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Shederov Blood
Wrecketeers
188
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 04:51:00 -
[151] - Quote
Did anyone know that you can do the same thing to gankers that they do to others using the exact same tools the gankers use?  |

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 04:52:00 -
[152] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Oh, you mean when I make a mathematical objection you realize that quoting ISO won't work anymore GǪexcept of course, that I'm still using the same formula as ever. Quote:zero-risk = zero-probability * nonzerorisk...and that you have referred to zero-probability as "zero-risk", which constitutes a new definition of risk specific to this example that contradicts your earlier statements about risk. No. I've referred to a risk with zero probability as zero-risk, which contradicts nothing since at that point, it doesn't matter what the the other factor is. In this case, that factor is another risk equation, which turns out to be non-zero. The risk RGéü = PGéü+ùRGéé is compounded with the risk RGéé=PGéé+ùCGéé. RGéü is a zero risk; RGéé is not.
Is that definition of compounded risks ISO-approved, or not? Simple question. |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 04:57:00 -
[153] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Is that definition of compounded risks ISO-approved, or not? Simple question. Yes. This is just a very simple case since the GÇ£outerGÇ¥ risk has no additional costs.
GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:30:00 -
[154] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Is that definition of compounded risks ISO-approved, or not? Simple question. Yes. It's not magic GÇö just maths. The distributive rule still applies. This is just a very simple case since the GÇ£outerGÇ¥ risk has no additional costs.
yes, it's just maths. It's just that in maths, compounding usually refers to composition of functions, or applying one function repeatedly. I.e., compound interest, where interest is applied repeatedly to principal, so A = R^(n)*P
In your definition, these two risks aren't compounded in this traditional way.
"RGéü = PGéü+ùRGéé is compounded with the risk RGéé=PGéé+ùCGéé."
So, RGéü = PGéü+ù PGéé+ùCGéé...to a mathematician, this looks like you've compounded probabilities, not risks. I suppose you can provide a link showing that in the strange world of risk management, referring to this situation as "compounded risks" is standard practice?
If I google "compounded risks", I get 2250 results..with this thread being #5.
All of the results that I've looked up use compounded risks either in the sense
risk = (probabilityfactor1 + probabilityfactor2) * (cost), or
risk = (probability)*(costfactor1 + costfactor2).
where (+) can be a somewhat complex interaction, either canceling out or synergistically increasing depending on the real world factors at work.
I've yet to find any that use it in the sense you describe. Since you're in the field, I'm sure you'll have no problem linking examples and reasoning as for why risk management uses the term 'compounded' in such a nonstandard way...and while you're at it, finding examples of prominent risk management professionals using the term 'risk' to refer to situations of probability 0 and 1 ? |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:36:00 -
[155] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:All of the results that I've looked up use compounded risks either in the sense
risk = (probabilityfactor1 + probabilityfactor2) * (cost), or
risk = (probability)*(costfactor1 + costfactor2). GǪand this is more of the latter (and can be expressed in the former form as well, although that makes it less clear what's going on), except that the cost factors are themselves risks. But sure, if you want to throw in a red herring about the use of GǣcompoundGǥ, do so. It doesn't particularly change anything (what with being a red herring and all).
Actually, read the first one wrong.
Quote:I've yet to find any that use it in the sense you describe. Then you've already dismissed the forms you quoted as not being compounded, or you've simply not read my posts. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:39:00 -
[156] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:All of the results that I've looked up use compounded risks either in the sense
risk = (probabilityfactor1 + probabilityfactor2) * (cost), or
risk = (probability)*(costfactor1 + costfactor2). GǪand this is more of the latter (and can be expressed in the former form as well, although that makes it less clear what's going on), except that the cost factors are themselves risks. But sure, if you want to throw in a red herring about the use of GǣcompoundGǥ, do so. It doesn't particularly change anything (what with being a red herring and all).
So, your method of admitting that you can't provide said quotes, is to make a red herring post distracting from that fact, which itself consists of nothing but accusing me of making a red herring post? It's quite amusing how every time you accuse me of a fallacy, you're actually committing that exact fallacy. |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:43:00 -
[157] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:So, your method of admitting that you can't provide said quotes, is to make a red herring post distracting from that fact, which itself consists of nothing but accusing me of making a red herring post? So your method of using red herrings is to ignore the fact that the example discussed conform to one of the compound forms you posted.
Note the use of a period over a question mark.
GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:45:00 -
[158] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:So, your method of admitting that you can't provide said quotes, is to make a red herring post distracting from that fact, which itself consists of nothing but accusing me of making a red herring post? So your method of using red herrings is to ignore the fact that the example discussed conform to one of the compound forms you posted. Note the use of a period over a question mark.
Ok, you concede the argument and refuse to back up your wild claims with evidence.
(Note the use of a period instead of a question mark.) |

Ludi Burek
The Player Haters Corp
188
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:48:00 -
[159] - Quote
Shederov Blood wrote:Did anyone know that you can do the same thing to gankers that they do to others using the exact same tools the gankers use? 
That would involve effort/learning how to do something and we can't have that.
Everyone know that gankers use some mystical exploit anyway. Can't compete with that.  |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:50:00 -
[160] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Ok, you concede the argument and refuse to back up your wild claims with evidence. Nope. You already provided the evidence.
Or are you now saying that the uses of compound risk you found and quoted do not denote compound risks? GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:53:00 -
[161] - Quote
Ludi Burek wrote:Shederov Blood wrote:Did anyone know that you can do the same thing to gankers that they do to others using the exact same tools the gankers use?  That would involve effort/learning how to do something and we can't have that. Everyone know that gankers use some mystical exploit anyway. Can't compete with that. 
Seems like instead of effort, it would involve a whole lot of waiting for gankers to autopilot around highsec with billions in their cargo hold? While you were waiting for that, you'd probably get bored and just gank a freighter with billions in the hold...hm, maybe that's where gankers came from in the first place. chicken and the egg dilemma.
Oh, you meant gank the gankers at a loss...that's not really exactly the same thing, is it? Just a similar but much worse thing. The OP should definitely have just said "Just become a ganker yourself if you think it's OP", much better argument.
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Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 05:54:00 -
[162] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Ok, you concede the argument and refuse to back up your wild claims with evidence. Nope. You already provided the evidence. Or are you now saying that the uses of compound risk you found and quoted do not denote compound risks?
You can't unconcede now, I already spent my victory ISK.
|

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 06:00:00 -
[163] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:You can't unconcede now, I already spent my victory ISK. Of course I can't unconcede. I have to concede first, which is very hard since you provided the evidence you wanted.
At any rate, the fact remains: risk = probability +ù cost, and probability lies in the [0,1] span. Moreover, risk = 0 are occasionally risks worth calculating and including since they may have an impact on other risks. Same goes for 100%-probability risks, for much the same reason.
So what have you won so far seeing as how all of that remains undisputed? GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 06:05:00 -
[164] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:You can't unconcede now, I already spent my victory ISK. Of course I can't unconcede. I have to concede first, which is very hard since you provided the evidence you wanted. At any rate, the fact remains: risk = probability +ù cost, and probability lies in the [0,1] span. Moreover, risk = 0 are occasionally risks worth calculating and including since they may have an impact on other risks. Same goes for 100%-probability risks, for much the same reason. So what have you won so far seeing as how all of that remains undisputed?
Are you now saying that the uses of 'concede' you've used do not denote 'concede'?
Got ya there.
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Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 06:10:00 -
[165] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Are you now saying that the uses of 'concede' you've used do not denote 'concede'? No. I'm saying that before you can GÇÿunconcedeGÇÖ you have to concede. Not having done the latter, I can't do the former.
Meanwhile, the fact remains: risk = probability +ù cost, and probability lies in the [0,1] span. Moreover, risk = 0 are occasionally risks worth calculating and including since they may have an impact on other risks. Same goes for 100%-probability risks, for much the same reason.
So yes, gankers losing their ships is indeed a risk GÇö one of many they have to deal with. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 06:46:00 -
[166] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Are you now saying that the uses of 'concede' you've used do not denote 'concede'? No. I'm saying that before you can GÇÿunconcedeGÇÖ you have to concede. Not having done the latter, I can't do the former. Meanwhile, the fact remains: risk = probability +ù cost, and probability lies in the [0,1] span. Moreover, risk = 0 are occasionally risks worth calculating and including since they may have an impact on other risks. Same goes for 100%-probability risks, for much the same reason. So yes, gankers losing their ships is indeed a risk GÇö one of many they have to deal with.
Oh Tippia, seeing you reduced to this state, so shellshocked and confused that you're just spitting out the same few phrases in every post, hoping that blind repetition will give your tired lines new life, it makes me feel bad. Let me clue you in on something:
The central debate we just engaged in, as to whether this statement is true "So yes, gankers losing their ships is indeed a risk GÇö one of many they have to deal with"--
Totally meaningless, pure semantic bs. Gankers lose their ships, that is a fact. What you choose to call it, a risk, a sacred offering, a 'vendre a perte des marchandises'... is utterly useless and pointless. Not to say that framing of issues doesn't matter out in the real world, but it doesn't matter here. You believing that the name it is called matters, means anything, is where you go hopelessly off the deep end into Alice in Wonderland-ville--which is right at the start, isn't it? All the rest of it, the quoting, the analogies, the back-and-forths that you get so caught up in...that's just people trying to figure out your pathology. That's the only reason people respond to you; they're trying to figure out why you care about these irrelevant side points that everyone else just skips past as a social convention, it's an age-old pasttime.
Sorry to give it away, I guess I'm ruining the game, I just felt bad for you. |

Shederov Blood
Wrecketeers
189
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 06:59:00 -
[167] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Seems like instead of effort, it would involve a whole lot of waiting for gankers to autopilot around highsec with billions in their cargo hold? While you were waiting for that, you'd probably get bored and just gank a freighter with billions in the hold...hm, maybe that's where gankers came from in the first place. chicken and the egg dilemma.
Oh, you meant gank the gankers at a loss...that's not really exactly the same thing, is it? Just a similar but much worse thing. The OP should definitely have just said "Just become a ganker yourself if you think it's OP", much better argument.
Hey, if it's not profitable to gank them, that's because they didn't make themselves a profitable target to gank. Also something which anyone is capable of doing. The "just do it yourself if you think it's overpowered" argument, though not a good one, is often a measure of how overpowered something really is. If ganking really was overpowered and risk-free, then everyone would be ganking the gankers. But they're not. It isn't even that hard to do, but you'd have to stop running level 4 missions and mining for a couple of hours. |

Amber Coldheart
State War Academy Caldari State
11
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:11:00 -
[168] - Quote
Tippia wrote: So yes, gankers losing their ships is indeed a risk GÇö one of many they have to deal with.
ehhhh, are you high on something ?
I dont gank people, yet even i know that if you do something like that in hi sec, you ARE going to lose your ship, there is no risk involved.. its a sure thing. Its called CONCORD, look it up 
Gankers being the clever chaps that they are, of course already know this, and have added the cost of ships to their calculations (unless its "just for fun", in which economics wont matter).
|

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:13:00 -
[169] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Oh Tippia, seeing you reduced to this state It's pretty common GÇö in fact, it happens every time a troll fails to respond with argumentation and instead have to rely on ad hominems, straw men and red herrings: keep repeating the core claim or question to see if they manage to actually respond to it rather than go off on a tangent. The result is the same as always: you failed.
So it seems we once again have come to road's end: the nature of risks has (unsurprisingly) not been disproved and no amount of dodging this issue will change it.
Risk = probability +ù cost, and it holds true even in the trivial cases where the probability is 0 or 1 (cases that might still be worth exploring for various reasons).
Quote:Totally meaningless, pure semantic bs. Gankers lose their ships, that is a fact. GǪand in doing so, they have risks, contrary to the persistent cries that theirs is a totally risk-free existence. It's neither meaningless or semantic BS, and it certainly isn't a side-point. It's just the fact at the heart of the matter. Just because this simple fact about risks disturbs people and ruins their argument doesn't make it false or off-topic.
So yes, gankers losing their ships is indeed a risk GÇö one of many they have to deal with.
Amber Coldheart wrote:I dont gank people, yet even i know that if you do something like that in hi sec, you ARE going to lose your ship GǪand that is one of the risks the gankers have to face. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:18:00 -
[170] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Oh Tippia, seeing you reduced to this state It's pretty common GÇö in fact, it happens every time a troll fails to respond with argumentation and instead have to rely on ad hominems, straw men and red herrings: keep repeating the core claim or question to see if they manage to actually respond to it rather than go off on a tangent. The result is the same as always: you failed.
"Argumentum ad nauseam or argument from repetition or argumentum ad infinitum is an argument made repeatedly (possibly by different people) until nobody cares to discuss it any more. This may sometimes, but not always, be a form of proof by assertion"
So basically, what you're saying is you're working out your abandonment issues by testing random people on the forums to see if you can drive them away? Sorry I can't be your daddy :(
Looks like I won the game, though. |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:21:00 -
[171] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:So basically, what you're saying is GǪthat the simple facts of risks GÇö that they are probability +ù cost, and that they don't necessarily go away just because you have the trivial cases of p=1 or p=0 GÇö remain unchallenged. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:22:00 -
[172] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:So basically, what you're saying is GǪthat the simple facts of risks GÇö that they are probability +ù cost, and that they don't necessarily go away just because you have the trivial cases of p=1 or p=0 GÇö remain unchallenged.
Argumentum ad nauseam or argument from repetition or argumentum ad infinitum is an argument made repeatedly (possibly by different people) until nobody cares to discuss it any more. This may sometimes, but not always, be a form of proof by assertion
|

Amber Coldheart
State War Academy Caldari State
11
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:25:00 -
[173] - Quote
Tippia wrote:GǪand that is one of the risks the gankers have to face.
You apparently need to be educated on the finer points of the English language...
risk (rsk)
The possibility of suffering harm or loss; danger.
If you are assured of losing something (which you are if you gank in hi sec), it is no longer a risk, its guaranteed. A risk is something that might happen, may even be likely to happen.. but its not guaranteed to happen. CONCORD killing gankers *is* guaranteed to happen.
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Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:26:00 -
[174] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Argumentum ad nauseam or argument from repetition or argumentum ad infinitum is an argument made repeatedly (possibly by different people) until nobody cares to discuss it any more. This may sometimes, but not always, be a form of proof by assertion Good thing that what we have here is simply an attempt to remind you of the question at hand, in the hope that you'll manage to come up with some kind of proof or arguments against it rather than platitudes.
Your attempts at redefining the issue and divert attention away from your failure to produce anything of the sort and onto any one of a plethora of irrelevances does not fulfil that requirement.
Amber Coldheart wrote:You apparently need to be educated on the finer points of the English language... You apparently need to be educated on the finer points of calculating risks.
Risk = probability +ù cost. Probabilities range from 0 to 1. Just because the probability is 1 doesn't mean that it's suddenly not a risk GÇö it just means that it's a trivial case where risk = cost. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Herr Hammer Draken
151
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:26:00 -
[175] - Quote
This is really a matter of scale. A frieghter can carry so much in value before it becomes a gankable target. As EVE runs longer in the time line more players end up with more wealth. At some point frieghters end up carrying more and more wealth simply because it takes too many trips to haul all of that which needs to be moved. It is a function of the longevity of EVE.
In the early days nobody had the wealth to stress a frieghters capacity. The carrying capacity of ships in eve has not grown with the game. Although some changes have been made like jump ships to make traveling easier over long distances.
So in the end a cap to frieghters acts as a max limit to wealth. As players over load the wealth and these frieghters get ganked EVE losses wealth as it drains away. Maybe that is a good thing for EVE. In the end the game design is in the hands of CCP.
Do we see these ships grow with eve or not? Time will tell. Herr Hammer Draken "The Amarr Prophet" |

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:27:00 -
[176] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Good thing that what we have here is simply an attempt to remind you of the question at hand, in the hope that you'll manage to come up with some kind of proof or arguments against it rather than platitudes.
Your attempts at redefining the issue and divert attention away from your failure to produce anything of the sort and onto any one of a plethora of irrelevances does not fulfil that requirement.
This term is defined by the American Heritage Dictionary as:
Argumentum ad nauseam or argument from repetition or argumentum ad infinitum is an argument made repeatedly (possibly by different people) until nobody cares to discuss it any more. This may sometimes, but not always, be a form of proof by assertion |

KrakizBad
Eve Defence Force Fatal Ascension
1045
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:27:00 -
[177] - Quote
Tippia has a great way of teasing the "Argumentum ad I'm a Dumbass" out of people. (Why couldn't there be an elegant Latin way of saying it?) www.minerbumping.com - because your tears are delicious |

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
10252
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:29:00 -
[178] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:This term is defined by the American Heritage Dictionary as: GǪstill not addressing the topic at hand and still trying to deflect from the fact that you cannot address those simple facts about risks. GÇ£If you're not willing to fight for what you have in GëívGëí you don't deserve it, and you will lose it.GÇ¥
Get a good start: newbie skill plan.
|

Vanyr Andrard
Foo Holdings Free 2 Play
26
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:29:00 -
[179] - Quote
KrakizBad wrote:Tippia has a great way of teasing the "Argumentum ad I'm a Dumbass" out of people. (Why couldn't there be an elegant Latin way of saying it?)
Saying what? |

Shederov Blood
Wrecketeers
189
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 07:30:00 -
[180] - Quote
Amber Coldheart wrote:risk (rsk)
The possibility of suffering harm or loss; danger....
If you are assured of losing something (which you are if you gank in hi sec), it is no longer a risk, its guaranteed. A risk is something that might happen, may even be likely to happen..
So if it's guaranteed to happen, there's no possibility of it happening? How can something happen if it's not possible? |
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