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Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
23
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Posted - 2011.10.05 01:20:00 -
[1] - Quote
So, sell side orders have already breached 400m per unit in Jita - anyone want to place bets on when CCP will crash the price again with a new promotion? |

Brock Nelson
28
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 01:23:00 -
[2] - Quote
Heard your mom breached jersey shore beach last weekend |

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
23
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Posted - 2011.10.05 01:25:00 -
[3] - Quote
Brock Nelson wrote:Heard your mom breached jersey shore beach last weekend That news is so last week. |

Dethmourne Silvermane
Origin. Black Legion.
2
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Posted - 2011.10.05 01:53:00 -
[4] - Quote
Please get them to 500m, I need to pay off my EVE debt and my new job is salary so I end up working even when I'm at home. |

whaynethepain
8
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 02:17:00 -
[5] - Quote
I think ccp can sustain this price. |

El 1974
Bendebeukers Green Rhino
8
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Posted - 2011.10.05 10:30:00 -
[6] - Quote
A promotion is only a temporary bandaid that costs CCP money in the long run. CCP needs to solve the excess of isk ingame. They should create stuff we want. Add content that require players to spend isk on BPO's etc. There have been plenty of game changes suggested that would create isk sinks as well such as increasing sov fees for larger alliances. |

Comy 1
Ore Mongers Indecisive Certainty
25
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Posted - 2011.10.05 11:10:00 -
[7] - Quote
CCP should add docking fees to NPC stations based on standings, best ISK sink ever. |

Tasko Pal
Spallated Garniferous Schist
3
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Posted - 2011.10.05 11:34:00 -
[8] - Quote
So that's why mean ole Qube drove up the price of PLEX. So he/she can troll MD. Now I'll have to pay for my army of forum alts with real money. This is so unfair. |

Krono Black
Light Shines Through
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 16:26:00 -
[9] - Quote
Did you stop and think that with the rise in cost of plex thanks to the NEXstore that people might want to get a little more isk for their buck. Besides the promo which was a great idea imo. plex now cost more than a month of eve, where pre nexstore plex was the same amount as a month of eve. If you want to complain, complain about a game card costing more than the game. |

Elise DarkStar
DarkCorp Capital Group DarkCorp Imperium
13
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 17:00:00 -
[10] - Quote
Tasko Pal wrote:So that's why mean ole Qube drove up the price of PLEX. So he/she can troll MD. Now I'll have to pay for my army of forum alts with real money. This is so unfair.
You really think someone is manipulating the plex market? Bare minimum you'd have to be throwing 200b around in buy and sell orders or stockpiles to move that market in any significant way.
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Claire Voyant
4
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Posted - 2011.10.05 18:49:00 -
[11] - Quote
Companion Qube wrote:So, sell side orders have already breached 400m per unit in Jita - anyone want to place bets on when CCP will crash the price again with a new promotion? The ONLY thing CCP can do to crash the PLEX market is get more players into the game and buying GTCs and PLEX to sell for isk. So with any luck the most recent dev blogs are the sign you are looking for.
|

Ave Volta
Perkone Caldari State
2
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Posted - 2011.10.05 19:48:00 -
[12] - Quote
Doesn't CCP want PLEX prices to go up?
The steady, if slow, gain in subs doesn't seem so sure anymore and players using PLEX for game time has to hurt their bottom line.
I mean...I haven't paid for this game in, like, forever. |

Claire Voyant
4
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Posted - 2011.10.05 20:08:00 -
[13] - Quote
Ave Volta wrote:Doesn't CCP want PLEX prices to go up? What CCP wants is to increase the number of PLEX and GTC people buy for cash. To the extent that higher PLEX prices (in isk) make those PLEX more valuable to players and make them more likely to spend their cash on them, yes. But if you assume that CCP cares only about the price of PLEX, then that path leads to all kinds of wacky theories. They are far more concerned about the number of PLEX converted than the market price.
Edit: Many of us older players have multiple alts all paid for by PLEX. If the price of PLEX ever rose so high that we decided to cut back on our PLEX usage we'd probably be more likely to reduce the number of our accounts than to start paying real life money for Eve again. |

Esan Vartesa
Khanid Trade Syndicate
35
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Posted - 2011.10.05 20:09:00 -
[14] - Quote
Ave Volta wrote:Doesn't CCP want PLEX prices to go up?
The steady, if slow, gain in subs doesn't seem so sure anymore and players using PLEX for game time has to hurt their bottom line.
I mean...I haven't paid for this game in, like, forever.
*facepalm*
This? Again? |

stoicfaux
264
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 20:14:00 -
[15] - Quote
Ave Volta wrote:Doesn't CCP want PLEX prices to go up?
The steady, if slow, gain in subs doesn't seem so sure anymore and players using PLEX for game time has to hurt their bottom line.
I mean...I haven't paid for this game in, like, forever.
Technically, no. Someone bought the PLEX, so someone paid your sub for you. The concern is either a) people paying with PLEX might find it easier to quit playing (stockpiled isk being perceived as being less valuable than paying for a sub with real money, thus the perceived value of an Eve sub is reduced,)
b) people paying with PLEX might not be actually playing (i.e. just logging in for skill training) and are not contributing to the Eve community (community helps to make subs sticky,) or
c) the PLEX being used was bought a long time ago, which reduces current income. Meaning, the PLEX was bought a few quarters ago, CPP has already spent the PLEX income a few quarters ago, which means there is less income this quarter.
Also, if the PLEX prices go up, then CCP might lose the PLEX only player who finds grinding isk no longer worth the effort.
Tinfoil. It should be at the top of everyone's food pyramid.
|

Ave Volta
Perkone Caldari State
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 21:02:00 -
[16] - Quote
My line of reasoning, which I didn't really spell out, was essentially what Claire said.
Seems to me PLEX could go a bit higher still to achieve the optimal equalibrium that CCP would desire. Maximizing the attractiveness of converting cash to PLEX while not going so far as to turn of buyers of PLEX for game time.
I mean, with the massive amounts of isk floating around, idle or otherwise, I would think PLEX could go up a decent amount before people start to deactivte alts. But maybe I'm wrong.
/edit typo |

Jita Bloodtear
Bloodtear Labs
6
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 21:10:00 -
[17] - Quote
PLEX manipulation is underway. Prices are now selling at 430mil |

Angsty Teenager
We Are Furious
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.05 21:18:00 -
[18] - Quote
Jita Bloodtear wrote:PLEX manipulation is underway. Prices are now selling at 430mil
I'll beat ther offers and sell prices for 420mil. |

Claire Voyant
4
|
Posted - 2011.10.06 10:14:00 -
[19] - Quote
Ave Volta wrote:Seems to me PLEX could go a bit higher still to achieve the optimal equalibrium that CCP would desire. Maximizing the attractiveness of converting cash to PLEX while not going so far as to turn of buyers of PLEX for game time.
My point is that CCP doesn't (or shouldn't) worry about the equilibrium. Any student of Econ 101 will tell you it will take care of itself.
What CCP cares about is lifting both the supply and demand curves. If demand rises faster than supply prices will go up. If supply rises faster than demand prices will go down.
CCP has access to information we traders don't. They know how many people are paying cash for PLEX and GTCs to convert to PLEX. They know how many subscribers are using PLEX to pay for game time. In other words, they know the actual end-user supply and demand. They don't have to stare at the tea leaves of the market to determine what direction things are going in.
They are however concerned about short-term shocks caused by CCP action. The case in point was Incursions that brought in a lot of new players who bought GTCs to sell for isk while simultaneously returning learning skill points causing a massive surge of capital skill book purchases and a huge isk sink. If it happens again, CCP plans to temporarily buy up surplus PLEX to support prices and inject isk into the market. |

Zeta Zhul
Preemptive Paranoia
7
|
Posted - 2011.10.06 14:36:00 -
[20] - Quote
Comy 1 wrote:CCP should add docking fees to NPC stations based on standings, best ISK sink ever.
Or add fuel to the game. E.g. you get the listed PG & Cap with no fuel use. Install a power generator mod (new) and put fuel in the cargo hold and you get improved PG & Cap. But it costs you fuel and cargo capacity.
Increased fuel cost is an isk sink plus the creation of fuel adds to PI and ice mining. It will also tend to make ships more effective & cost efficient in their home areas as those will be the natural sources and markets for their racial ship fuels. |
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Kara Books
Hedion University Amarr Empire
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.07 12:51:00 -
[21] - Quote
their gonna push it to 500, at which point I suggest you take down your buy orders.
1) I didn't see a flood of people last month nor the month before that. I see winter coming, AKA, Slow months. I see a few new shiny super-titans in the peoples garages who are pulling this off. I see mineral prices growing at an alarming rate, over a very short period of time. I see myself doing the exact same thing with 1 trillion or more ISK on hand. I see my cup of coffee getting cold, so I will stop here.
2) Because that's exactly what I would do.
Only other option is, 2 penny basher's are tugging on that penny and a new type of wire made out of plex is about to be introduced into the eve online merchant community, with the unfortunate side effect of plex prices going up temporally.
|

Claire Voyant
5
|
Posted - 2011.10.07 15:02:00 -
[22] - Quote
Kara Books wrote:their gonna push it to 500, at which point I suggest you take down your buy orders.
1) I didn't see a flood of people last month nor the month before that. I see winter coming, AKA, Slow months. I see a few new shiny super-titans in the peoples garages who are pulling this off. I see mineral prices growing at an alarming rate, over a very short period of time. I see myself doing the exact same thing with 1 trillion or more ISK on hand. I see my cup of coffee getting cold, so I will stop here.
2) Because that's exactly what I would do.
Only other option is, 2 penny basher's are tugging on that penny and a new type of wire made out of plex is about to be introduced into the eve online merchant community, with the unfortunate side effect of plex prices going up temporally. I hope this is not too late, but you need to get to an Emergency Room as soon as possible. Better yet, just pick up the phone and dial 9-1-1. They will take care of the rest.
|

Nunchuck Norris
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.07 16:12:00 -
[23] - Quote
incursion did this , let`s burn it with fire ! 
incursion brings too much isk / hour , and everyone and their dog are doing incursions now ... l4 main income source wasn`t isk from the sky , but LP & loot = not money from the sky , it was currency that was changing hands through selling LP modules & loot . The payment for the actual mission in liquid isk was extreme ****** .
Now with 10m at every 5-10 minutes , there is too much isk ingame = 420m plexes |

Tesal
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.07 19:49:00 -
[24] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:[quote=Ave Volta]...They are however concerned about short-term shocks caused by CCP action. The case in point was Incursions that brought in a lot of new players who bought GTCs to sell for isk while simultaneously returning learning skill points causing a massive surge of capital skill book purchases and a huge isk sink. If it happens again, CCP plans to temporarily buy up surplus PLEX to support prices and inject isk into the market.
The last thing to do is inject more ISK into the market. The supply and demand is being balanced now by how many people decide to unsub their alts due to the price of PLEX. More ISK being injected into the market will just cause more inflation. The ISK sale temporarily lowered the price of PLEX, with hopes that people would resub their alts probably. People have become accustomed to cheap PLEX and are willing to quit the game if it goes too high. CCP probably wants PLEX to be as cheap as possible.
The best thing CCP can do is inject content or make changes that gets a lot of ships and materials blown up. This would create a need to buy PLEX to replace losses, mostly in 0.0 battles. There isn't a need to sell PLEX to replace ships lost now, too many people are blue in 0.0. Both BoB/IT and the NC are gone, so there are that many fewer people who can challenge the current powers that be and their fleets of SC that dominate the field now. That is why I think they are going to nerf SC hard so that people feel like they have a chance to fight against the big power blocs for a little bit of space. They will buy a PLEX here and there to replace lost cap ships or pay for insurance or other stuff. Balancing capital ships is on the list of upcoming changes in the next patch. |

Commander Godsmack
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.09 04:34:00 -
[25] - Quote
ya'll blowing a bunch of hot air. And Quebe this next bit may be horribly offensive to you but you cant gag me for this:
Elliot wave Theory Trends
PLEX prices are incredibly predictable if you just look at the charts and google the above two concepts
kthxbye |

Airto TLA
Puppeteers of Doom Real Life Rejects
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.13 18:45:00 -
[26] - Quote
I really have wondered what has caused the rapidly rising Plex prices, since overall most other prices seem to stay in the general range or actually fall, the sellers of plex get a better deal every month, while the buyers get a worse deal (more stuff sold to get the same amount of money, then more to buy the higher priced plex). So what has impacted PLex price recently:
1. The charity events PLex (for some disater) this should have raised Plex price, but had minotr impacts in the immediate time.
2. THe Plex buy 11 get one free sale, should have increased PLEX supply and lowered prices.
3. The world ecomomy is bad, less people willing to spend outside cash for isk, more people willing to sell isk for more play time. This should increase the price of Plex. Basically the intrisic cost of free time wasted has fallen, the fun budgets have decreased and
4. Incursions - free isk - the incursion runners and their 10+ billion income have both increased demand and decreased supply potentially (for example PVPer/part time Missioneer. Plays 80 hrs per month 30 hr missioning @30mil expends 1.2 bil in ships and general expenses. Net negative 300 mil, needs to buy a plex per month to cover, Now 20 hr per month Incusioning @100 per 1.5 bil spent, 500 mil left over and BUYS a plex.
5. Something else, what you think?
I think 3 and 4 overwhelm the impact of 1 and 2, and I think alts like this one are soon to be retired, since I do not really benefit much from 4 and I am defintitly impacted by 3. |

Diomedes Calypso
Aetolian Armada
19
|
Posted - 2011.10.13 20:33:00 -
[27] - Quote
Ave Volta wrote:My line of reasoning, which I didn't really spell out, was essentially what Claire said.
Seems to me PLEX could go a bit higher still to achieve the optimal equalibrium that CCP would desire. Maximizing the attractiveness of converting cash to PLEX while not going so far as to turn of buyers of PLEX for game time.
I mean, with the massive amounts of isk floating around, idle or otherwise, I would think PLEX could go up a decent amount before people start to deactivte alts. But maybe I'm wrong.
/edit typo
carrying on with your thoughts and countering some reactionary free marketers who things a better value means more sales by definition.
- if you run a pay to play company, you'r going to set virtual currency sale prices based upon the scarcity and utility of goods you offer....and try to do so in a way that creates the maximum $ revenue.
- If people can buy sought after goods for a lower price they could very conceivably buy less currency because their needs were satisfied.
- balancing that is a fine line.... but lower prices don't even necessarily mean more total $ volume if game design needs let cash buys get what they needed for less.
Value isn't the driving force in the purchase decision for a great great many businesses far beyond oddities of virutal worlds and games.
Abercrombie and Fitch, or Tiffany's sell fine products better than most in their fields yet how much of mark up they can get on items owes a large part to the image and allure of exclusivity they've built around them.
Prices for plex could very well settle at a price where only peopel with piles of isk play and the first squeezed out of the market were people begining to get interested in the game and still paying cash for some accounts but losing interest if they couldn't fun another account with game play. Those people quitting means less people doing word of mouth marketing that brings in plex> isk sellers.
--- changes in game play like the pending nerf of super carriers could mean that the small handfull of people speding real money to sell plex to buy one dry's up.... and one or two of those people means hundreds of plex that would have hit the market but don't ... and make an equilibrium move without any consideration of the value of plex but the desire for a super. |

Diomedes Calypso
Aetolian Armada
19
|
Posted - 2011.10.13 20:48:00 -
[28] - Quote
Volume in The Forge looks very steady over the course of the year.
Volume doesn't tell us anything that we can be sure of other than that does make it less likely that there are less people looking to sell $>plex>isk at this point.
It is true that we could conceivably be having the inventory of player held plex reduced in number to pretty much exactly match past volume but given that I could see equal numbers of people seeing the price rise when they've lost interest in the game, wanting to hold plex rather than isk during their hiatus.
Looking at things independently I'd think inventories would tend to stay the same so that a consistant volume means basically even numbers of people doing the $>plex> isk thing.
My best guess would be that more people who had stores of isk but were also buying game time monthly (and never needing to sell it.. just use it) have decided to stop paying $ and pay isk.
They have displaced people who aren't really sure of whether they want to keep an account active as the price goes higher.
Thats my guess though... same general profile bringing the plex to market.. slightly different profile of the group buying them thats letting the price rise. |

Sortin Crendraven
Overlord Corp Sovereign Technologies
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.13 22:35:00 -
[29] - Quote
Zeta Zhul wrote:Comy 1 wrote:CCP should add docking fees to NPC stations based on standings, best ISK sink ever. Or add fuel to the game. E.g. you get the listed PG & Cap with no fuel use. Install a power generator mod (new) and put fuel in the cargo hold and you get improved PG & Cap. But it costs you fuel and cargo capacity. Increased fuel cost is an isk sink plus the creation of fuel adds to PI and ice mining. It will also tend to make ships more effective & cost efficient in their home areas as those will be the natural sources and markets for their racial ship fuels. I was very surprised there wasn't any fuel requirement when I started the game. Ships should require fuel in a fuel bay just like a POS, except of course it'd only get used when you're flying. Infinite fuel from nowhere is convenient, though. |

Lithalnas
Privateers Privateer Alliance
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 02:07:00 -
[30] - Quote
apparently CCP is putting out another plex deal to try and deflate the isk value of PLEX by oversupply
classy CCP, classy
QPE 2 anyone? How to build a PC for EVE thread (by Akira T) http://eve-search.com/thread/1559734-0/page/1
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DeliaPrescot
Balintol
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 11:02:00 -
[31] - Quote
I'm torn on this, i still weep tears thinking about how poor i was when the PLEX price was about 250m two years ago. I invested all my cash i had into PLEX back then and the return is obscene but still i wish i had some more extra billions. Today is different cash is no problem, so if the PLEX ever is falling i know what i will do and you don't need to guess that i'm not alone. CCP can slow down the upward spiral on PLEX prices with such offers like the 200$ one but can't stop it without heavy interfering and as result crashing the PLEX market. The more often CCP offers bulk buying PLEX the less the market will react until this instrument won't work anymore. Anyway i'm just sitting here hoping and waiting for a crash caused by CCP as this is the only way PLEX prices will be at 300m or lower ever again. Still predicting PLEX prices about 500m around Christmas. |

Endeavour Starfleet
Center for Advanced Studies Gallente Federation
9
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 11:14:00 -
[32] - Quote
Lithalnas wrote:apparently CCP is putting out another plex deal to try and deflate the isk value of PLEX by oversupply
classy CCP, classy
QPE 2 anyone?
If you try to game the PLEX market. Expect CCP to respond period. PLEX has grown active accounts by leaps and bounds and stomped out a fair bit of RMT.
When are folks going to learn. The sweet spot for PLEX is 350-375 or so. |

Lexmana
Imperial Stout
36
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 13:57:00 -
[33] - Quote
Incursion introduced an ISK faucet and Incarna a PLEX sink. Together they should push the price upwards. |

Claire Voyant
6
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 15:09:00 -
[34] - Quote
Endeavour Starfleet wrote:If you try to game the PLEX market. Expect CCP to respond period. PLEX has grown active accounts by leaps and bounds and stomped out a fair bit of RMT.
When are folks going to learn. The sweet spot for PLEX is 350-375 or so. So how high do PLEX prices have to go to convince you that you are wrong and that CCP doesn't give a damn about how high they are?
Hint: the people who actually pay money to CCP are quite happy to see PLEX prices in the stratosphere. You may b!tch and moan all you want, but you are merely a consumer of PLEX. As long as someone else is willing to pay the market rate, CCP doesn't care who buys them.
Is the board of Nike concerned that people pay $120 for their worthless shoes? As long as people keep buying them, they are happy. It's when they stop buying them, that they get concerned. Likewise CCP only worries when PLEX prices fall too low.
Sweet spot my ass! It's what the market will bear.
|

Tasko Pal
Spallated Garniferous Schist
5
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 16:32:00 -
[35] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:
So how high do PLEX prices have to go to convince you that you are wrong and that CCP doesn't give a damn about how high they are?
I'd say it'd have to near 1 billion or so. Given that they suddenly came up with a PLEX deal when PLEX threatened to hit 450 (and this is the second time they've done so, I might add), they really don't want PLEX too expensive.
My view now is that given current game dynamics PLEX is going to rise to higher levels, but this is despite CCP wishes. If they adjust isk faucets/sinks so that isk creation is reduced or consumption increased, then they can stabilize PLEX around current levels. The current sort of strategy (offering deals on PLEX to increase PLEX supply) just doesn't work in the long term (all they're doing is reducing the average price of PLEX and that's limited by the constraint to make PLEX more expensive than the monthly fee for keeping an account open).
|

Endeavour Starfleet
Center for Advanced Studies Gallente Federation
10
|
Posted - 2011.10.15 19:03:00 -
[36] - Quote
Claire you might note that CCP reintroduced the deal and brought PLEX prices down again. CCP apparently does give a damn. Or atleast glad for the excuse to to get a bunch of money in the door. Either way PLEX wont keep building the way the speculators want.
That is what speculation is about. You are betting that increased supply wont OMGpwn you in the markets like say RL opening up of oil reserves.
PLEX isn't a good idea to game. |

Claire Voyant
6
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 02:48:00 -
[37] - Quote
Tasko Pal wrote:Given that they suddenly came up with a PLEX deal when PLEX threatened to hit 450 (and this is the second time they've done so, I might add), they really don't want PLEX too expensive. That is not the only explanation. Obviously when they run a volume discount deal, they expect to get a bunch of people buying large chunks of PLEX and putting them on the market. This can't help but depress PLEX prices. The problem is assuming that this is the motivation for the promotion. In actuality, the promotion is run by the marketing department in order to increase revenue from PLEX sales. The important point is to realize that they wait until PLEX prices are high so they can run the promotion without crashing PLEX prices too much in the process.
You could argue that this amounts to the same thing. If the marketing department has been given instructions not to run PLEX promotions unless the price of PLEX is over a certain level, then the Marketing people will probably pretty much just take the liberty to do so whenever that point is hit and it would amount to the same thing as a PLEX price target.
But that is not the only way this could work. The criteria could involve a rising price target. It might only kick in if the price goes a certain amount higher than it did before the previous promotion. Or it could be determined by the actual volume of PLEX purchased from CCP and promotions might only be run during slack periods when sales are low in order to smooth out the revenue stream.
I think the way to settle this is to see what happens in the next month or so. If the past is any guide, PLEX prices should peak in mid-November at around 440-450 million isk. I also think CCP will avoid PLEX promotions immediately before the usual pre-expansion rush because it will just cost them sales. I think if there are no promotions during the entire month of November AND PLEX tops out at at least 440 during the month then it is safe to say that the Marketing Department has not just been given a price target. |

Diomedes Calypso
Aetolian Armada
19
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 10:24:00 -
[38] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Endeavour Starfleet wrote:If you try to game the PLEX market. Expect CCP to respond period. PLEX has grown active accounts by leaps and bounds and stomped out a fair bit of RMT.
When are folks going to learn. The sweet spot for PLEX is 350-375 or so. So how high do PLEX prices have to go to convince you that you are wrong and that CCP doesn't give a damn about how high they are? Hint: the people who actually pay money to CCP are quite happy to see PLEX prices in the stratosphere. You may b!tch and moan all you want, but you are merely a consumer of PLEX. As long as someone else is willing to pay the market rate, CCP doesn't care who buys them. Is the board of Nike concerned that people pay $120 for their worthless shoes? As long as people keep buying them, they are happy. It's when they stop buying them, that they get concerned. Likewise CCP only worries when PLEX prices fall too low. Sweet spot my ass! It's what the market will bear.
You got the Nike thing backwards
CCP wants to sell the maximum plex possible.. fair deal capitalism.... they get less money per isk purchased if prices for plex in isk go UP..
There are a lot of cross currents and other motivations in terms of retaining players etc that are also valuble. but
a 120$ of shoes is 200 million per plex, a 90 dollar pair of shoes is 300 million and a 60$ pair of shoes is 400 million... the higher the isk it takes to buy a plex.. the less real life money CCP gets from people using $ to buy a loki.
like I said there are other factors.. but as long as you brought up the tennis shoes.. might as well get that part sorted out |

Claire Voyant
8
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 10:58:00 -
[39] - Quote
Diomedes Calypso wrote:You got the Nike thing backwards
CCP wants to sell the maximum plex possible.. fair deal capitalism.... they get less money per isk purchased if prices for plex in isk go UP..
There are a lot of cross currents and other motivations in terms of retaining players etc that are also valuble. but
a 120$ of shoes is 200 million per plex, a 90 dollar pair of shoes is 300 million and a 60$ pair of shoes is 400 million... the higher the isk it takes to buy a plex.. the less real life money CCP gets from people using $ to buy a loki.
like I said there are other factors.. but as long as you brought up the tennis shoes.. might as well get that part sorted out That would be true if demand was inelastic (not price sensitive), if there was no competition, and if people were forced to play Eve and buy isk. You imply that CCP should maximize the amount of RL dollars people need to pay to buy a single loki, when in fact what CCP wants to do is maximize the amount of RL dollars people pay them (CCP) in order to buy lokis (however many they want) and all the other crap they need. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 11:31:00 -
[40] - Quote
Let's sum it up
CCP wants dolla from PLEX sale, either doing a promotions or leaving PLEX to raise to 1B. RL $ is really what it counts, unless somebody have forgotten what the business is.
People have no problem buying 500M or 800M isk PLEX to play.
Seeing volumes of PLEX sale in Jita constantly raising over a year, seems to me that price is nowhere to go except up.
Unless CCP make good expansion and bring alot of new players; that is 6-9 months of dedicated and good work on EVE. Maybe next year, for now, PLEX up. |
|

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 11:52:00 -
[41] - Quote
Oh yes, fixing game issues, where curent focus is, means nothing to new, RL $ paying players. Means for older player base, they buy PLEX from market. +1 for PLEX up. |

Tasko Pal
Spallated Garniferous Schist
5
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 17:45:00 -
[42] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:
People have no problem buying 500M or 800M isk PLEX to play.
Why would you think that? People with multiple accounts are likely to cut back. For example, if someone has 10 alts mining ice at, say, 10 mil per hour, then they'd have to mine for 40 more hours before they could make up the new higher cost of maintaining that many alts.
And people who don't earn large amounts of isk either through grind or investment probably won't be interested in working a bunch more hours merely to maintain their current wealth. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 17:55:00 -
[43] - Quote
They work couple of days to pay for plex. Working a week or 2 weeks for plex is long distance from this price.
|

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 18:00:00 -
[44] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:They work couple of days to pay for plex. Working a week or 2 weeks for plex is long distance from this price.
Let me be clear. When ice mining can not pay for plex, TL;DR, the Ice will rise, and there we go again. |

Diomedes Calypso
Aetolian Armada
19
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 18:37:00 -
[45] - Quote
Tasko Pal wrote:IceFyre S18 wrote:
People have no problem buying 500M or 800M isk PLEX to play.
Why would you think that? People with multiple accounts are likely to cut back. For example, if someone has 10 alts mining ice at, say, 10 mil per hour, then they'd have to mine for 40 more hours before they could make up the new higher cost of maintaining that many alts. And people who don't earn large amounts of isk either through grind or investment probably won't be interested in working a bunch more hours merely to maintain their current wealth.
This is where it is really tricky and where things could break.
As long as what you say remains the factor with the INCREMENTAL buyer isk>plex , the prices of plex will stabilize in a rough range where in
game hours spent playing farming ~= hours a marginal seller of $>plex>isk makes a decision based in large part to keep up with a common level of spending in the range of those earning it in game.
That balance is also reasonable for people who neither play to play or pay extra to pay as with a moderate amount of pay , they'll be able to equip ships (yet not play for free)
Q: WHERE can things Break down.?
A: Things can break down when elasticity largely disappears on Either side of the purchase / sale equation
a1) on the buy isk>plex side - where the Incremental buyer is no longer a player that earns isk through a more direct hours played farming to purchase decision but where the incremental buyer has huges stores of isk (like over 20 billion.. although there are many much higher) or has huge semi passive income in terms of production, datacore(just a tiny boost here), and moon mining which would mean that they might need those accounts as closing them could cost billions a month in semi passive effort.. (and/or they know that even with some inactivity between datacores and an occasional char sale on the account a very high hurdle could be largely met anyway even if they miss a month or two of production due to temporary loss of interest in the game)
--- tldr on A1 --- if the incremental buyer isn't thinking play time to isk purchases prices could settle well higher than comfortable for people who do things like mining or missioning or plexing to pay for game time
b1) on the sell side ($>plex>isk) - supply coming to market is dependent upon player interest in the game first and foremost... without and interest in the game, almost no value scenario will get more buyers off their butts. -- not an exact analogy (analogies rarely are, yet still useful while not exact where they can cast light with a partial relation)... but there is something similar to a federal reserve "pushing on the string" impact where even zero interest rates don't boost capital spending anymore because the rate of money is no longer the cusp motivation of expansion investment decision
b2) risk that when getting higher amounts of isk per $ that the number of buyers does not expand because of better value but actually contracts. Because game goals drive the decision to use more $, and game goals are based upon game dynamics, if the incremental seller has his game goals met selling fewer plex they may actually reduce the plex coming to market -RL analogy(again not perfect but illustrator) - Buy one get one free Shoe sale - the better value for the 2 pairs of shoes could actually cannibalize over-all shoe sales. Someone coming in to buy one pair of shoes for need(even if need is old shoes look crappy) might spend a tad more to get a second set if the promotion sets prices slightly higher for the first pairGÇömost people expect shoes to be discounted and the lack of a discount on one pair is an effective price increase). However those coming in with the idea of buying two pairs very likely spend a tad less than they anticipated given the bargain -Very very few people coming in to buy 1 pair, would walk out with 4 pairs buying more because of the bargain.. clutter becomes a bigger consideration than value -Those that do take 4 shoes probably cannibalize from future demand.. theyGÇÖll almost certainly wait longer till their next shoe purchase
Bad scenario = shrinking number of players (or changes in things that can motivate occasional huge $>plex>isk sales like a nerf to super carriers) could mean less Plex being sold regardless of value situation
TLDR If # of plex coming to market falls (due to decreased player base), and that # volume is below the # of very isk rich players ( who might even buy game time at 1 billion isk per month for lack of beter use of the isk and the abilty to still earn many times that) THEN the isk>plex relation can lose all connection to the earnings of a more typical player makes in isk per hour.
Knock on effects of what I consider an entirely possible outcome (say it happens in 1 one out of 4 futuresGǪ I think there is a 75% chance that it will not happen yet a 25% chance is something that needs to be prepared for --- nü«Loss of interest in the game from those depending on relatively affordable isk>plex ratio to continue playing nü«Vicious circle of the above quitting causing paying players to quit because friends leave and less people to draw people to the gave via word of mouth nü«Inbalance created by remaining $>plex>isk sellers getting so much isk for their $ that with small amounts of $ they completely eclipse the earning power of those players who were never buyers or sellers.. decreasing the game satisfaction of those players who were never buyers or sellers GǪ less sense of balance will lead to incrementally less players and vicious cycle continuing.
|

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 18:56:00 -
[46] - Quote
From my experience, the EVE will (is) set a new course, will find a way to new equilibrium. 500M Plex, minerals will rise, mission will not be much good income, Incursions will rock as it do. 1B Plex, just the same, couple will cut on some "do it for free" activities, but imo, nothing will change. We adapt, troll more, and go on.
Exept CCP gets some extra cash, I hope, and put into EVE development. |

Ariel Dawn
F9X
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.16 21:34:00 -
[47] - Quote
People are figuring out how easy it is to make enough ISK within a short time period to cover a PLEX all the time. Only direction PLEX prices are going (long-term trending) is up. People who buy PLEXes to sell them for ISK make CCP happier, the more ISK a PLEX generates the better it is on their end.
If you have too much ISK floating around or you plan to quit EVE for a while, dump it into PLEXes. I bought a massive stack of them back when they were 270m, and back then players were adamant that the prices would never go higher, calling those who argued against idiots. A year from now you'll see players wishing they bought them up at 400-420m each.
Pretty slow way to make ISK if you're used to trading, but if you're not playing it's awesome coming back to ~60%+ growth that takes no work whatsoever and is more or less 100% safe. |

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
47
|
Posted - 2011.10.24 01:12:00 -
[48] - Quote
You've probably already noticed that plex are about to take a nose-dive. If you _haven't_ now would be a good time to exit that market in an orderly fashion. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
1
|
Posted - 2011.10.24 01:44:00 -
[49] - Quote
I am waiting one of next promotions where for 199$ I'll get 13 PLEX, T-Shirt, Mug, EVE magnet, a pen, boots, battleship model, couple of other trinkets and bunch of ingame stuff including 2 monocles.
|

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
47
|
Posted - 2011.10.24 01:55:00 -
[50] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:I am waiting one of next promotions where for 199$ I'll get 13 PLEX, T-Shirt, Mug, EVE magnet, a pen, boots, battleship model, couple of other trinkets and bunch of ingame stuff including 2 monocles.
That's the long and short of it. CCP showed their hand with the most recent promotion - they're willing to give away collectors items and ships to keep plex under 400m. The question now is how much collector crap they're willing to pile on to any sale to temporarily flood the market and push prices down. |
|

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 12:11:00 -
[51] - Quote
New promotion fast, PLEX is wild. |

Shanlara
IDDQD Industry
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 15:44:00 -
[52] - Quote
plex prices are getting out of hand, either ccp soon steps in or this will actually hurt them, while people might be more inclined to buy plex's to get isk cause of the sick buy orders atm, the numbers of active accounts for people who don't have irl money to pay for accounts will begin shutting down at these prices, over the past month plex's went up with nearly 100m a unit, I'm one of those while I have a decent among of isk, I don't have enough to begin paying half a bill for a plex, so in afew days my accounts will begin going inactive till plex prices goes stable again, so I wonder if ccp will let this happen or if they are gonna step in a some point. |

Elise DarkStar
DarkCorp Capital Group DarkCorp Imperium
118
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 15:48:00 -
[53] - Quote
WHY DIDNT YOU FAGGOTS TELL ME IT WAS GOING TO 450?! SOME FRIENDS YOU ARE!
I check plex prices once a month when I pay for my accounts. I'm crying right now that the one market I can actually go all in on actually jumped >10%.
**** you all. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 16:30:00 -
[54] - Quote
Well, we have, but it seems not all listen. |

Elise DarkStar
DarkCorp Capital Group DarkCorp Imperium
118
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 16:33:00 -
[55] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:Well, we have, but it seems not all listen.
A personal mail would have been nice.
|

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
2
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 16:42:00 -
[56] - Quote
Elise DarkStar wrote:IceFyre S18 wrote:Well, we have, but it seems not all listen. A personal mail would have been nice.
But honest, you would not beleive me.
|

Elise DarkStar
DarkCorp Capital Group DarkCorp Imperium
118
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 16:49:00 -
[57] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:But honest, you would not beleive me.
ROFL
No, I most likely would not have believed you...
Anyway, gratz to everyone who is apparently smarter than me, and now proportionally richer too. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
3
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 17:21:00 -
[58] - Quote
I think there is no winers in this situation of high plex price.
PLEX traders don't want price jump, since there is not much profit there, and the price is going into unsafe areas. The PLEX trading is all about turnover, not stockpiling and resselling, coz of a huge capital involved. Stockpilling 1.000 PLEX, waiting, selling, in the end the profit from this big jump is less than if traded those every day.
My point is, there is not much profit from this jump.
And in long term, high Plex price is bad. So, either will correct somewhere and stay there or this is a only first step from a bigger change. Interesting times ahead.
|

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 21:52:00 -
[59] - Quote
$ 14.95 gets me one plex for 1 account. so now if i'm paying 500 mil for one plex am now paying for my account an 25% of another acount. am i right ? |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
4
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 21:58:00 -
[60] - Quote
No, sorry.
You pay again for 1 account, but now instead of working 4 days to earn for PLEX, you work about 5.
|
|

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:09:00 -
[61] - Quote
i think you missed the point. for eve account you pay $14.95 month for plex you pay $14.95 . as of now it's cheaper to use RLM an get plex then it is to use isk to get a plex. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
4
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:16:00 -
[62] - Quote
The only relation I see is the isk is cheaper compared to RL money. Devalued or whatever.
|

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:23:00 -
[63] - Quote
right now isk has a higher value then RLM . |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
4
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:27:00 -
[64] - Quote
rogueclone2 wrote:right now isk has a higher value then RLM .
How'so? Don't get it. |

Sator Nyatt
Hedion University Amarr Empire
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:28:00 -
[65] - Quote
There's something else affecting the market, and that's something a little hard to quantify by us, i'm sure an EVE Dev could gather the data though.
Has there been a net reduction in the number of plex being put onto the market? And if so, what is driving this? Why does a person buy $200 worth of plex and sell it on the market? And why has that person stopped doing so of late? |

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:41:00 -
[66] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:rogueclone2 wrote:right now isk has a higher value then RLM . How'so? Don't get it.
i just may. in 30 day's when i buy my next plexs. if i have to pay over 400 mil for a plex i will stop playing eve |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
4
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 22:51:00 -
[67] - Quote
Naah, just some of the minerals i mine for free will cost more. |

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 23:01:00 -
[68] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:Naah, just some of the minerals i mine for free will cost more.
i have to do the same to.. trit 5.00 isk unit coming soon |

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
54
|
Posted - 2011.10.31 23:16:00 -
[69] - Quote
Sator Nyatt wrote:There's something else affecting the market, and that's something a little hard to quantify by us, i'm sure an EVE Dev could gather the data though.
Has there been a net reduction in the number of plex being put onto the market? And if so, what is driving this? Why does a person buy $200 worth of plex and sell it on the market? And why has that person stopped doing so of late? You could make a guess that virtually all of the people who were willing to throw $200 at plex did so en-masse during the two discount promotions. That action flooded the market which drove speculators to hoard stacks of plex and drive the price right back up. Now, you'd normally have people willing to trickle more plex in to the market which would stabilize the price, but I'm guessing all of those people already made their space billions buying plex and dumping them during an earlier promotion.
TL;DR: My guess? CCP front-loaded plex market supply for some months with the bulk sales, now those people who would be trickling plex in on a daily basis aren't. edit: Instead, you've got speculators trickling plex back out at inflated prices. People like me, only, this time it wasn't me - I swear 
Up, up and away! (until the next sale anouncement.) |

Sator Nyatt
Hedion University Amarr Empire
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.01 00:12:00 -
[70] - Quote
Companion Qube wrote:You could make a guess that virtually all of the people who were willing to throw $200 at plex did so en-masse during the two discount promotions. That action flooded the market which drove speculators to hoard stacks of plex and drive the price right back up. Now, you'd normally have people willing to trickle more plex in to the market which would stabilize the price, but I'm guessing all of those people already made their space billions buying plex and dumping them during an earlier promotion. TL;DR: My guess? CCP front-loaded plex market supply for some months with the bulk sales, now those people who would be trickling plex in on a daily basis aren't. edit: Instead, you've got speculators trickling plex back out at inflated prices. People like me, only, this time it wasn't me - I swear  Up, up and away! (until the next sale anouncement.)
While your argument sounds valid, unfortunately you're basically making it up.
The last 12 months worth of Plex data in The Forge shows that there has been a slight increase in volume traded in plex, and certainly no downward trend in orders placed or numbers of plex traded. Moreover, its only been since plex started nudging past the 400 mil mark you've seen the plex drives, bulk deals, plex instead of time for buddies, most recently 3 plex for power of two or 180 days game time.
You could argue that its a drying up of the market, and supplies aren't coming in, which is possible, although . With 2000+ plex traded a day, accounting for approximately 1/5 of the game time needed, you could make the argument that not all the plex being traded is being consumed.
I would suggest that tech traders are no longer seeing much return in technetium so they're shifting over to plex as another large item that is traded consistenly. I'd also combine this with a recent drop in fresh numbers of plex being put on the market, which has something to do with the supercap nerf (a titan used to cost an entire day's worth of plex trading in jita) and uncertainty surrounding these ships making people not willing to plex it up to get their super pilots and ships.
Without the fresh sellers coming in its probably a lot of traders just passing plex around. 200 plex traded daily would account for about 1/5 of the subscription base, but without any numbers on how many people CC their account vs. PLEX, amount consumed per day versus traded per day is just a complete blind guess. |
|

Tidurious
The Dirty Rejects Scelus Sceleris.
10
|
Posted - 2011.11.01 00:13:00 -
[71] - Quote
Lol, PLEX are now over 450M in Rens... Glad I stocked up (from the market, not RLM) during the drop a week or two ago when CCP announced their deal about 13 PLEX for $200...
|

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
54
|
Posted - 2011.11.01 02:06:00 -
[72] - Quote
Sator Nyatt wrote:You could argue that its a drying up of the market, and supplies aren't coming in, which is possible, although . With 2000+ plex traded a day, accounting for approximately 1/5 of the game time needed, you could make the argument that not all the plex being traded is being consumed.
...
Without the fresh sellers coming in its probably a lot of traders just passing plex around. 2000 (in jita alone) plex traded daily would account for about 1/5 of the subscription base, but without any numbers on how many people CC their account vs. PLEX, amount consumed per day versus traded per day is just a complete blind guess. A couple of things you should know about the plex market:
A significant chunk of daily trading is margin flipping. I spent a day poopsocking jita plex once when I was sick and flipped something like 500 units by myself. (Note: don't bother, you might as well go work at mcdonalds and buy some plex with dollars instead - you'll make more isk per hour and have more fun.) Considering that Jita daily volume is around ~2k or ~2.5k that means I had my fingers on around half or a third of the daily transactions in the market. I _think_ that's about how much of the market is margin flipping on any given day, and obviously it's going to fluctuate.
Unless there's a big price move in a single day, like a crash, most of the time plex doesn't go from trader to trader it goes from plex producer to trader and trader to plex consumer. Most of the time there isn't enough profit in buying from another trader unless, like I said before, there's a big market move in a single day - there simply isn't enough margin to split with another party.
Also, totally not debating that I'm guessing, short supply due to CCP flushing out all the plex producers early is the best guess I can make with all the info I have.
edit: if, say, 40% of the market on any given day is margin flipping that means 60% is buying/selling for consumption or stockpiling - the question then is how much of it is consumption, how much is speculation and how much is as a hedge against isk inflation. |
|

CCP Spitfire
C C P C C P Alliance
383

|
Posted - 2011.11.01 07:33:00 -
[73] - Quote
Offtopic posts removed. Please keep the discussion civil.
CCP Spitfire | Russian Community Coordinator @ccp_spitfire |
|

rogueclone2
MANDALORIAN MOTORS Eve Engineering
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.01 14:15:00 -
[74] - Quote
to CCP Spitfire
are we going to see a plex cap soon ? |

Companion Qube
Positive Cashflow through Positive Thinking SRS.
54
|
Posted - 2011.11.01 14:53:00 -
[75] - Quote
rogueclone2 wrote:to CCP Spitfire
are we going to see a plex cap soon ? notsureifserious.jpg |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
4
|
Posted - 2011.11.02 18:19:00 -
[76] - Quote
Panic mode have replaced the Greed mode. |

Malcanis
Vanishing Point. The Initiative.
958
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 11:58:00 -
[77] - Quote
Shanlara wrote:plex prices are getting out of hand, either ccp soon steps in or this will actually hurt them, while people might be more inclined to buy plex's to get isk cause of the sick buy orders atm, the numbers of active accounts for people who don't have irl money to pay for accounts will begin shutting down at these prices, over the past month plex's went up with nearly 100m a unit, I'm one of those while I have a decent among of isk, I don't have enough to begin paying half a bill for a plex, so in afew days my accounts will begin going inactive till plex prices goes stable again, so I wonder if ccp will let this happen or if they are gonna step in a some point.
So what exactly do you expect CCP to do?
Introduce a market cap?
Spawn ISK to buy PLEX, then relist them more cheaply?
Cut the dollar price of PLEX to encourage more people to buy them?
End the world recession, giving people more money to spend on leisure and increasing employment so they have less free time to spend grinding?
Nerf ISK fountains/Buff ISK sinks?
Each of these solutions to the Canute problem has some superficially attractive features, but they'll all end with giving CCP wet feet. Malcanis' Law: Any proposal justified on the basis that "it will benefit new players" is invariably to the greater advantage of older, richer players.
Things to do in EVE:-áhttp://swiftandbitter.com/eve/wtd/ |

El 1974
Bendebeukers Green Rhino
21
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 13:08:00 -
[78] - Quote
Malcanis wrote:So what exactly do you expect CCP to do? I expect CCP will soon start taking in pre-orders for Dust514. In that package CCP can put 1 (or several) PLEX and a free 21 day trial for Eve Online. The PLEX can be used for 30 days Eve gametime, sold for ISK or converted to Aurum. |

Lexmana
Imperial Stout
41
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 14:11:00 -
[79] - Quote
Who thinks power for two may have something to do with the PLEX rally? |

Florestan Bronstein
The Waterworks
156
|
Posted - 2011.11.03 17:49:00 -
[80] - Quote
Sator Nyatt wrote:Why does a person buy $200 worth of plex and sell it on the market? because he wants a supercap.
most common options to get into a supercap are in my experience (no particular order)
(a) grind incursions or sleeper sites for a few weeks/months (b) sell the main character on your 2nd/3rd account (c) sell PLEX |
|

Marty Chang
Yarrbear Inc. Empire Genocide
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 13:06:00 -
[81] - Quote
Nice, 500m now |

Derath Ellecon
Washburne Holdings
34
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 16:26:00 -
[82] - Quote
Try 590m |

Marielle Toralen
School of Applied Knowledge Caldari State
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 16:38:00 -
[83] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:rogueclone2 wrote:right now isk has a higher value then RLM . How'so? Don't get it. A quick google reveals a sample RMT price of 1b isk for $20. Plex is at 500m and climbing. 500m for $15 isn't quite competitive with RMT, but it's heading that way. If plex hits 700m as some are predicting then it's going to be VERY competitive with RMT, due to the fact that nobody's taking any risks of punishment.
If plex prices get much closer to RMT you can expect a surge of pruchases and the price to crash again almost instantly as the market is flooded.
e: prices spiked to 540m in the time it took to type this. |

Cassuriel
School of Applied Knowledge Caldari State
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 18:49:00 -
[84] - Quote
It's nothing complicated, just Supply vs Demand.
There's more demand than there is supply.
rogueclone2 wrote:IceFyre S18 wrote:rogueclone2 wrote:right now isk has a higher value then RLM . How'so? Don't get it. i just may. in 30 day's when i buy my next plexs. if i have to pay over 400 mil for a plex i will stop playing eve
While it would be a great loss to lose any member of our glorious community, it would have the side effect of creating less demand, and thus you would in your own small way have the effect on Plex prices that you desire. Less Demand > lower prices.
Of course, thats little consolation if you've quit. |

Shizuken
Venerated Stars
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 21:14:00 -
[85] - Quote
Sator Nyatt wrote:Companion Qube wrote:You could make a guess that virtually all of the people who were willing to throw $200 at plex did so en-masse during the two discount promotions. That action flooded the market which drove speculators to hoard stacks of plex and drive the price right back up. Now, you'd normally have people willing to trickle more plex in to the market which would stabilize the price, but I'm guessing all of those people already made their space billions buying plex and dumping them during an earlier promotion. TL;DR: My guess? CCP front-loaded plex market supply for some months with the bulk sales, now those people who would be trickling plex in on a daily basis aren't. edit: Instead, you've got speculators trickling plex back out at inflated prices. People like me, only, this time it wasn't me - I swear  Up, up and away! (until the next sale anouncement.) While your argument sounds valid, unfortunately you're basically making it up. The last 12 months worth of Plex data in The Forge shows that there has been a slight increase in volume traded in plex, and certainly no downward trend in orders placed or numbers of plex traded. Moreover, its only been since plex started nudging past the 400 mil mark you've seen the plex drives, bulk deals, plex instead of time for buddies, most recently 3 plex for power of two or 180 days game time. You could argue that its a drying up of the market, and supplies aren't coming in, which is possible, although . With 2000+ plex traded a day, accounting for approximately 1/5 of the game time needed, you could make the argument that not all the plex being traded is being consumed. I would suggest that tech traders are no longer seeing much return in technetium so they're shifting over to plex as another large item that is traded consistenly. I'd also combine this with a recent drop in fresh numbers of plex being put on the market, which has something to do with the supercap nerf (a titan used to cost an entire day's worth of plex trading in jita) and uncertainty surrounding these ships making people not willing to plex it up to get their super pilots and ships. Without the fresh sellers coming in its probably a lot of traders just passing plex around. 2000 (in jita alone) plex traded daily would account for about 1/5 of the subscription base, but without any numbers on how many people CC their account vs. PLEX, amount consumed per day versus traded per day is just a complete blind guess.
I agree with this dude. The volume of sales has been at least constant. The increase in price is driven by a drying up supply. Whether this is speculators or people actually consuming them for game time, AUR, or other accounts one cannot say. If it is speculation though, the market will crash, and fast. When it starts, it will already be too late for most.
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Mr Bill Bravor
State War Academy Caldari State
1
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Posted - 2011.11.15 21:29:00 -
[86] - Quote
There is a rumor that the new ship skins will be bought with Aurum so my guess is that people are hoarding their plex for when the winter expansion goes online. This will essentially create a greater demand for plex. How long the demand stays high will depend on if the skins need to be replaced if the ship gets popped or not.
Anybody have an official answer if that rumor is true or not?
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Razz XXX
Vashta Nerada Corp
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 21:39:00 -
[87] - Quote
Jita at 513 but still see future above 600+. I'm starting to see some smaller regions at 600+. |

Killstealing
Broski Enterprises Elite Space Guild
154
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 21:54:00 -
[88] - Quote
go sleep for an hour
plex prices at 514m in jita
hahahaha oh lord this will be a hard month to buy 4 of those |

Alisarina
Center for Advanced Studies Gallente Federation
6
|
Posted - 2011.11.15 22:51:00 -
[89] - Quote
I threw up 5 of my stock I picked up at 400 mill earlier at 560 mill and they sold last night...going to suck when they break 600 mill per next week if the price jumping trend continues, however going to be nice for profit margins when they do go higher. |

Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 00:02:00 -
[90] - Quote
Shizuken wrote:If it is speculation though, the market will crash, and fast. When it starts, it will already be too late for most.
The current forecast is for speculator tears beginning by this weekend, building heavily for the next three months. |
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Marty Chang
Yarrbear Inc. Empire Genocide
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 00:17:00 -
[91] - Quote
Do you think prices will go down to 400m again one day ? Or are we just gonna have to buy our plexes 900m next year ? |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
5
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 00:54:00 -
[92] - Quote
Claire Voyant wrote:Shizuken wrote:If it is speculation though, the market will crash, and fast. When it starts, it will already be too late for most.
The current forecast is for speculator tears beginning by this weekend, building heavily for the next three months.
Yarrrrr |

David Clausewitz
The Spawning Pool Team Liquid
2
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 00:57:00 -
[93] - Quote
I hope they go back down to around 400mill soon. |

IceFyre S18
Zulu Labs Zulu People
5
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 01:07:00 -
[94] - Quote
David Clausewitz wrote:I hope they go back down to around 400mill soon.
All eyes are to CCP. Basically we need new players and expensive shinny stuff. |

Dirty Weegie
The Dirty Rejects Scelus Sceleris.
2
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 06:40:00 -
[95] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:David Clausewitz wrote:I hope they go back down to around 400mill soon. All eyes are to CCP. Basically we need new players and expensive shinny stuff.
People dont sell plex for expensive stuff anymore... they run incursions. I used to sell a plex now and again to get some extra isk for a new ship or faction mod i needed. I no longer need to do this.
For anyone that hasnt run an incursion the average pay when the fleet gets running is 80-100 mil an hour. I have 4 accounts and still have no problem plexing all 4 when im making 300 or 400 mil a day.
No one is puying extra plex to sell on the market becuase there is a massive isk fountain in EVE now.
Proof that the system is broken.. I know people moving back to empire from null because the isk is better in empire... i was of the understanding it was meant to be the other way around.
Only way to fix the the problem is hit incursions with the nerf bat... which i really dont want to happen  If you can't win fair... Cheat |

Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 14:17:00 -
[96] - Quote
Marty Chang wrote:Do you think prices will go down to 400m again one day ? Or are we just gonna have to buy our plexes 900m next year ? You do realize these are not mutually exclusive.
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Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 14:29:00 -
[97] - Quote
Dirty Weegie wrote:No one is puying extra plex to sell on the market becuase there is a massive isk fountain in EVE now. It looks like that massive isk fountain is being used to speculate in PLEX.
Hint: The longer these prices are maintained over the next few weeks, the more PLEX will come into the game, and the deeper and harder the crash will be. I'm looking forward to it. |

Acorn FB
Puppeteers of Doom Real Life Rejects
0
|
Posted - 2011.11.16 22:10:00 -
[98] - Quote
I am afraid you completly missed the point of the previous poster, he is an example of a person who moved from a supplier of plex to a consumer of plex, simply because of the disaster that is Incursions. I am pretty sure there are plenty of people in this catagory who spend a 4-5 days a month "making money" and the rest spending it, and whatever the shortfall is made up in plex. They do not mind spending the money from the outside so they bought plex.
For example a person who spends 20-25 hours a month earned them 800 mil to a billion missioning so they needed a little more for multiple account, cool toys etc and they paid for their account with money. Now they run Incursion and make 1.6 billion to 2.5 billion and that covers all the toys and maybe the plex for the alt account, so this guy went from a net 1 supplier of plex per month to a net -2 consumer of plex in a month.
I think this is a huge impact on the market, maybe wrong but it pretty much has to be part of it. |

Kuzzka
Perkone Caldari State
7
|
Posted - 2011.11.17 08:03:00 -
[99] - Quote
I better stop playing EVE rather than paying 1.5 billion mounthly for my 3 accounts. If greedy part of EVE community want to see PLEX "consumers" leave, then it should be so. |

Diomedes Calypso
Aetolian Armada
27
|
Posted - 2011.11.17 21:23:00 -
[100] - Quote
Acorn FB wrote: I am afraid you completly missed the point of the previous poster, he is an example of a person who moved from a supplier of plex to a consumer of plex, simply because of the disaster that is Incursions. I am pretty sure there are plenty of people in this catagory who spend a 4-5 days a month "making money" and the rest spending it, and whatever the shortfall is made up in plex. They do not mind spending the money from the outside so they bought plex.
For example a person who spends 20-25 hours a month earned them 800 mil to a billion missioning so they needed a little more for multiple account, cool toys etc and they paid for their account with money. Now they run Incursion and make 1.6 billion to 2.5 billion and that covers all the toys and maybe the plex for the alt account, so this guy went from a net 1 supplier of plex per month to a net -2 consumer of plex in a month.
I think this is a huge impact on the market, maybe wrong but it pretty much has to be part of it.
We don't know how isolated his experience is... and he may have been getting to the power missioner level anyway without incursions... but all things being equal I'll trust his own words.
This change would point to a drop in volume, or if not a drop in volume a commensurate increase in people creating and selling isk to make up for the supply he and other's like him curtailed.
All in all if true we can surmise: - (If above) people spendint $ are getting more isk per $ l - people running excusrions are geting more Isk per hour - people who don't enjoy running excursions or don't believe in spending incremental $ to achieve game goals are seprated that much further than before from those two groups.
CCP still depends on regurlar subscribers for a very very large percentage of their income. If people paying one subscripton a month feel increasingly seperated in resources, it becomes a game play issue. Of course this has always been something that existed, but vast differences were more left to outliers than the incursions theory coupled with steady plex volume realiizng higher isk per $ suggests. |
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Dirty Weegie
The Dirty Rejects Scelus Sceleris.
4
|
Posted - 2011.11.18 11:19:00 -
[101] - Quote
Diomedes Calypso wrote:Acorn FB wrote: I am afraid you completly missed the point of the previous poster, he is an example of a person who moved from a supplier of plex to a consumer of plex, simply because of the disaster that is Incursions. I am pretty sure there are plenty of people in this catagory who spend a 4-5 days a month "making money" and the rest spending it, and whatever the shortfall is made up in plex. They do not mind spending the money from the outside so they bought plex.
For example a person who spends 20-25 hours a month earned them 800 mil to a billion missioning so they needed a little more for multiple account, cool toys etc and they paid for their account with money. Now they run Incursion and make 1.6 billion to 2.5 billion and that covers all the toys and maybe the plex for the alt account, so this guy went from a net 1 supplier of plex per month to a net -2 consumer of plex in a month.
I think this is a huge impact on the market, maybe wrong but it pretty much has to be part of it. We don't know how isolated his experience is... and he may have been getting to the power missioner level anyway without incursions... but all things being equal I'll trust his own words. This change would point to a drop in volume, or if not a drop in volume a commensurate increase in people creating and selling isk to make up for the supply he and other's like him curtailed. All in all if true we can surmise: - (If above) people spendint $ are getting more isk per $ l - people running excusrions are geting more Isk per hour - people who don't enjoy running excursions or don't believe in spending incremental $ to achieve game goals are seprated that much further than before from those two groups. CCP still depends on regurlar subscribers for a very very large percentage of their income. If people paying one subscripton a month feel increasingly seperated in resources, it becomes a game play issue. Of course this has always been something that existed, but vast differences were more left to outliers than the incursions theory coupled with steady plex volume realiizng higher isk per $ suggests.
Mission running dosnt come close to the amount of isk incursions pay out.
Roughly..
1 hour mission running in a machariel with a 1-2bil faction fit makes a MAXIMUM of 30 to 35 mil 1 hour incursion in a maelstrom with T2 fit and meta4 guns makes a MINIMUM of 60 to 65 mil
I have a guy in my corp thats 3 months old and is already running incursion. Meaning he will NEVER have to sell plex to buy shinny stuff as he now makes 300 million isk a day.
A large portion of the plex market is new players wanting to get shinny stuff fast without grinding hundreds of lvl4 missions just to get that faction mod or ship. With Incursions added to tthe game there is no longer a reason to buy plex with cash to sell for isk.
What would you rather do? Spend over $10 or just run incursions for ONE day to get that extra 400-500 mil for your new mach/NM/bhaal/vindi
The price will continue to rise as less and less plex are added to the market.
If you can't win fair... Cheat |

Claire Voyant
20
|
Posted - 2011.11.19 02:18:00 -
[102] - Quote
IceFyre S18 wrote:Claire Voyant wrote:Shizuken wrote:If it is speculation though, the market will crash, and fast. When it starts, it will already be too late for most.
The current forecast is for speculator tears beginning by this weekend, building heavily for the next three months. Yarrrrr Here comes the monsoon season, right on schedule. |

Zifrian
Deep Space Innovations
30
|
Posted - 2011.11.23 00:31:00 -
[103] - Quote
Here are some things I thought about on price increase. Trying to figure out what is causing it so I can plan. I play with plex I earn from industry and I could keep up with the increase, I'm just not sure I want to.
I thought about the RL economy, which hasn't really changed for a year+, so not sure if that's a reason. EU economy? Employment/unemployment is flat so not sure if that's a factor. But if not, then the plex bought with RLM would be pretty much constant?
Incursions seem to be more popular but I thought they were pretty popular a few months ago. Any idea on this? I did a bunch back in the day when it came out but haven't since. Are people doing more and more of these now? This patch came out in January and prices began going up in August. I'm not sure it took 8 months to find the new shiny isk maker. However, this is a new way the game injects isk into the game (Mission rewards and rat bounties the others). Maybe this lag had to catch up? If we assume a relatively constant supply of people buying plex with RL money and selling on market, more people with isk buys more plex in game?
What about Incarna and the Nex? I know it's not popular and I'm not personally interested, but are people buying plex to buy items? I do see quite a few monocles in poster avatars. I thought these things were so expensive people wouldn't buy? Assuming a relatively constant supply of people buying plex with RL money and selling on game market, this would cause lack of supply if more are buying for the Nex?
The plex offers CCP has done make a noticable dent in the trend, but it doesn't last long as most of that supply is purchased. I will probably jump on a few plex if they do one soon, but I don't see it affecting the overall price. Any thoughts of when this might plateau?
Finally, the QEN 2010 shows no real change in plex price as the supply of plex enters the market. So does this mean that isk is coming into the game faster now than supply can meet it? Not sure if plex prices came out in the monthly updates now or whatnot. Be interesting to see this data anyway.
Is this just incursions being the new shiny? Combination of that and Nex? Maximze your Industry Potential! - Get EVE Isk per Hour! https://sourceforge.net/projects/eveiph/ |
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