Dingi223
   |
Posted - 2008.03.04 18:51:00 -
[1]
Edited by: Dingi223 on 04/03/2008 18:55:57
Edited by: Dingi223 on 04/03/2008 18:55:04
Edited by: Dingi223 on 04/03/2008 18:53:53
Edited by: Dingi223 on 04/03/2008 18:51:29
 Originally by: Zeba
20ish goonies killing a couple of hundred barges will have no effect on production levels of the literally thousands of miners out there. It would suprise me greatly if even a fraction of the greater minerbase even knows anything about the jihadswarm or has seen anyone actually get ganked.
According to the 3rd QEN, there were 5,850 Hulks flying about. Granted, this doesn't count Hulks sitting in hangars unusued, however let's assume this reasonably reflects the serious miners out there.
According to the 4th QEN, the production of Hulks was around 4,000 per month for the months of Oct, Nov and Dec '07. It appears then that Hulks have a fairly large turnover, or people are hoarding more and more of them to gather dust. Either way, we have the number.
GS have destroyed 400 Exhumers, let's assume 50% are Hulks and 50% are Mack's. So 200 Hulks in 3 weeks odd, let's say 300 a month once we extrapolate the data to a full month.
Unfortunately I do not have the data to know out of the Hulks in existence if all are active. I would have to assume CCP's data only includes active subscriptions, and therefore most are active.
Summary
GS have managed to kill 5% of all Hulks in existence. According to Hulk production, this can be replaced within 3 days, so they have impacted the production cycle by 3 days, or 10% a month. Let's say this again, in 1 month, they have will have killed 3 days worth of production. Sure, some pilots will not be able to simply buy a new Hulk, but more experienced miners and players will, they'll adapt, and keep going I'm sure.
Taking a step back, I just don't see how that is going to impact the larger scheme of the economy or mineral prices. In addition, they are only hitting 1 class of mining ship out of many, so the impact on the overall economy is miniscule.
I appreciate that they may be enjoying themselves, but it's a drop in the ocean. If they notched this Jihad up a few notches, and got those figures in 20-30% range, then I think you would see a notable squeeze.
|