EDIT to add.
This new gold rush has it's higher risk mitigated by the fact that the stuff is actually useful to the right people. At the moment if you are holding a huge stack of megacycte or zydrine you are effectively shafted if you can't move it. It's consumed in such small quantities that holding a large stockpile is holding a dead item. The new gold rush does not suffer that issue, or at least for the right characters it doesn't.

PS I skipped a gold rush in the ship skins, but it's too late now if you missed it.

If the other two destroyers come adjusted, then I doubt people would be paying 70m to fly those. However... scrap that - they used to pay twice the amount for frigates.

It's the key component for Tactical Destroyer invention. I was going to buy into them but I fear I've missed the opportunity. Not buying them at present prices although I may regret this decision.

That new big thing will also be efficient at what it is intended to do. Agreed, double the price of Interdictors could be reasonable for some time.

Back on topic: I find there is no great pressure to sell an asset in Eve, following a major move on the news of fundamental change in its essence. Even the people who got in on Megacyte around the 2480 ISK p/u level, their unrealised loss is only at 24% currently, so long as they don't sell.

In the leveraged other real world beyond The Eve Gate, this move would develop further down as the stakes are very high and the stops are very tight. The absence of short-selling further prevents larger corrections, as the initial buyers, having enjoyed the move up, don't initiate sell positions after closing on their buys.

The only inconvenience, in this particular case of Zyd & Mega, is having your capital locked into these minerals for a few weeks to a month, or whenever the price reaches break even.

I find the lack of short-selling in Eve very limiting with regards to the number of possible different trades one can undertake

I can see it being done with minimal volume orders, but it is not effective at the levels and time frames that I operate.

I may have been wrong in my earlier technical analysis of Zydrine.

My point is that for two items subjected to the same stresses, and with a history of matching, are now significantly imbalanced.
Either megacyte is under priced or zydrine overshot by too much. Or maybe a little of both. The market will correct this over time. I strongly believe zydrine overshot and will fall a few hundred before it starts to settle.

I think I need to make my point clearer maybe.

None of us know, apart from CCP, possibly not even CCP what will happen to the prices, but we can guess and even use logic.

The two items are both subject to the same changes.
But they have reacted with sufficient difference to warrant a question in my opinion.
The question being has zydrine overshot too much? Is it likely to go down?

I compared the rises in both to back up my argument.
I am not assuming one is right, I even go so far as to point out they could both correct in the part you quoted of my post.
The fact they are both going down, Zydrine more so, even since my posts hints strongly that the short term correction lies in that direction not the other.

No one doubts consumption has doubled.
Supply will probably go down ( as long as the price increase doesn't motivate miners to mine more of it ) the market will decide and self govern.

These changes mean the price must logically go up from where it was, but it already went up significantly from speculation alone.
The real question is "Will it go up or down from where it is NOW?"
NOT "Will it go up from where it was?" That has already been answered, there are no cookies being given out for figuring this out even if you worked it out without looking at the market.

Where the price is now versus where the price will be in the short, medium and long term is the question where ISK is to be made.
I was trying to answer that question, with reasoning, and stuffs.

Edit - Sorry for the GRR tone in my post.

We will be fortunate if zydrine stays in the 700-800 range long term. Higher prices will just encourage more mining not to mention the stockpiles that exist from the glut of supply for so long. I think 1300-1500 for megacyte sounds and feels about right unless null decides to mine the snot out of high ends.

We will be fortunate if zydrine stays in the 700-800 range long term. Higher prices will just encourage more mining not to mention the stockpiles that exist from the glut of supply for so long. I think 1300-1500 for megacyte sounds and feels about right unless null decides to mine the snot out of high ends.

Now this is nice stock :) http://i.imgur.com/IoiO5a4.png

Lol, my point exactly. The high end market has been out whack for so long theres just so much out there. I think ccp did these changes just so those two minerals didn't go to effective zero. And the poster above who said he didn't think mining could double, the way prices were going they were already mining over what was needed because those prices just continued to fall. One guy in this thread predicts 3700 megacyte??!! Sorry folks that's a pipe dream.