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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 16:38:41 -
[1] - Quote
A common response to Skill Injector price speculation is: The price won't get too high, because people will set up farms of SP producing alts which will stabilize the cost of SP.
This is true, but what is also true is that you cannot farm SP from a character with less than 5.5m skillpoints. So there is only so much 'spare SP' available at any given moment, however demand for such SP is almost without limit. Even if people set up SP farming alts the moment it was confirmed, we're still months away from that source of SP coming online and entering the market.
So, witness the market for injectors today. Lots of people logging in to make a quick profit on unwanted mining SP, etc. Lot's of injectors on the market. A balance between supply and demand.
How long can this last, even in the short term? These market conditions are exceptional and temporary. In the coming weeks and months, before significant additional SP comes through from SP farming alts, we're going to be in a period where demand will almost certainly outstrip supply. What price instant gratification?
I predict that after the first few volatile days of people dumping unwanted SP, we're about to enter an almighty price bubble as supply rapidly contracts while demand remains undiminished.
tl;dr - buy skill injectors today/tomorrow, or wait 3+ months, because we're about to enter a massive price bubble as demand outstrips new supply due to alts requiring 5.5m SP to farm |

Aoi Litvyak
Random inactiva corporation
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 17:18:40 -
[2] - Quote
What are the cost of them in jita now? I saw the injectors go for 625M as the cheapest before prices were pushed up to 700ish. |

Nef Chi
Pator Tech School Minmatar Republic
3
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 17:39:26 -
[3] - Quote
Aoi Litvyak wrote:What are the cost of them in jita now? I saw the injectors go for 625M as the cheapest before prices were pushed up to 700ish.
It has been slowly dropping, 664m currently. |

Droidster
Center for Advanced Studies Gallente Federation
158
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 18:36:57 -
[4] - Quote
The market has priced it in already.
Adam Smith is always one step ahead of you.
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Ria Nieyli
40507
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 19:15:37 -
[5] - Quote
I think you're overestimating how much demand there's going to be past the initial market boom. Should stabilise around 2/3 of PLEX price, then slowly keeps rising as PLEX does. |

Damjan Fox
Fox Industries and Exploration
230
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 19:57:30 -
[6] - Quote
Quote:Even if people set up SP farming alts the moment it was confirmed, we're still months away from that source of SP coming online and entering the market. There are already thousand of Alts over 5.5 mil SP, which can be used for this right now.
Proposal: >>> New Inventory / Item Hangar <<<
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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.09 20:11:29 -
[7] - Quote
Damjan Fox wrote:Quote:Even if people set up SP farming alts the moment it was confirmed, we're still months away from that source of SP coming online and entering the market. There are already thousand of Alts over 5.5 mil SP, which can be used for this right now.
This is my point.
For 10 years, skillpoints have been building up. Today, people can sell them for the first time.
So there is a flood of supply on the market. However, this can only ever happen once. Next week, supply will not be a flood, it will be a trickle. Demand won't go away. Prices will skyrocket. |

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4684
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 00:36:13 -
[8] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:A common response to Skill Injector price speculation is: The price won't get too high, because people will set up farms of SP producing alts which will stabilize the cost of SP.
This is true, but what is also true is that you cannot farm SP from a character with less than 5.5m skillpoints. So there is only so much 'spare SP' available at any given moment, however demand for such SP is almost without limit. Even if people set up SP farming alts the moment it was confirmed, we're still months away from that source of SP coming online and entering the market.
So, witness the market for injectors today. Lots of people logging in to make a quick profit on unwanted mining SP, etc. Lot's of injectors on the market. A balance between supply and demand.
How long can this last, even in the short term? These market conditions are exceptional and temporary. In the coming weeks and months, before significant additional SP comes through from SP farming alts, we're going to be in a period where demand will almost certainly outstrip supply. What price instant gratification?
I predict that after the first few volatile days of people dumping unwanted SP, we're about to enter an almighty price bubble as supply rapidly contracts while demand remains undiminished.
tl;dr - buy skill injectors today/tomorrow, or wait 3+ months, because we're about to enter a massive price bubble as demand outstrips new supply due to alts requiring 5.5m SP to farm
Why is demand without limit?
Is the demand for Ferrari's without limit? How about private jets? What about a house in Pebble Beach? Why is demand not without limit? Oh yeah...prices. Prices influence both demand and supply.
Could there be a price bubble? Maybe, but I'm a bit skeptical, but here is how it would work. If the initial price is too low, then what could happen is people buy them up put the price on an upward trend. People note this trend and jump on the band wagon. Soon you have a self-sustaining trend....until it isn't and the price collapses.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
5674
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Posted - 2016.02.10 01:15:02 -
[9] - Quote
Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com
Sabriz's Rule: "Any time someone argues for a game change claiming it is a quality of life change, the change is actually a game balance change".
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Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
699
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 01:45:55 -
[10] - Quote
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
we didnt get rich throwing money down the toilet for useless SP
@JerryTPepridge
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Vibiana
Frontier Trading Company
41
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Posted - 2016.02.10 04:49:57 -
[11] - Quote
Jerry T Pepridge wrote:Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
we didnt get rich throwing money down the toilet for useless SP
Whould you pledge 20b of yours on that? |

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4684
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 05:20:42 -
[12] - Quote
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
Why?
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4684
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 05:21:36 -
[13] - Quote
Vibiana wrote:Jerry T Pepridge wrote:Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
we didnt get rich throwing money down the toilet for useless SP Whould you pledge 20b of yours on that?
Yeah, because getting a perfect character is going to do....what?
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
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Gilbaron
Free-Space-Ranger Northern Coalition.
1898
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 06:46:39 -
[14] - Quote
i really wonder how the prices would look like right now had ccp not intervened massively in the plex market yesterday.
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Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4686
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 07:37:13 -
[15] - Quote
Gilbaron wrote:i really wonder how the prices would look like right now had ccp not intervened massively in the plex market yesterday.
Based on what?
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 07:49:31 -
[16] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote:
Why is demand without limit?
Is the demand for Ferrari's without limit? How about private jets? What about a house in Pebble Beach? Why is demand not without limit? Oh yeah...prices. Prices influence both demand and supply.
Could there be a price bubble? Maybe, but I'm a bit skeptical, but here is how it would work. If the initial price is too low, then what could happen is people buy them up put the price on an upward trend. People note this trend and jump on the band wagon. Soon you have a self-sustaining trend....until it isn't and the price collapses.
It's a lot easier to make ISK in EVE if you are motivated to do so than in real life, so the ferrari comparison doesn't work. Grinding a wormhole for half a day to earn an extra few billion is well within the capacity of most players.
But I do take your point.
For me, it's like this:
Day 01: Demand Level: 100 // Supply Level: 100
Day 07: Demand Level: 90 // Supply Level: 70
Day 14: Demand Level: 80 // Supply Level: 50
Day 28: Demand Level: 75 // Supply Level: 30
Day 56: Demand Level: 70 // Supply Level: 20
After this period I expect skill farming alts to start extracting in sufficient numbers to meet the demand.
My feeling is that this temporary imbalance between supply and demand has the potential to generate a huge bubble, because no matter how high prices get, you cannot extract SP that isn't there to meet the demand. People become emotionally attached to their characters and won't extract SP they don't want to. This market is not going to be driven by rational market players, but by impatience and emotion. Just like Dutch tulips all that time ago. |

Ria Nieyli
40548
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 08:10:27 -
[17] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:
Why is demand without limit?
Is the demand for Ferrari's without limit? How about private jets? What about a house in Pebble Beach? Why is demand not without limit? Oh yeah...prices. Prices influence both demand and supply.
Could there be a price bubble? Maybe, but I'm a bit skeptical, but here is how it would work. If the initial price is too low, then what could happen is people buy them up put the price on an upward trend. People note this trend and jump on the band wagon. Soon you have a self-sustaining trend....until it isn't and the price collapses.
It's a lot easier to make ISK in EVE if you are motivated to do so than in real life, so the ferrari comparison doesn't work. Grinding a wormhole for half a day to earn an extra few billion is well within the capacity of most players. But I do take your point. For me, it's like this: Day 01: Demand Level: 100 // Supply Level: 100 Day 07: Demand Level: 90 // Supply Level: 70 Day 14: Demand Level: 80 // Supply Level: 50 Day 28: Demand Level: 75 // Supply Level: 30 Day 56: Demand Level: 70 // Supply Level: 20 After this period I expect skill farming alts to start extracting in sufficient numbers to meet the demand. My feeling is that this temporary imbalance between supply and demand has the potential to generate a huge bubble, because no matter how high prices get, you cannot extract SP that isn't there to meet the demand. People become emotionally attached to their characters and won't extract SP they don't want to. This market is not going to be driven by rational market players, but by impatience and emotion. Just like Dutch tulips all that time ago.
Except that demand will be frontloaded. As characters age, there's less pressure to buy skill points. The people that want sp right here and right now are already buying. It will taper off. Meanwhile, entrepreneurs will be gutting cheap characters from the bazaar and flooding the market with cheap injectors stabilising the supply. |

Gilbaron
Free-Space-Ranger Northern Coalition.
1898
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 08:18:21 -
[18] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote:Gilbaron wrote:i really wonder how the prices would look like right now had ccp not intervened massively in the plex market yesterday.
Based on what?
there were 11k plex traded yesterday in late EU. that's 3.5 times the normal amount. there must have been something going on. |

Ria Nieyli
40548
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 08:21:43 -
[19] - Quote
Gilbaron wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Gilbaron wrote:i really wonder how the prices would look like right now had ccp not intervened massively in the plex market yesterday.
Based on what? there were 11k plex traded yesterday in late EU. that's 3.5 times the normal amount. there must have been something going on.
People dumping PLEX on the market to be able to afford injectors. |

Ruvin
Out of Sight.
201
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 10:29:48 -
[20] - Quote
the supply is WAAAAAAY above the demand. i expect month's of underpriced SP, before it runs out and even's out with farms, which people have ready long before this was introduced
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
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Ria Nieyli
40552
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Posted - 2016.02.10 10:55:38 -
[21] - Quote
Ruvin wrote:the supply is WAAAAAAY above the demand. i expect month's of underpriced SP, before it runs out and even's out with farms, which people have ready long before this was introduced
It was officially announced on 15-10-2015, so even the people that started setting up then would be ready by now. |

Ruvin
Out of Sight.
201
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 11:04:58 -
[22] - Quote
but also many have billions of SP, in old alts, old accounts. Characters bought from the bazzaar. The amount of SP at this moment is HUGE. But the demand not so much.
Many wanted those illusive comand ships. Or maybe that long marauder skill. But once you get those sought by skills. It's not convenient diminushing returns are quite bad. So the injectors will be used ocassionaly, by new players, or maybe for alts and so on. And i expect it only will scratch the surface of the pool.
As for farms, many have alts training already with perfect 2700 SP, with perfect 1year plans. But they arent profitable yet, and i think the margin will be very slim on those.
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 11:08:09 -
[23] - Quote
Something that seems to be being missed is that active, logged in players will want skills. Those who don't want them tend to either be market speculators or those who simply don't play.
The demand is driven by active players, not forum warriors, or inactive characters with loads of SP that literally will not even log in because they are unsubbed and lost interest in the game. You're underestimating I believe the demand from those who are impatient. Time will show us who is right on this. |

Ruvin
Out of Sight.
201
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 11:14:30 -
[24] - Quote
All want skills, but its more efficient to train them in time with plex. Injectors due to COST and HUGE diminushing returns, are very bad cost/effect ratio.
It was a great big deal yesterday, it can only settle down. People spent billions and billions yesterday because it was new, it was a great way to get social skills etc. But its not affordable keep the demand high.
How much SP you bought yesterday ? How much today ? How much will you buy in a week ?
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 11:24:02 -
[25] - Quote
Ruvin wrote:All want skills, but its more efficient to train them in time with plex. Injectors due to COST and HUGE diminushing returns, are very bad cost/effect ratio.
That's a rational response but players are impatient, driven by emotion and not rational. This is what drives all price bubbles in history - they are not rational and cannot be argued against rationally. |

Ria Nieyli
40555
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 11:29:32 -
[26] - Quote
Ruvin wrote:but also many have billions of SP, in old alts, old accounts. Characters bought from the bazzaar. The amount of SP at this moment is HUGE. But the demand not so much.
Many wanted those illusive comand ships. Or maybe that long marauder skill. But once you get those sought by skills. It's not convenient diminushing returns are quite bad. So the injectors will be used ocassionaly, by new players, or maybe for alts and so on. And i expect it only will scratch the surface of the pool.
As for farms, many have alts training already with perfect 2700 SP, with perfect 1year plans. But they arent profitable yet, and i think the margin will be very slim on those.
Well, it depends on what you deem profitable. Five percent per month? Ten?
But yeah, I can see the margins being razor thin now that I thought about it.
Dr Mibbles wrote:Something that seems to be being missed is that active, logged in players will want skills. Those who don't want them tend to either be market speculators or those who simply don't play.
The demand is driven by active players, not forum warriors, or inactive characters with loads of SP that literally will not even log in because they are unsubbed and lost interest in the game. You're underestimating I believe the demand from those who are impatient. Time will show us who is right on this.
And most of the people that wanted those new skills already got them. There was a huge consumer rush at the introduction of it, but most people are satisfied now and further purchases would be sporadic. The thing is that as a character ages, it naturally accumulates skill points, and coupled with diminishing returns, at some point people don't really feel like buying any more. |

Funky Koval
Bad Artists
16
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 13:22:20 -
[27] - Quote
My thoughts. Not an experienced trader nor economist of any sort, so feel free tear me a new one if I missed sth obvious :D, but I have to side with Dr Mibbles on this.
I also think a lot of you forget that many of you don't represent a typical "average" EVE player or the way they approach the game. And those players are the ones driving the economy in the long term.
On the supply side:
Character farms. Well, at a first glance - how do you even make those profitable, when you cannot extract below 5mil points and you have to plex these accounts (2 months of which are pretty much wasted, it's gonna be hard to sell a 5 mill sp char proftably).
I realize it depends on the price of injectors and I am myself arguing that these are going to be high, but it's a catch-22 of sorts, and a long-term gamble. So I believe that despite all the talk, very small percentage of people will do it, although a few may try to make this a big scale operation. They may make a profit, but In the end though, I don't see this as a huge source of supply.
So while there's a lot of spare SPs at the moment, I agree with OP - that supply will quickly diminish.
And the injector mechanics wastes a hefty percentage of SPs anyway, so regular players will be really careful about what they extract. The majority of SP extraction has probably already occurred (or may happen withing a week or so).
On the demand side:
The 'boom' based on the wish to respec older characters is temporary, that's clear.
But people will always be making alts and trying new things - and now it's become a lot easier to do so.
Obviously, all the new players who stick with the game will be looking at making an alt or two at some point.
But not just that, making that PvP/FW alt, or POS gunner alt, or whatever it is you always wanted to try - has now been moved form the realm of long-term planning to being able to so it immediately. At a cost of a few billion isk, yes, but that is not prohibitively expensive for a reasonably efficient PvE player - which EvE has tons of (it seems to be by far the most prevalent character 'archetype' in EVE, afaik).
FWIW, I have an 11 year old character, and I just made a new alt.. .
So here goes.
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Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4689
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 15:51:21 -
[28] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:A common response to Skill Injector price speculation is: The price won't get too high, because people will set up farms of SP producing alts which will stabilize the cost of SP.
This is true, but what is also true is that you cannot farm SP from a character with less than 5.5m skillpoints. So there is only so much 'spare SP' available at any given moment, however demand for such SP is almost without limit. Even if people set up SP farming alts the moment it was confirmed, we're still months away from that source of SP coming online and entering the market.
So, witness the market for injectors today. Lots of people logging in to make a quick profit on unwanted mining SP, etc. Lot's of injectors on the market. A balance between supply and demand.
How long can this last, even in the short term? These market conditions are exceptional and temporary. In the coming weeks and months, before significant additional SP comes through from SP farming alts, we're going to be in a period where demand will almost certainly outstrip supply. What price instant gratification?
I predict that after the first few volatile days of people dumping unwanted SP, we're about to enter an almighty price bubble as supply rapidly contracts while demand remains undiminished.
tl;dr - buy skill injectors today/tomorrow, or wait 3+ months, because we're about to enter a massive price bubble as demand outstrips new supply due to alts requiring 5.5m SP to farm
The market right now is new and will likely have a fair amount of volatility what you are talking about, IMO, is the long run vs. short run to a large degree.
Long run we might see SP farms and I would imagine, given the link between SP, AURUM and PLEX for the price of SP injectors to track PLEX prices. I doubt an SP farming account will make much ISK above the cost of a PLEX, but you can cover the sub and still use that account, given it has other skills for making ISK (PI, invention, trading, etc.) to make additional ISK.
As for a balance between supply and demand...well the short answer is it will always be balanced to a large extent via the price. Right now if lots of people are sucking out what they perceive as useless SP and dumping it on the market there is plenty of supply, so prices are low. When that initial "gold rush" is over the price may very well go up....but again it will likely move to a new equilibrium.
Supply contracting is NOT a price bubble. A price bubble is when the price of an asset becomes "unhinged" or "disconnected" from its "intrinsic" price. You yourself did some decent work on the "intrinsic" price as well in another thread. I believer your final estimate is that the price would be around 750 million ISK for an injector.
Further, if the price spikes due to a drop off in supply and we are still waiting for SP farms to start supplying the market that high price is an information signal. In fact, all prices are sources of information. A high price is sending the signal that the market supply is low and for people to "make" more of it. An extreme example that we often hear about is water after a catastrophe such as a hurricane or the like where water is like $5 for a small 12 oz bottle. What that price is saying (screaming really) is "Hi, more water here please...NOW!!!" Another example is in California which has a unique gasoline blend and a gas refinery goes offline. Because supply has had a sudden and unexpected negative shock the gasoline already in the tanks in the ground at gas stations is more valuable immediately. So the price goes up...which is sending a signal to consumers to conserve as there is not as much as was previously thought. The market working as intended.
Now, we could see a bubble due to a price increase. There has been some interesting work in mathematical models of speculative bubbles and they way they work is that there is an asset that is put on the market well below it's intrinsic value. People see this low price and buy it sending the price higher. The upward price movement induces more people to buy the asset as they see the upward price movement as a signal that the price will keep going up. So there is an almost self sustainintg upward trend in the price of the asset well beyond its intrinsic value and then...it all stops (usually because the asset has a limited life span) and the price crashes. However, the current prices while a bit low are not that low. Also note, in these examples (these are both mathematical models and experimental models) it would be hard to "spot" the bubble until after that fact or until you well into the bubble. The assets in question have a pre-defined value in the experiments. Then for some reason a player will put an asset up for sale at a price below the pre-defined value. So the initial price increases look sensible as the price moves back to the pre-defined value. The problem arises when the price goes past that predefined value. And in real life there is no pre-defined value...so bubbles are very hard to spot ahead of time, but very easy to spot after the fact and interestingly lots of people claim to have known it all along. 
As for skill extractors they have already seemed to have settled near the price you estimated in that other thread I noted. I don't think we'll see much action there. We might see some in the injector market though.
Sorry for the long rambling post.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4689
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 15:58:02 -
[29] - Quote
Funky Koval wrote:
Character farms. Well, at a first glance - how do you even make those profitable, when you cannot extract below 5mil points and you have to plex these accounts (2 months of which are pretty much wasted, it's gonna be hard to sell a 5 mill sp char proftably).
Well it depends. Alot of players who are older and have alts that are trained up because we have multiple accounts and we have been training these alts becasue...well we want the account active can set up farms on alts that are good at also doing things in game.
For example, an alt might be good at invention. So you set him up training a long skill, one with a high rank. In a month you start harvesting, and also doing invention. So you sell the SP which by most accounts should come close to covering the cost of PLEX. You can also do invention on the same character and make additional ISK.
Is this profitable?
Well I can stop paying CCP cash out of my pocket...which means I can spend it on something else in RL: a win.
I get to keep the account active (cyno alts, ratting, invention, etc.) so I can make additional ISK: a win.
So it looks good to me. Yes, I have a number of alts where I could do this, and I'll look into it once the market settles down a bit. Given the link between PLEX, AURUM and SP now...the cost of SP injectors, in the long run, will likely move with PLEX prices.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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Aptenodytes
Reckless Abandon
196
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 16:09:52 -
[30] - Quote
Funky Koval wrote:So I believe that despite all the talk, very small percentage of people will do it, although a few may try to make this a big scale operation. Agreed, it's the same for character farming. It always was profitable if you know what you're doing, and will remain so after this change, yet very few people actually do it. Those that do, do it on multiple accounts because if it's profitable on one account, it's 10 times as profitable on 10 accounts (as long as you don't saturate the market).
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Ria Nieyli
40561
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Posted - 2016.02.10 16:20:42 -
[31] - Quote
Well, farming injectors with the plex/injector prices right now is about a 7.8% profit per character per month. If you're using a character that you already stripped on patch day, you've effectively recouped your overhead cost on it, so it's smooth sailing from thereon out. |

Captain IQ
Innocent Traders Ltd
78
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 16:39:47 -
[32] - Quote
I'd also not forget to factor in the long term health of the game and also the ppl who may have unsubbed or are planning to as a result, the latter might not be no biggie but the former, well... |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
4
|
Posted - 2016.02.10 16:52:29 -
[33] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote: As for skill extractors they have already seemed to have settled near the price you estimated in that other thread I noted. I don't think we'll see much action there. We might see some in the injector market though.
Sorry for the long rambling post.
Not at all, was a great read, many thanks!
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Ruvin
Out of Sight.
201
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Posted - 2016.02.10 18:45:37 -
[34] - Quote
Those farms dont need to be made, they exist already. For example two of my alts are perfect trader another is a perfect tengu pilot . They both had plans for a year and best implants for focused training. They reached their target, i probably should stop paying but i feel its wasted time not training so they train even now (useless stuff for me atm) both of them can be used for skill extraction.
Many have 7-10 such accounts that train just in case.
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
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Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
5
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Posted - 2016.02.11 12:44:49 -
[35] - Quote
Speaking of this market being driven by irrational behaviour.
This character has increased his SP by 100m over the last few days: http://eveboard.com/pilot/Stromgren
That's 433bn ISK.
Incredible.
And there's going to be many more where he came from. |

Sequester Risalo
Semiki Minerals and Missiles Company Ltd.
182
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 13:08:47 -
[36] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Something that seems to be being missed is that active, logged in players will want skills. Those who don't want them tend to either be market speculators or those who simply don't play.
The demand is driven by active players, not forum warriors, or inactive characters with loads of SP that literally will not even log in because they are unsubbed and lost interest in the game. You're underestimating I believe the demand from those who are impatient. Time will show us who is right on this.
I would also presume that there is only one initial spike and then an ongoing low demand. Whoever wishes to pay to win will do so in the first few days. The great majority who did not bother to buy SP yesterday will most likely not bother to buy tomorrow. So this leaves new players wishing to "gain" on established characters and veterans wishing to train a alt quickly on the demand side.
As you said. Time will tell. |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
5
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 13:50:46 -
[37] - Quote
(cross post from another thread)
some interesting market developments on skill injectors and extractors
There is now a huge and growing supply of extractors on the market.
In Jita, there are 1,300 Skill Injectors on the market
Whereas there are now 5,400 Skill Extractors
This is a huge change from the first few days where numbers were more-or-less even.
It currently profitable to buy plex in batches of 16, convert to AUR, get 70 extractors, then sell these on the market.
16 plex = 20bn
Convert to AUR, get 70 extractors
70 extractors = 21bn
A quick, easy, 1bn profit. As more people do this, it appears to be creating an over-supply of extractors as well as sustained high plex prices. This over-supply of extractors could lead to a situation where there is a mis-match between the available SP to be extracted and extractors themselves.
The result? Could be an imminent price crash for extractors. |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
10
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 22:34:14 -
[38] - Quote
Further interesting market developments.
Looking at the number of buy/sell orders, and price trends, there appears to be an over-supply of skill extractors while demand for injectors remains balanced.
Skill Extractors Units for Sale: 6,093 Units on Buy Orders: 1,804
Skill Injectors Units for Sale: 2,304 Units on Buy Orders: 2,353
The price of the Extractors is also on a significant downward curve, while prices for Injectors are steady. This may be due to the market being flooded with extractors but the amount of spare/unwanted SP available for extraction is, of course, declining as it is extracted in bulk.
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:40:57 -
[39] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Further interesting market developments.Looking at the number of buy/sell orders, and price trends, there appears to be an over-supply of skill extractors while demand for injectors remains balanced. Skill ExtractorsUnits for Sale: 6,093 Units on Buy Orders: 1,804 Skill InjectorsUnits for Sale: 2,304 Units on Buy Orders: 2,353 The price of the Extractors is also on a significant downward curve, while prices for Injectors are steady. This may be due to the market being flooded with extractors but the amount of spare/unwanted SP available for extraction is, of course, declining as it is extracted in bulk.
I hate such morons like you, who is putting his nose in all char auctions and spoiling the whole trade. Get the **** out useless idiot ! No one asked your opinion ! |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
10
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:43:07 -
[40] - Quote
Cruciflex wrote:
I hate such morons like you, who is putting his nose in all char auctions and spoiling the whole trade. Get the **** out useless idiot ! No one asked your opinion !
Greetings, many of the sellers have been in touch thanking me for bringing the true value of their characters to their attention. I shall continue doing so.
All the best x
|
|

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4692
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:47:52 -
[41] - Quote
Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning. 
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:49:37 -
[42] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Cruciflex wrote:
I hate such morons like you, who is putting his nose in all char auctions and spoiling the whole trade. Get the **** out useless idiot ! No one asked your opinion !
Greetings, many of the sellers have been in touch thanking me for bringing the true value of their characters to their attention. I shall continue doing so. All the best x
You are just another wanker who has nothing to do with his life except just wasting it in game 24/7 and spoiling CCP to have new players. Because of such shitlords like you normal people can't buy a toon by a normal price for playing! Not for SP trading!
Burn in hell idiot.
|

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
11
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:53:07 -
[43] - Quote
Dear Mr Cruciflex, I fear you are blaming the wrong person.
I am not an re-seller.
Please blame CCP because it is their introduction of Skill Injectors which has led to this price increase. It's nothing to do with me, however I see nothing wrong with helping players fairly value their characters in light of this new mechanic.
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:53:52 -
[44] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote:Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning. 
Yeah, I repeat. because of such morons like Dr Mibbles, normal players who wants to buy a toon for playing and not for SP trading now have to overpay the cost of such toon just because this shitlord posted a stupid message in each auction that the toon worth much more.... doh. |

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:56:30 -
[45] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Dear Mr Cruciflex, I fear you are blaming the wrong person.
I am not an re-seller.
Please blame CCP because it is their introduction of Skill Injectors which has led to this price increase. It's nothing to do with me, however I see nothing wrong with helping players fairly value their characters in light of this new mechanic.
If you are not a re-seller who the **** asked you to post in each auction ?????!!!!!!!! How dare you put your dirty nose not in your business. Are you a buyer? No! Are you a seller ? No! So what the ******* hell you are doing there? One answer, you are a f***g trololo shitlord. The END.
Burn in hell. |

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4692
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:56:37 -
[46] - Quote
Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning.  Yeah, I repeat. because of such morons like Dr Mibbles, normal players who wants to buy a toon for playing and not for SP trading now have to overpay the cost of such toon just because this shitlord posted a stupid message in each auction that the toon worth much more.... doh.
Why is it his fault?
Are you routinely in the habit of killing the messengers? If so, I hope I'll never be taking you any messages. 
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
11
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:58:19 -
[47] - Quote
Cruciflex wrote:
If you are not a re-seller who the **** asked you to post in each auction ?????!!!!!!!! How dare you put your dirty nose not in your business. Are you a buyer? No! Are you a seller ? No! So what the ******* hell you are doing there? One answer, you are a f***g trololo shitlord. The END.
Burn in hell.

The re-sellers bump up the price, not me. Have you considered using skill injectors instead of buying whole new characters?
The new prices are here to stay, I'm afraid. Best to work with it rather than rage against it. |

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.11 23:59:04 -
[48] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote:Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning.  Yeah, I repeat. because of such morons like Dr Mibbles, normal players who wants to buy a toon for playing and not for SP trading now have to overpay the cost of such toon just because this shitlord posted a stupid message in each auction that the toon worth much more.... doh. Why is it his fault? Are you routinely in the habit of killing the messengers? If so, I hope I'll never be taking you any messages. 
Are you really that stupid that you don't understand? No comments anymore... |

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4692
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:01:57 -
[49] - Quote
Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning.  Yeah, I repeat. because of such morons like Dr Mibbles, normal players who wants to buy a toon for playing and not for SP trading now have to overpay the cost of such toon just because this shitlord posted a stupid message in each auction that the toon worth much more.... doh. Why is it his fault? Are you routinely in the habit of killing the messengers? If so, I hope I'll never be taking you any messages.  Are you really that stupid that you don't understand? No comments anymore...
Oh I see, he went into and auction you were bidding in and pointed out that the extractable SP is worth more than your bid. That is what has you so butthurt...he is sharing information.
Well more information usually makes for a better functioning market.... 
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:01:58 -
[50] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Cruciflex wrote:
If you are not a re-seller who the **** asked you to post in each auction ?????!!!!!!!! How dare you put your dirty nose not in your business. Are you a buyer? No! Are you a seller ? No! So what the ******* hell you are doing there? One answer, you are a f***g trololo shitlord. The END.
Burn in hell.
 The re-sellers bump up the price, not me. Have you considered using skill injectors instead of buying whole new characters? The new prices are here to stay, I'm afraid. Best to work with it rather than rage against it.
I see that you are bad not only in mathematics, in logic as well. Poor boy. |
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:06:58 -
[51] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote:Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Cruciflex wrote:Teckos Pech wrote:Damn Cruciflex did somebody come buy and urinate in your cheerios this morning.  Yeah, I repeat. because of such morons like Dr Mibbles, normal players who wants to buy a toon for playing and not for SP trading now have to overpay the cost of such toon just because this shitlord posted a stupid message in each auction that the toon worth much more.... doh. Why is it his fault? Are you routinely in the habit of killing the messengers? If so, I hope I'll never be taking you any messages.  Are you really that stupid that you don't understand? No comments anymore... Oh I see, he went into and auction you were bidding in and pointed out that the extractable SP is worth more than your bid. That is what has you so butthurt...he is sharing information. Well more information usually makes for a better functioning market.... 
Idiot. Switch ON you brain!!! Your information is making people rise up the price till it becomes too high for buying a toon for playing !!!! No one who wants to play in EVE at first time will buy the toons at this prices. The old players who didn't get the idea of skill trading were selling them at normal price till such f***g "informants" like you came and shitposted all the auctions. |

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:11:01 -
[52] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Cruciflex wrote:
If you are not a re-seller who the **** asked you to post in each auction ?????!!!!!!!! How dare you put your dirty nose not in your business. Are you a buyer? No! Are you a seller ? No! So what the ******* hell you are doing there? One answer, you are a f***g trololo shitlord. The END.
Burn in hell.
 The re-sellers bump up the price, not me. Have you considered using skill injectors instead of buying whole new characters? The new prices are here to stay, I'm afraid. Best to work with it rather than rage against it.
IMPOTENT ! YOU ARE A COMPLETE IMPOTENT. FIND YOURSELF A GIRL AND LEAVE THIS FORUM. IDIOT !!!! |

Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
712
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:13:50 -
[53] - Quote
have a rant about it crucifail lmfao.
please continue posting butthurt comments here
CCP will bring back tear extractors - 8k aurum each, this will raise the price of tears to 2 bowls of rice & a kick in the ass.
so stop crying fgt - im losing isk
@JerryTPepridge
|

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4695
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:14:03 -
[54] - Quote
Cruciflex
Look, this would happen anyways. Market arbitrage opportunities like this do not last long. Especially when there are potential returns of 20% or more. Competition will drive those profits down to the point where people can't be bothered to buy a character and then bleed him dry and sell the resulting injectors.
You are blasting away at the messenger...okay maybe a somewhat annoying one who is popping up in the various character auction threads, but the effect you are upset about is going to be inevitable.
Maybe instead of calling everyone around you an idiot...maybe you should look to your own beliefs and views first and see if you aren't the one who is being a bit...well...unreasonable, yeah that's a good euphemism.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

Cruciflex
Viziam Amarr Empire
2
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:20:58 -
[55] - Quote
Jerry T Pepridge wrote:have a rant about it crucifail lmfao.
please continue posting butthurt comments here
CCP will bring back tear extractors - 8k aurum each, this will raise the price of tears to 2 bowls of rice & a kick in the ass.
so stop crying fgt - im losing isk
Another NPC wanker, wasting his life 24/7 in a game. |

Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
713
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:22:34 -
[56] - Quote
Cruciflex wrote:Jerry T Pepridge wrote:have a rant about it crucifail lmfao.
please continue posting butthurt comments here
CCP will bring back tear extractors - 8k aurum each, this will raise the price of tears to 2 bowls of rice & a kick in the ass.
so stop crying fgt - im losing isk
Another NPC wanker, wasting his life 24/7 in a game.
nice corp fgt
you own viziam?
shave your neckbeard you simple minded little fanboi
@JerryTPepridge
|

Sala Kyss
The Angel Cartel
120
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:29:05 -
[57] - Quote
He's obviously trying to cash in on underpriced characters. The one's he is bidding on are so diverse that they make no sense in a portfolio.
Kind of sad to see so many vintage characters being completely gutted like this, thankfully Sala is spared the evils of this brain-drain trade because I'd sooner biomass her than let these jackals shred a decade old toon to make a few billion.
|

Alexi Stokov
State War Academy Caldari State
101
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 00:54:43 -
[58] - Quote
Sala Kyss wrote:He's obviously trying to cash in on underpriced characters. The one's he is bidding on are so diverse that they make no sense in a portfolio.
Kind of sad to see so many vintage characters being completely gutted like this, thankfully Sala is spared the evils of this brain-drain trade because I'd sooner biomass her than let these jackals shred a decade old toon to make a few billion.
If they are going to make a few billion wouldn't that mean you did too? If you biomassed the toon, isn't that what they are doing plus the 5.5 million SP that can't be stripped? You're just wasting as you'd be throwing away all those tasty SPs! |

Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
5674
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 01:01:29 -
[59] - Quote
Oh god this thread is hilarious now.
Cruciflex - if it wasn't your friend buying and stripping these characters it would be someone else.
I do think there is overproduction of skill injectors at the moment and they will fall hard in price - well below the prices the fundamentals indicate would be a stable long-term price.
I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com
Sabriz's Rule: "Any time someone argues for a game change claiming it is a quality of life change, the change is actually a game balance change".
|

Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
713
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 01:31:44 -
[60] - Quote
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Oh god this thread is hilarious now.
Cruciflex - if it wasn't your friend buying and stripping these characters it would be someone else.
I do think there is overproduction of skill injectors at the moment and they will fall hard in price - well below the prices the fundamentals indicate would be a stable long-term price.
havent logged in for a few weeks, mind telling the total volume / daily volume per day figures?
@JerryTPepridge
|
|

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4696
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 02:57:20 -
[61] - Quote
Jerry T Pepridge wrote:Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Oh god this thread is hilarious now.
Cruciflex - if it wasn't your friend buying and stripping these characters it would be someone else.
I do think there is overproduction of skill injectors at the moment and they will fall hard in price - well below the prices the fundamentals indicate would be a stable long-term price. havent logged in for a few weeks, mind telling the total volume / daily volume per day figures?
I think Dr. Mibbles posted something back up stream....
And yes, this thread just turned hilarious, and look who stopped posting once he was outed. What a complete tool.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

ISD Dorrim Barstorlode
ISD Community Communications Liaisons
6921
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 03:07:34 -
[62] - Quote
Removed some off topic posts. Keep it civil, thanks.
ISD Dorrim Barstorlode
Vice Admiral
Community Communication Liaisons (CCLs)
Interstellar Services Department
|

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4696
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 04:35:50 -
[63] - Quote
Well Mr. Cruciflex sure did make a mess of things...which is too bad as I a couple of my deleted posts had some good points and I purposefully avoided quoting the ****** for precisely that reason...
The point is that the character bazaar and the SP market will have positive feedbacks. The price of characters will likely rise due to the SP market. Some people were hoping to cash in on that, and IMO Cruciflex was one of them and he was pissed Dr. Mibbles was "ruining" his profits.
So selling a character with over 5 million SP and definitely over 50 million will see an increase in the price of such characters. Some players--e.g. Cruciflex--were hoping to cash in on this. But such a market is short lived as competition and arbitrage drive such profits towards zero.
Basically, the market was working as intended and some player were butthurt that other players were posting and trying to accelrate such a process.
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
|

Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
716
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 05:08:12 -
[64] - Quote
my posts were out of line, thanks for deleting mods, that guy really got my goat.
on topic, ill try and log in & analyse the market aver the weekend. from what im reading, ill likely hold onto my AURUM.
@JerryTPepridge
|

Mazare Mircea
Firefly Inc.
1
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 07:46:53 -
[65] - Quote
The price of the injector i think long term will settle for slightly over 700m, and will make it's way to 800m.
Atm it is kept low artificially. |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
14
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 09:34:34 -
[66] - Quote
Teckos Pech wrote: Basically, the market was working as intended and some player were butthurt that other players were posting and trying to accelrate such a process.
I can understand his frustration, however we all have our positions on the market and we're all inclined to do what is required to help our positions attain a healthy return.
For many of us, 'playing the market' isn't just about buying and selling, but also about information and informing, influencing feelings and opinions. A side benefit is that many of the sellers are grateful for being informed of the market value of their character, so warm feelings all round (SP re-sellers aside).
Market Update:
The over-supply of extractors continues. Demand for injectors remains balanced and appears to be increasing, buy orders and average prices have increased over the last 12 hours.
Skill Extractors Units for Sale: 6,257 (+4%) Units on Buy Orders: 1,557 (-20%) Sell price: 293m (-4%)
Skill Injectors Units for Sale: 2,648 (+2%) Units on Buy Orders: 4,139 (+89%) Sell price: 641m (+2%) |

Ruvin
Out of Sight.
202
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 10:11:12 -
[67] - Quote
i missed all the drama :(
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
|

Mazare Mircea
Firefly Inc.
1
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 12:22:48 -
[68] - Quote
2 weeks time, the Injector will definitely gain 10-12% over now.
Despite there being an overabundance in extractors the price drops but not fast, very slowl; the source of some of these extractors will just get more expensive after the 16th. It will take time to adjust, but it will go up.
As for the SP price, ppl seem to accept the 340m / 500k sp area.
|

Bumblefck
Kerensky Initiatives
10750
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 13:29:09 -
[69] - Quote
Ruvin wrote:i missed all the drama :(
EVE Search to the rescue!
Donations are welcome :)
Got a HoleySheet1 corpse? I'll buy it for 200m!
Bumble's Space Log
|

KUMAR OK
Perkone Caldari State
3
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 14:22:06 -
[70] - Quote
I thought this forum was for discussing the market? |
|

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
15
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 15:57:59 -
[71] - Quote
KUMAR OK wrote:I thought this forum was for discussing the market?
Yes! Let us return to normality.
Skill Extractor prices have hit a new, record low in Jita as supply continues to outstrip demand
Currently they have dipped to 289m per extractor
This is however matched by a decline in PLEX values, from 1.280bn yesterday to 1.238bn today
Skill Injector prices continue to hold, climbing slightly as supply and demand remain approximately in balance.
|

Ruvin
Out of Sight.
202
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 16:23:20 -
[72] - Quote
if the profit gets above 10 20% i will convert all my alts in farms. Atm they train "probably usefull stuff in distant future" but for some profit i can put everything on hold.
Opportunities multiply as they are seized.
|

Jerry T Pepridge
Meta Game Analysis and Investment INC.
723
|
Posted - 2016.02.12 22:59:08 -
[73] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Teckos Pech wrote: Basically, the market was working as intended and some player were butthurt that other players were posting and trying to accelrate such a process.
I can understand his frustration, however we all have our positions on the market and we're all inclined to do what is required to help our positions attain a healthy return. For many of us, 'playing the market' isn't just about buying and selling, but also about information and informing, influencing feelings and opinions. A side benefit is that many of the sellers are grateful for being informed of the market value of their character, so warm feelings all round (SP re-sellers aside). Market Update:The over-supply of extractors continues. Demand for injectors remains balanced and appears to be increasing, buy orders and average prices have increased over the last 12 hours. Skill ExtractorsUnits for Sale: 6,257 (+4%) Units on Buy Orders: 1,557 (-20%) Sell price: 293m (-4%) Skill InjectorsUnits for Sale: 2,648 (+2%) Units on Buy Orders: 4,139 (+89%) Sell price: 641m (+2%)
as expected, waaaaaay too much volume
thanks for the update
@JerryTPepridge
|

rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
0
|
Posted - 2016.02.13 20:08:16 -
[74] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:KUMAR OK wrote:I thought this forum was for discussing the market? Yes! Let us return to normality.  Skill Extractor prices have hit a new, record low in Jita as supply continues to outstrip demand  Currently they have dipped to 289m per extractor This is however matched by a decline in PLEX values, from 1.280bn yesterday to 1.238bn today Skill Injector prices continue to hold, climbing slightly as supply and demand remain approximately in balance.
skill injector
jita
2016.02.09 00.00.00
quantity - 36344 avg - 657m
2016.02.10 00.00.00
quantity - 33282 avg - 645m
2016.02.11 00.00.00
quantity - 23189 avg - 640m
2016.02.12 00.00.00
quantity - 21297 avg - 632m
|

rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
0
|
Posted - 2016.02.14 09:41:50 -
[75] - Quote
jita
skill injector
2016.02.13 00:00:00
quantity - 22002 avg - 619m
skill extractor
2016.02.13 00:00:00
quantity - 20848 avg - 286m
plex
2016.02.13 00:00:00
quantity - 8249 avg - 1199m
skill injector - skill extractor = 333m |

Dr Mibbles
State War Academy Caldari State
17
|
Posted - 2016.02.18 10:38:45 -
[76] - Quote
Calling the turn in the market today. Buy orders of Skill Injectors (5,700) now hugely outweighing sell orders (1,300).
Sharp contraction in Skill Injector supply and rapidly rising prices - up to 670m in Amarr and 650m in Jita, with little new stock coming on the market to settle prices back down. People are playing the 0.01isk game, but there are no substantial supply buffers to prevent prices escalating quickly.
It will only take a few more days of this for prices to escalate beyond people's expectations.
Of course there could be a new supply shock if people have been hoarding waiting for certain 'sell points' (700m, 750m, etc). Let's see what happens. The fun starts here. |

Teckos Pech
The Executives Executive Outcomes
4726
|
Posted - 2016.02.18 16:33:48 -
[77] - Quote
Dr Mibbles wrote:Calling the turn in the market today. Buy orders of Skill Injectors (5,700) now hugely outweighing sell orders (1,300).
Sharp contraction in Skill Injector supply and rapidly rising prices - up to 670m in Amarr and 650m in Jita, with little new stock coming on the market to settle prices back down. People are playing the 0.01isk game, but there are no substantial supply buffers to prevent prices escalating quickly.
It will only take a few more days of this for prices to escalate beyond people's expectations.
Of course there could be a new supply shock if people have been hoarding waiting for certain 'sell points' (700m, 750m, etc). Let's see what happens. The fun starts here. I wouldn't be surprised if injectors were over 800m by the end of the week.
This will be an interesting thing to watch. Rising prices can cause people to buy on the expectation of future price increases which lead to further price increase....but at a certain point the selling starts and the bubble bursts....
Of course, given the connection of PLEX to AUR and ISK we have a way of determining the intrinsic value of SP injectors, IMO. I see a final/long run price of about 800 million with the price tracking that of PLEX as well as being the current "intrinsic value" price.
Some suggested readings:
Smith, Vernon L.; Suchanek, Gerry L.; Williams, Arlington W. (1988). "Bubbles, Crashes, and Endogenous Expectations in Experimental Spot Asset Markets". Econometrica 56 (5): 1119GÇô1151
Caginalp, G.; Balenovich, D. (1999). "Asset flow and momentum: deterministic and stochastic equations". Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 357 (1758): 2119GÇô2133
Caginalp, G.; Porter, D.; Smith, V.L. (1998). "Initial cash/asset ratio and asset prices: an experimental study". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 95 (2): 756GÇô761
Upgrading Local to Eliminate All AFK Influence
So Local Chat vanished, now what?
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rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
2
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Posted - 2016.02.21 10:10:08 -
[78] - Quote
If you are a >80m skillpoint character , which dont need any additional skillpoints, did the skllpoint trading change made this a freetoplay game for them ? (farming skillpoints then selling this skillpoints to buy plex to buy gametime) And if so, how much would this cost ccp in subscription fees ? And how long before ccp intervenes to remove this situation ? |

Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
5696
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Posted - 2016.02.21 11:48:03 -
[79] - Quote
rtodeto wrote:If you are a >80m skillpoint character , which dont need any additional skillpoints, did the skllpoint trading change made this a freetoplay game for them ? (farming skillpoints then selling this skillpoints to buy plex to buy gametime) And if so, how much would this cost ccp in subscription fees ? And how long before ccp intervenes to remove this situation ?
Uh - that's not costing CCP a cent.
It means that instead of CCP getting money via a subscription from the 80m SP character, they are getting money from the person that bought the PLEX the 80m SP character consumed, PLUS the Aurum consumed to create the SP extractors.
I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com
Sabriz's Rule: "Any time someone argues for a game change claiming it is a quality of life change, the change is actually a game balance change".
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rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
2
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Posted - 2016.02.21 12:54:39 -
[80] - Quote
I disagree. The subscription model has substiantial benifits For a Company over one time purchases, like plex or aurum. subscription through there predictability , generaties longterm , steady revenues. A plexed , aurum,player could buy For a thousand dollar on plex and aurum , spend It, Play one month , decides its nothing For him and leave the game again. As a Company you cent base budgets For the next year on such erratic/variable revenue. One year such erratic revenue Will Be through the roof, the next year It might be in the dumpster , while the salaries are fixed costs.
But I suppose your answer implies that indeed the 80million+ players have goten themselves a freetoplay game through the skilltrading mechanism. |
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Ria Nieyli
41074
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Posted - 2016.02.21 15:17:10 -
[81] - Quote
Told you. |

Janna Shihari
School of Applied Knowledge Caldari State
0
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Posted - 2016.02.22 00:04:55 -
[82] - Quote
People using the word "rational" to define conformity to their thinking are simply arrogant.
"Rational" is a characteristic of humans that cannot be defined in a normative way, but only in a descriptive way. |

Praal
Bearded BattleBears I N F A M O U S
21
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Posted - 2016.02.22 10:28:42 -
[83] - Quote
The price of injectors is limited in relation to the price of PLEX and extractors. If the profit from SP of a month of training surpasses a PLEX, a huge number of 5.5+M SP characters will instantly be turned into SP farms. At that point any/all inactive accounts (with 5.5+M SP) are worth activating, and any/all (with 5.5+M SP) character slots are worth dual-training.
For example, I currently produce 1 character's worth of SP because I have one account that has 3 specialized, maxed-for-their-purpose chars. One of them now also serves as an SP producer just to offset some of the account cost. However, if injector profits surpassed PLEX. I would instantly dual-train 11 other characters as SP farm. This is the case for many people who have specialized characters who aren't training now, but are already over 5.5M, or characters on inactive accounts (how many inactive accounts for miners/bombers are floating around from the time before the broadcasting ban?). |

Big Lynx
5060
|
Posted - 2016.02.27 15:37:50 -
[84] - Quote
Any ideas on injectors price forecast? Have some hundreds rotting in my hangar. Selling? Keeping? |

Adunh Slavy
1639
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Posted - 2016.03.03 01:48:55 -
[85] - Quote
The supply will never be higher than it is now.
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.-á-á- William Pitt
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rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
2
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Posted - 2016.03.03 16:05:03 -
[86] - Quote
Big Lynx wrote:Any ideas on injectors price forecast? Have some hundreds rotting in my hangar. Selling? Keeping?
I would wait until after 6th march. I think there was a dev blog that said that aurum would become more expensive, from this date, this will probably have a impact on the price of skill extractors, probably they will rise, which probably will also cause the price of skill injectors to rise accordingly. When the skill injectors price has stabilized, I would sell.
Eve-central show that the tables for skill injectors have turned, with respect to the amount of buy orders vs sell orders.
https://eve-central.com/home/quicklook.html?typeid=40520
Before last week or so, there were more buy orders then sell orders, which meant that the price of skill injectors could rise. Since last week there are more sell orders then buy orders, currently 5173 units in sell orders, vs 4667 in buy orders, which means the price will decline.
I suppose the sp farmers have caught up with the amount of skill injectors buyers..
This is the only item, on market, were its interesting to sell at a loss, as its offsets subscription costs..
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Elizabeth Norn
Nornir Research
831
|
Posted - 2016.03.03 17:07:38 -
[87] - Quote
The Aurum offers ended two days ago.
http://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/eve-online-news/final-weekend-for-aurum-offers-package-price-changes-arriving-next-week/
http://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/eve-online-news/skill-trading-launch-offers-on-aur-subscriptions-and-plex/
https://secure.eveonline.com/AurStore/
WTS ME 10 TE 20 BPOs & BPO Packs
WTS Collectible Large Rigged Small/Medium Ships
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Lord Ra
Section XII The Southern Querious Drug Cartel
46
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Posted - 2016.03.09 12:24:09 -
[88] - Quote
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
price is 1.8 trillion to max out. |

Bumblefck
Kerensky Initiatives
11152
|
Posted - 2016.03.09 14:20:31 -
[89] - Quote
Janna Shihari wrote:People using the word "rational" to define conformity to their thinking are simply arrogant.
"Rational" is a characteristic of humans that cannot be defined in a normative way, but only in a descriptive way.
This is a video game forum, sir, not NPC Poasting Alt Dictionary Corner
Got a HoleySheet1 corpse? I'll buy it for 200m!
Bumble's Space Log
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Amarrchecko
Hedion University Amarr Empire
98
|
Posted - 2016.03.10 15:08:28 -
[90] - Quote
Lord Ra wrote:Sabriz Adoudel wrote:Demand will decline somewhat.
EVE has a fair number of trillionaires. Some percentage of these people are undoubtedly looking to 'perfect' their main character and willing to spend 20b, 100b or even a quarter trillion to do so.
This is a once-off demand spike too.
price is 1.8 trillion to max out.
If you start with a fresh character and inject all the SP necessary to max out before applying any of the SP, do you continue getting 500k from the injectors? Or do the diminishing returns on injectors factor in unallocated SP? |
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Elizabeth Norn
Nornir Research
834
|
Posted - 2016.03.10 16:10:44 -
[91] - Quote
The diminishing returns are applied to unallocated SP, you can't game it.
WTS ME 10 TE 20 BPOs & BPO Packs
WTS Collectible Large Rigged Small/Medium Ships
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u3pog
Ministerstvo na otbranata
735
|
Posted - 2016.03.18 10:02:18 -
[92] - Quote
PLEX is going down, Injectors are going up...Interesting times. SP farmers can't catch up?
At this point it seems profitable to milk the cow. Injectors 630-640, extractors 254M and I expect them to go further down, we are nearing the 400M mark, where you'll end up half a bilion ahead each month, if you PLEX your alts. |

rtodeto
Federal Navy Academy Gallente Federation
3
|
Posted - 2016.03.28 17:08:01 -
[93] - Quote
With money coming in via skill extractors and plexes now, vs only via plexes before the introduction of skill trading. Wouldnt people with large plex holdings before, begin converting those plex holdings in half plex/half skill extractors holdings, as a means of diversification, due to the possibility of ccp through promotions making plex/skill extractors more interesting to buy with RL dollars ? |

Ria Nieyli
44704
|
Posted - 2016.04.26 18:31:48 -
[94] - Quote
So, with the proposed daily SP reward, in theory a character will go from producing 46 injectors per year to 54. It's questionable how many dedicated farmers will do it, so the increase won't be exactly the projected 17%, but there'll still be more SP on the market. Couple that with less people buying injectors because they can now click a belt rat every day and you get a price drop.
"slang" is shortened language for "shortened language"
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