possibilities that makes sense. But that is not the same thing as saying that it is invariably definite. You cannot say that because it is only "almost certain". Understand?
You are taking it on faith--something that can never be observed. The math is not telling you that it will occur, it is only telling you that it could. Get it? I donGÇÖt know if I can explain this concept in any simpler terms to you. You seem unwilling to accept the consequences inherent in your own hypothesis. I say again, almost certain is not definite. So it might not occur because it is, drum rollGǪ almost certain.
However likely or unlikely that you might try to spin itGǪ No matter how many mathematical proofs that you submitGǪ
The outcome is not 100% definite by your own admission and your own mathematical "evidence", and that is just simple logic
I offer you another notion to ponder
Let's get off of the coin toss thing and the keyboard for a moment. Let us instead use scrabble pieces. I will now arrange them into a pile and I will set off an explosive devise at their center. The pieces are hurled every which way, and now I ask you this "how many tries do I get until they land in a perfect linear sequence that spells out the works of Hamlet?"
Am I supposed to accept the fact that must occure to, if given infinite tries?
You see in the very metaphors that we are arguing about, the cards are VASTLY stacked in favor of the statisticians. You give them a tiny set of outputs like only a 1 and 0, a heads or a tails or a keyboard that only has 84 keys and then you ask them if a random generator can make the full encyclopedia. The possibility is there, however unimaginably tiny, yesGǪ it is there. It is there because the keys are there, and since I can type it with my hands it is possible that very same keyboard can output said literary work, program or 10 billion ones in a row.
That does NOT mean that it will, and the math does not say that it will. It says that it is almost certian and as very likely as that may seem to you, that is just not the same thing as definite. It is far from it.
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Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
1196
|
Posted - 2012.07.27 03:50:00 -
[150] - Quote
Eternum Praetorian wrote:I retort your assertions be submitting that you do not understand the true nature of randomness. And a magic unicorn shared that intimate knowledge of the universe with you ? And I retort that you're talking out of your posterior.
Quote:You are taking it on faith--something that can never be observed. The math is not telling you that it will occur, it is only telling you that it could. Get it? It can EVENTUALLY be observed. You personally won't live long enough to observe it, but that's a different story.
Quote:The outcome is not 100% definite by your own admission And I am not quite 100% definitely certain that the sun will rise tomorrow, but I'll still bet you everything that I could possibly bet against your 10 USD that it will, and I'll almost certainly win that bed each and every time until the day one of us dies.
Even if there's just a 51% chance that you'll get N head tosses in a row in XYZ throws, that's already more likely to happen than not, and by just increasing the value of XYZ, that chance will keep on getting higher and higher.
http://wiki.eveonline.com/en/wiki/User:Akita_T http://eve-search.com/stats/Akita_T T2 BPO poll : https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=114789 |
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